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Stakes Tracker - Probables

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Race Results & Past Performances

Date(Descending)
Tr
#
Dist.[Filter]
Sf.
$
Cnd
Race
1st
2nd
3rd
Time
View Details05/05/18CD991 1/4 mD03 MKentucky Derby-G1   0:00.00
View Details01/27/18GP991 1/8 mD04+ MPegasus World Cup-G1   0:00.00
View Details12/26/17SA97 fD03 MMalibu Stakes-G1   0:00.00
View Details12/17/17RP991 mileD02 MRemington Springboard Mile   0:00.00
View Details12/10/17Sha81 1/4 mT03+ MHong Kong Cup-G1   0:00.00
View Details12/10/17Sha41 1/2mT03+ MHong Kong Vase-G1   0:00.00
View Details12/10/17Sha71 mileT03+ MHong Kong Mile-G1   0:00.00
View Details12/10/17Sha56 fT03+ MHong Kong Sprint-G1   0:00.00
View Details12/09/17LRC241 1/16 mD02 FStarlet Stakes-G1   0:00.00
View Details12/09/17LRC121 1/16 mD02 MLos Alamitos Futurity-G1   0:00.00
View Details12/03/17LRC41 1/16 mD03+ FBayakoa Hcp.-G2   0:00.00
View Details12/02/17Aqu191 1/8 mD02 MRemsen-G2   0:00.00
View Details12/02/17Aqu91 mileD03+ MCigar Mile Handicap-G1   0:00.00
View Details12/02/17Aqu81 1/16 mD02 FDemoiselle-G2   0:00.00
View Details11/29/17Aqu37 fD03+ MNew York Stallion Thunder Rumble   0:00.00
View Details11/26/17Aqu86 fT03+ F    0:00.00
View Details11/26/17Tok111 1/2mT03+ MJapan Cup-G1   0:00.00
View Details11/25/17Dmr61 1/8 mT03 MHollywood Derby-G1   0:00.00
View Details11/25/17CD71 1/16 mD02 MKentucky Jockey Club-G2   0:00.00
View Details11/25/17Aqu81 1/16 mT03+ F    0:00.00
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Older Comments...

Going to start a series sharing the top 5 times for each G1(or race I think should be G1) or times within less than a second. First starting with the two year olds! Tomorrow or the day after I'll do three year old races and after that I'll do the open ones. Also wanted to use this as a chance to break down the current graded stakes schedule. Breeders Cup Juvenile 8.5 (2.0m) 2008 Midshipman 1.40.94 Santa Anita 1997 Favorite Trick 1.41.47 Hollywood 1995 Unbridled's Song 1.41.60 Belmont 2005 Stevie Wonderboy 1.41.64 Belmont 2014 Texas Red 1.41.94 Santa Anita Breeders Futurity 8.5 (500,000) 1993 Polar Exhibition 1.42.20 1999 Captain Steve 1.42.40 1992 Mountain Cat 1.42.40 2000 Arabian Light 1.43.00 2008 Square Eddie 1.43.04 2011 Dulluhan 1.43.12 2009 Noble's Promise 1.43.12 FrontRunner Stakes 8.5 (300,000) 2003 Ruler's Court 1.41.27 1982 Roving Boy 1.41.60 1979 The Carpenter 1.41.80 1971 MacArthur Park 1.41.80 2015 American Pharoah 1.41.95 1976 Habitony 1.42.00 Los Alamitos Futurity(has only been ran at Los Alamitos 3 times so far before that it was the CashCall at Hollywood) (500,000) 1994 Afternoon Deelites 1.40.94 1993 Valiant Nature 1.40.78 2007 Into Mischief 1.40.82 2014 Dortmund 1.40.86(current stakes, formerly track record) 2002 Toccet 1.41.26 Champagne Stakes(1 mile) (500,000) 1983 Devil's Bag 1.34.20 1976 Seattle Slew 1.34.40 2010 Uncle Mo 1.34.51 1967 Vithrolic 1.34.60 2016 Practical Joke 1.34.68 Del Mar Futurity (synthetic from 2007 to 2014)(7 furlongs) (300,000) 2004 Delcan's Moon 1.21.29 2014 American Pharoah 1.21.48 1999 Forest Camp 1.21.67 2016 Klimt 1.21.80 2000 Flame Thrower 1.22.00 Hopeful Stakes (7 furlongs) (350,000) 2001Came Home 