Wednesday wagers: Bruster Justice should secure Circle City

Wednesday wagers: Bruster Justice should secure Circle City
Photo: Courtesy Horseshoe Indianapolis

A pair of stakes for Indiana-bred juveniles highlights a 10-race program at Horseshoe Indianapolis Wednesday afternoon. The Back Home Again for fillies goes as race 7, while the Circle City for open company will be race 8. I discuss my five favorite races on the card below.

Best Bet: Bruster Justice (race 8)

Best Value Bet: Vamonos (race 5)

Race 2

No. 5 Mi Estrella (5-2, morning-line favorite) dominated N2L competition last time out. This is only a slight class hike, and the most recent speed figure stamps her as the one to beat. No. 4 Lady Dont Mind (6-1) tries a new low, and her latest victory against claimers was respectable. No. 2 Magnificentrevenge (4-1) steps up off a solid score against softer; consider her underneath with seven runner-up results in 16 lifetime races.

How I’d bet it (based on a $100 budget): $10 exacta 5/4, $4 exacta 4/5, $4 exacta 5/2, $2 exacta 4/2

Race 3

No. 7 Jack’s Summer (6-1) dueled, built a big lead, and was nipped at the wire in her turf debut. With a more patient ride, she can atone at a decent price. No. 10 Gio’s Baby Girl (10-1) was fourth in her lone turf try to date, but it came in a state-bred stakes. She owns five runner-up results in nine career starts, so she shouldn’t be left out of the exotics. No. 3 Zipsy Rose Lee (9-5, morning-line favorite) has made a habit of settling for minor awards – win bettors should tread lightly after she ran behind the top choice last time out.

How I’d bet it: $2 exacta box 3/7/10, $5 win 7, $3 win 10

Dirt picks: 3-4-5

Race 5

No. 2 Vamonos (6-1) was a decent third in his initial turf try here on Aug. 18, showing substantial improvement over his dirt form. He drilled a bullet to prep for this, so look for a similar or superior effort on Wednesday. No. 5 New Art (3-1, morning-line favorite) was purchased by Calumet Farm for $60,000, six times the stud fee of sire Tapwrit. The works don’t jump off the page, but Brad Cox runners should never be overlooked at Horseshoe Indianapolis, as he’s hit the board with 58.8 percent of his first 60 starters. No. 9 Mendelssohn Joy (7-2) offers hope for advancement cutting back in distance.

How I’d bet it: $5 exacta box 2/5, $8 win 2

Dirt picks: 5-7-1

Race 7

No. 3 Hot Little Thing (7-2, morning-line favorite) impressed going gate-to-wire over a next-out winner in her most recent start. A repeat of that effort would likely put her in the winner’s circle in the Back Home Again Stakes. Trainer Rodolphe Brisset has picked his spots wisely at this oval, winning nine of his first 22 starts with six additional in-the-money placings. No. 12 Corningstone (9-2) ran respectable speed figures in two dirt tries before failing to graduate in consecutive turf events at Saratoga. No. 6 Bluelightspecial (4-1) is a perfect 2-for-2 against state-breds with competitive speed figures – should finish with interest.

How I’d bet it: $3 exacta box 3/6/12

Race 8

No. 7 Bruster Justice (4-1) has won each of his first two races by open lengths, and owns the fastest last-out speed figure of anyone in the field – the pick. No. 10 Fierce Justice (9-2) broke his maiden at first asking for imposing connections in Cipriano Contreras and Emmanuel Esquivel, who have formed a 30 percent trainer-jockey combo over the last two months. No. 3 Win Me Over (8-1) should be forwardly-placed after breaking his maiden on debut in wire-to-wire fashion, and may improve second time out.

How I’d bet it: $8 exacta 7/3,10, $2 exacta 3,10/7

Robert Criscola is a free-lance handicapper based in New York.

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