This year's Pegasus World Cup (G1) might not have the star power of Arrogate, California Chrome, or Gun Runner, but the wide-open 12-horse field offers fantastic betting opportunities.
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile winner Knicks Go is the headliner and deserving favorite. The magic that Brad Cox has weaved with this horse is truly remarkable. His dazzling performance in the Dirt Mile was a record breaker, and you do not ever see a horse knock out enormous Brisnet pace figures of 115 and 128 and then draw off to win clear.
There is no question that he relishes the quirky Keeneland surface and configuration. His big advantage in this race is that no other horse comes close to the kind of fractions this horse can lay out in the early going. If Joel Rosario can rate his speed and he can handle going longer on a new surface, then he could certainly steal this on the front end.
However, this potentially odds-on favorite has to overcome one big knock: that huge jump to double-top speed ratings. This is a lightly framed horse and it is hard to imagine that he’ll be able to match those massive efforts for a third time in a row. Knicks Go offers no value whatsoever, and should only be used defensively.
Second choice Code of Honor is the most reliable board hitter in the race. The Clark Stakes (G1) was the perfect prep for this horse leaving him ample space between races. He will get plenty of pace despite what others may suggest about the pace setup, and the 1 1/8 miles is the minimum distance that he prefers. No other horse in the field faced tougher last year than this guy.
Code of Honor is a dependable horse that must be used in all vertical wagers, but there are plenty of scenarios where he may come up just short.
There are two long shots in this race with differing styles that are very intriguing as upset possibilities.
One is a closer at 20-1 who should get first run on Code of Honor while possessing a form cycle that projects a major move forward to a new lifetime top in this spot.
The other is a presser who loves the track and would benefit the most if Knicks Go fades in the final 16th of a mile.
Find out who these live price plays are and read our full Super Screener analysis, including wagering strategies of the Pegasus World Cup and a plethora of other stakes action across the country this weekend, available to Super Screener subscribers only here.