1.21.94 2015 Ralis 1.22.30 2012 Shanghai Bobby 1.22.72 1999 High Yield 1.22.85 2006 Circular Quay 1.23.04 Now here's the Hopeful at it's more relevant historical distance of 6.5 1977 Affirmed 1.15.40 1964 Bold Lad 1.15.60 1917 Sun Briar 1.15.60(honestly for back then this is amazing) 1992 Great Navigator 1.15.71 1993 Dehere 1.15.80 1984 Chief's Crown 1.16.00 1974 Foolish Pleasure 1.16.00 1968 Top Knight 1.16.00 1965 Buckpasser 1.16.00 Hope you enjoy! Basically the breakdown of events for juvenille males on the dirt is 4 8.5 furlong events, 1 8 furlong event and 2 7 furlong events for a total of 6 events. Basically the G1 stakes season is 3 races long as shown below. 1)2 7 furlong G1 openers 1 on each coast 2)4 BC preps, 3 8.5, 1 8, 2 in California, 1 in Kentucky and 1 at Belmont in New Yokr 3)The Breeders Cup Juvenile wherever it happens to be held. I'll be back on tommorow with my three year old post!
Gelded and now owned by John P McManus. New trainer is Joseph P O'Brien
What was the year that produced the best group of top horses foaled (not just three year olds, but horses that went on to be great at any age). a) 1954 - Round Table, Bold Ruler, Gallant Man, General Duke, Iron Liege b) 1964 - Dr. Fager, Damascus, Fort Marcy, Gamely, In Realtiy c) 1970 - Secretariat, Forego, Sham, Desert Vixen. Ancient Title d) 1975 - Affirmed, Alydar, John Henry, Mac Diarmida e) Your own choice (Buckpasser should be able to fill us in on earlier years). Based on that list, it's a toughie, but I've got to go with 1970.
Guys, I'm a newbie here. Is Busta saying that the horse that finished 2nd in the Breeders Cup 2 year old championship in Del Mar is "green" ? Huh?
Arrogate was a flash in the pan..More you think about it the more it was probably not the Del Mar surface..if he entered the Pegasus he would have probably finished 4th-5th..He couldnt ever beat Collected..Gun Runner "right" now is better than Arrogate ever been..West Coast with the chance to "improve" would have likely beaten him..Retiring was the "smart" move..Too bad Chrome got hurt in the Pegasus and finished last..Prob would have beaten Arrogate by 3 or so lengths
Let's look at the validity (or "franking") of the the winning forms of some of the famous horses by looking at how well the horses finishing second to them did against other horses in their next 2-3 starts (preferably within a few months after facing these famous horses). 1) Arrogate in 2017: He beat Shaman Ghost in the Pegasus, and Shaman Ghost validated Arrogate's winning form by winning 2 of his next 3 stake races (including a G1). He beat Gun Runner in the 2017 DWC and GR has been undefeated since. 2) California Chrome in 2014 and 2016 (in 2015 Chrome was winless): In the 2014 TC races, he beat Commanding Curve in the Kentucky Derby and Ride On Curlin in the Preakness. Both of these horses never won again against stakes company after those TC races. In 2016, he beat Mubtaahij in the DWC and Mubtaahij went on to lose his next 3 races (and kept on losing until recently). He beat Dortmund in the San Diego Handicap and Awesome Again, and Dortmund never win again after that even when he's not racing against Chrome. He beat Beholder in the Pacific Classic and Beholder went back to the distaff.
