Next Triple Crown Winner - A Filly?

Year of the Filly

As with the start of every year, we anticipate, dream and pray for the next Triple Crown champion to emerge. God knows if the racing family could wish it into reality, it would have happened years ago.

This year wasn’t an exception.  As the Derby prep races unfolded, we found ourselves with a variety of exceptional talent. Shackleford, Uncle Mo, Stay Thirsty, Master of Hounds, Dialed In, just to name a few.   Could one these or any of two dozen others be the “one?”

Therein layed the problem. So many colts of such high caliber quality, with the exception of only a couple stakes, yielded a different winner in each prep race. Arguably, there just wasn’t one colt that jumped out above the rest. The result was three different champions in the famed Triple Crown races. Respectfully and not taking anything away from Shackelford, but when he won the Preakness over Animal Kingdom, I know I shook my head and thought “Well…maybe next year.”

Then, I started thinking about the quality of fillies in comparison that we’ve seen over the last couple of years.

Zenyatta, of course, a proven phenom in her own right. But then there was also Rachel Alexandra, not only did we have one outstanding filly, but two. They were taking everything thrown at them…and winning consistently, against males and females. I believe if either of these fillies had been entered in all three Triple Crown races, we would have had our twelfth winner. Rachel Alexandra proved herself in the Preakness, but she just wasn’t afforded the opportunity in the Kentucky Derby or Belmont. Zenyatta taking the Breeders Cup Classic against the colts, again given the opportunity, I believe she too could have taken the crown.

This year hasn’t really been all that different when it comes to colts vs. fillies. The fillies have been more consistent. Havre de Grace, Black Caviar, Goldikova, Winter Memories, all racing at their own distances and surfaces, but still consistently winning.

The colts are supposed to be bigger, stronger, have more stamina, but in my mind’s eye, it’s the heart of the filly that’s winning races.

With that being said, I would bet my next paycheck, our next Triple Crown champion, given the chance, will have pink ribbons in her mane.

-- Jody Lawrence


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Older Comments about Next Triple Crown Winner - A Filly?...

henry...what happen to M.C.? Look like he's having problem on the dirty. I guess he like the synthetic surface better. Creative Cause and Union Rags looks better...
possibly running on dirt vs. running on turf has something to do with wear and tear on a horse's career.
I just posted a comment on here that is missing.... What's up with that?
Just to nitpick....Zenyatta was a 4yo I believe the year that Rachel was 3 and oh so hot. They could not have been contenders for TC races the same year. As for the future? I'd LOVE to see a filly take it all. What a thrill that would be!.
Nice Jockey replacement...I like Gomez. Smart rider....Can't wait to see what he does in the Futurity....
His name is Majestic City! He is the 2011 Hollywood Juvenile Champion. He ran against Gun Boat, Drill and Creative Cause, his last race, the Delmar Futurity. In that race, his jockey whipped him into a near catastrophic collision! That enabled Drill to get the lead for what appeared at first to be an easy win! Majestic City recovered, and came right back on Drill, nearly catching him at the wire. beaten by a nose! They set a new track record at seven furlongs. Majestic City was disqualified and placed third, kicking Creative Cause up to second. Majestic City was about 4 lengths in front of Creative Cause. Had it not been for the collision, Majestic City ran as if he could have easiily one the race, by maybe 8-10 lengths, and just shattering the track record. Since that race, Creative Cause just defeated Drill by nearly 4 lengths, last Saturday, in the Norfolk Stake, at Santa Anita. Majestic City's rider, David Flores was fined and suspended only 5 days. He has been since replaced by Garrett Gomez. Majestic City was shipped out Sunday to Keeneland, Ky. where he is entered in this Saturday's Kentucky Futurity/Dixiana Stakes. That race is a distance of 1 1/16th miles. This will be his first race on dirt, which I believe he will like. I also believe this colt will run faster and better with added distance. He will be facing a better field in this race, than his last. His last race, in my eyes should be a throw out. He will be facing Shared Property in this one. I expect to see Majestic City, have an easy win here, maybe by a margin, perhaps even a romp!! He is obviously one of my favorite 2 yr. old colts, as I have him as my profile picture!! He is still young and green, but improves with each race!
Just took a look at Majestic City....He does seem something of a beauty....time will tell...
Or is it Majestic City? Didn't Creative Cause beat all of them....?
henry...and the name of this colt? A toe by three?
I am sorry Jody, but I must respectly disagree! With all due respect to fillies, which I love many, there are only two or three that come to mind, that may be capable of doing so, in the very near future. Motega, Eblouissante and Cora Mariah!! It is of my opinion, next year the long wait for the next Triple Crown winner, shall come to an end!! There is an excellent 2 year old colt, recently making his way east from California! He bears a striking similarity of both, physical appearance and running style, to that of Secretariat! He has the great speed of a sprinter, and I believe he can run a route!He is big, strong and determined! All he needs to do is stay healthy and sound. He appears to have a highlevel of energy and the stamina, to get the job done. He is trained by Peter Miller, of Peter Miller Racing Stables of Los Angeles, California. Sure looks like the one to do it, to me!!
I'm pretty new to racing, but fillies and mares are by far my favorites. My question to this issue is: when will a trainer know to 'pull the trigger' on a filly to run her in the TC. Do fillies show their superiority at the same time as a colt or later? Zenyatta started later then usual, RA wasn't pointed there. Does
Jody, I would agree with you if American trainers would emulate how the Euros train their fillies. Over there, every race it seems is represented by quality fillies who often beat the males. Most recent Arc is a prime example: the winner and the two runners up were females against a huge contingent of Grade 1 males. They must know something our trainers don't: how to train the ladies to keep up with the males and not get burned out like Rachel was. They ran Rachel like a Euro filly, but her conditioning did not keep up with their ambitious campaign. She was basically done after one short season. And look at the great Goldikova! She is just incedible. Black Caviar! Makybe Diva to go back in time a little ways. The trainers in the U.S. evidently lack something. They haven't come up with the right formula to match the record of their overseas counterparts.
  • MableRoberts1 · I wouldn't say the same. I think our trainers are just as good if not better in their techniques. Conditioning is different, but I think training a filly or colt doesn't have too many differences. How many times have horses from Europe come to the US and got completely killed on our tracks by our horses? Many! Does this mean the trainers in europe are lacking certain skills to properly train their colts that we have? I don't think so. I think it's simply the horse, and the luck of the draw. :) · 2240 days ago
  • annmatt · Then, how do you account for the results the Euros and others have had? Just looking at results, not subjectively judging the trainers in the U.S. Results trump opinion...IMHO! · 2240 days ago

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