Arrogate was a flash in the pan..More you think about it the more it was probably not the Del Mar surface..if he entered the Pegasus he would have probably finished 4th-5th..He couldnt beat Collected..Gun Runner "right" now is better than Arrogate ever been..West Coast with the chance to "improve" would have likely beaten him..Retiring was the "smart" move..Too bad Chrome got hurt in the Pegasus and finished last..Prob would have beaten Arrogate by 3-4 lengths
Has been retired to Haras de la Huderie in France where he will stand for €5,000 in 2018.
Point Given was really THAT horse!! A shame he couldn’t win the Kentucky Derby
Let's have a discussion about horses running second to famous horses during the 3 TC races!!! I'll start with Commanding Curve and Ride On Curlin (the 2 horses who ran second to California Chrome in the 2014 Kentucky Derby and Preakness). Both were winless among stakes company for the rest of their respective careers after the TC races!!!!!
if Gun Runner wins the Pegasus who will be the best horse Asmussen has trained?..Gun Runner?..Curlin?..Rachel Alexandra?
Unique Bella worked 4f, Nov 19th, in 46.60 (h) finishing 1/60..
Hoppertunity worked 4f, Nov 19th, in 47.20 (h) finishing 2/60.
Tough as nails in that stretch run!
Leading Juveniles Vie for Eclipse Title Next year’s three year olds will remain juveniles for another 43 days and that division also has inspired some debate. In our view, this divisional is a lot more vexatious. It’s the age old Eclipse question and it rears its presence again: Which is more righteous? Is it the head to head matchup, or is it the body of work that has greater merit? And that’s what makes Bolt d’Oro vs. Good Magic. Of course, Good Magic won their only meeting when he won the Breeders’ Cup in which Bolt d’Oro was a trip-compromised third. As an aside, we personally do not consider trips as either a qualifier or disqualifier of championship status. As they say in court, “let the record show.” The question is this category is this: Is a placing in the G1 Champagne and Juvenile victory more or less impressive than Bolt d’Oro’s two Grade 1 score and his Juvenile third? Personally, we’re still mulling this over. One of my first Eclipse litmus tests is to count Grade 1 wins ad go from there. In that context, this would be a relatively open and shut case. Now, even considering future breeding rights is a second in the Champagne the equal to a win in the 7-furlongs Del Mar Futurity? Sorry, we believe there’s no comparison, especially if prestige and history are the measure. But ‘Bolt’ also win the G1 FrontRunner and that’s a serious two year old victory making him 3-for-3 into the Juvenile. Good Magic went into the Juvenile a maiden after two starts. In a championship frame, then, it’s two G1s vs. one and a G1 placing, but the one was a big one. I’m a huge believer in the Juvenile and Juvenile Fillies as championship defining events. Choosing the “best horse” on talent is often subjective in horse racing and it matters not that, thus far, I believe Good Magic will be the better three year old. But what we’ve got plenty of time for that. It is likely both camps will sit and await the results of the balloting, but there is a clear tie-breaking next month that still gives these two plenty of time to freshen for a Derby campaign, especially if they are taking the two-prop tack. Grade 1 CashCall Futurity, anyone? Written by John Pricci Horse Race Insider
Buckpasser the human. I recently came across a program from the 1966 Washington DC International at Laurel Park. I am not really familiar with the race and was surprised to see the quality of the foreign horses, there were 10 horses but only 2 from the US. Of the foreign horses one was from the Soviet Union and he was a very good horse having finished 5th in the previous years Arc. Since you are regarded as the historian for this site I was hoping you could give me a little more information about the history of the Washing DC International. The top American horses in this running were Tom Rolfe and the 2-1 favorite Assagai. The Soviet horse was Aniline who had finished third behind Kelso and Gun Bow in a previous running. I guess the Breeders Cup Turf is the closest we have to an international race today, but this race had horses from France, Britain, Brazil, Canada, Venezuela and the Soviet Union.
  • travel_vic · The French import and 3 y/o, Behistoun (paid 34.00, 12.20, 6.60...."responded to strong pumping and loose reining with a tremendous burst of speed in the final quarter mile that carried him clear in the last sixteenth") who ran prompting the pace the entire way round, won it by 2 1/4 on an easy pace over a firm course. Aniline from Germany was second and was the easy pacesetter, but had been pressed the entire trip by Assagi, who finished third, still running a good race according to the chart. He was voted grass horse of the year with wins in the Man O'War, Bernard Baruch, Tidal Handicap, The Long Branch at Monmouth , and the United Nations Handicap at Atlantic City. 4th and 5th went to two French horses: Vasco de Gama II, and Silver Shark respectively. Tom Rolfe under Shoemaker, finished a disappointing 6th (..."was not a serious threat"....in the chart). The BEST British Columbia bred of all times and Canadian Horse of the year, George Royal ran 8th under Ismael Valenzuela (uncle of the Valenzuela we all know). SLOW pace of race 26, 49 4/5, 1:14 2/5, 1:39 1/5, 2:28 4/5 with the track record in those days was Kelso's 2:23 4/5 · 17 hours ago
  • travel_vic · history here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Washington,_D.C._International_Stakes · 17 hours ago
I'm looking forward to following Nelson during next year's campaign
the distaff winner will win or place in the pegasus
You know, people get so taken with the horses that win the first two legs of the TC and lose the third (understandably), that they overlook the fact that the list of horses that lost the first leg of the TC then won the Preakness and Belmont is actually a more impressive list: Native Dancer Damascus Nashua Bimelech Capot Point Given Risen Star Hansel Afleet Alex and the one really mediocre one: LIttle Current.
  • Show All 6 Comments
  • Buckpasser via Disqus · Two points: one is that in certain cases between the time of Sir Barton and Gallant Fox winning the TC, the Preakness and Derby were run on the same day. Which I believe affected Pillory in 1921 who won the second two races. This was remedied in 1932 when the order of the races was settled. It should be noted Gallant Fox won the Preakness before the Derby in 1930. The second point is that geldings were prohibited from running in the other two jewels in the TC which discounted Exterminator from competing in both the Preakness and Belmont. I believe the gelding restriction was lifted for the Preakness in the 1930’s and the Belmont’s wasnt lifted until I believe the 1950’s. On your list needless to say MOW didn’t win the TC because he didn’t start in the Derby. · 20 hours ago
  • joe rifkin via Disqus · Cant believe it has already been 25 years since Hansel...Always makes me think of one of the most beautiful horses to ever race, The old speedball "Hansen" · 18 hours ago
I seriously don't know why Aidan O'Brien is considering this horse for the Kentucky Derby, he's got NO CHANCE, and he won't even like the dirt!!! This horse is a 1 miler (on turf), he won a very weak Juvenile Turf at the Breeder's Cup, and the time before that, he got EASILY beaten by "US Navy Flag", yep that's right folks, the SAME "US Navy Flag" who got beat by about 30 lengths in the BC Juvenile!!! Aidan O'Brien has made some 'idiotic' decisions as a trainer in the past (for example when he decided to run the ultra talented "George Washington" in the Breeder's Cup Classic on a terrible muddy track, the conditions were awful and it cost the horse his life). I'm sure Aidan has got MANY 2 yr olds in his barn who are FAR more talented than this one!
  • US Army Ranger via Disqus · I agree Flag of Honour , Coat of arms , Declarationofpeace, are better choices · 1 day ago
  • DS Williamson via Disqus · Aidan does have better two-year-olds in his barn. That's not the point. He must save those two-year-olds for huge turf races. They're better bred for turf than Mendelssohn. Pointing Mendelssohn to the Derby makes all the sense in the world. · 19 hours ago