Kentucky Derby odds: Who is new favorite among 292 choices?

Kentucky Derby odds: Who is new favorite among 292 choices?

Move over, Corniche. There is a new, best-priced favorite in Las Vegas futures wagering for the Kentucky Derby.

See the full list of 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders.

Smile Happy was cut to 16-1 at both Circa Sports and at Caesars Sportsbook at William Hill Nevada. The Runhappy colt who won the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) in November at Churchill Downs has been 17-1 at Circa and 20-1 at Caesars at William Hill.

Jim McIngvale, who owns Smile Happy’s sire Runhappy, made a $5,000 bet Saturday in the Kentucky Derby Future Wager, the biggest influence in making the Kenny McPeek-trained colt the top individual choice at 8-1 in Pool 2 of the Churchill Downs pari-mutuels. But “Mattress Mack” money did not move the number in Nevada because McIngvale said he does all his horse betting in Kentucky.

RELATED: Mattress Mack moves odds again in KDFW.

Corniche drifted from 15-1 (actually plus-1550) to 20-1 at Circa, where he had been favored since the sportsbook’s futures opened Dec. 1. He remains the top choice at Caesars at William Hill, which still has him at the 6-1 odds he has carried since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile on Nov. 5 at Del Mar.

The biggest movers since last week included:

Chasing Time (42-1 to 25-1 Circa). In his first two-turn start, the Not This Time colt won by 7 3/4 lengths in a one-mile allowance Jan. 14 at Oaklawn. “Not a typo,” Zilm said. “The horse continues to just be piled on (by bettors).” Bought by MyRacehorse for $250,000, Chasing Time is one of 27 horses from the Steve Asmussen stable who are on the board in Nevada.

Commandperformance (70-1 to 30-1 Circa). Bets drove the odds lower for the fourth-place finisher in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He has not been back on the track since, at least not for any timed workouts for trainer Todd Pletcher.

Charge It (110-1 to 55-1 Circa). Money also was the driving influence to shorten the odds for this Todd Pletcher-trained Tapit colt who was a close second to Volcanic in his one-mile debut Jan. 8 at Gulfstream Park.

Call Me Midnight (175-1 to 65-1 Caesars at William Hill, 225-1 to 40-1 Circa). Closing from 12 1/2 lengths behind, the Midnight Lute colt won at 28-1 on Saturday in the Lecomte (G3) at Fair Grounds. Trainer Keith Desormeaux said the Risen Star (G2) at the same track Feb. 19 is next for Call Me Midnight.

Varatti (135-1 to 65-1 Circa). All had been quiet with the $350,000 Into Mischief colt since his debut victory Sept. 30 at Belmont Park. Then Pletcher brought him back to face clockers last Monday with a three-furlong work in 37.09 seconds at Palm Beach Downs, raising his backers’ hopes of a move to the Derby trail.

Early Voting (175-1 to 90-1 Circa). Chad Brown trains this debut winner who scored in a one-turn mile Dec. 18 at Aqueduct. The $200,000 Gun Runner colt is working up to the Feb. 5 Withers (G3).

Bye Bye Bobby (350-1 to 125-1 Circa). Chalk this one up to wishful thinking – and betting. The $870,000 Quality Road colt was a stakes winner in his Nov. 23 debut at Zia Park. After a last-place finish in the Remington Springboard Mile, trainer Todd Fincher nominated Bye Bye Bobby for the Riley Allison Derby, a listed, one-mile stakes Saturday at Sunland Park.

Spin Wheel (275-1 to 150-1 Circa). Since breaking his maiden on his third try Nov. 27 at Churchill Downs, this Hard Spun colt has had a steady diet of weekly workouts at Palm Meadows for trainer Rusty Arnold.

As usual, Circa had the most movement in the past week. Paul Zilm raised the odds for 112 horses, cut them for 17, added one horse (Happy Jack, 100-1) and dropped eight to leave his list with 256 horses.

Paul Bach of Caesars at William Hill shortened the prices for 11 horses, made them longer for 10 and added three new choices (Tiz the Bomb 120-1, Constitutionlawyer 125-1, Chasing Time 150-1) without dropping any, bringing the number of betting options to 197.

Between the two sportsbooks, there are 292 horses in the Las Vegas futures market.

Following are the prices posted Sunday night by Circa and Caesars at William Hill along with the closing Pool 2 odds from the KDFW. (Horses dropped from the KDFW were in Pool 1 in November.)

Kentucky Derby futuresCircaC-WHKDFWTrainerSire
Smile Happy  16-1  16-1    8-1Ken McPeekRunhappy
Corniche  20-1    6-1 Bob BaffertQuality Road
Mo Donegal  23-1  25-1  23-1Todd PletcherUncle Mo
Zandon  26-1  25-1  25-1Chad BrownUpstart
Rattle N Roll  30-1  22-1  20-1Ken McPeekConnect
Epicenter  33-1  25-1  24-1Steve AsmussenNot This Time
Newgrange  20-1  35-1 Bob BaffertViolence
Jack Christopher  38-1  15-1  14-1Chad BrownMunnings
Emmanuel  35-1  40-1  17-1Todd PletcherMore Than Ready
Pappacap  35-1  40-1  24-1Mark CasseGun Runner
Commandperformance  30-1  30-1  41-1Todd PletcherUnion Rags
Slow Down Andy  45-1  40-1  20-1Doug O'NeillNyquist
Rocket Dawg  48-1  45-1 Brad CoxClassic Empire
Doppelgänger  50-1  50-1 Bob BaffertInto Mischief
Echo Zulu (f)  35-1  50-1 Steve AsmussenGun Runner
Giant Game  38-1  50-1  28-1Dale RomansGiant's Causeway
God of Love  50-1  Mark CasseCupid
Wit  30-1  50-1 Todd PletcherPractical Joke
Messier  60-1  20-1 Bob BaffertEmpire Maker
Call Me Midnight  40-1  65-1 Keith DesormeauxMidnight Lute
Sir London  65-1  65-1 Simon CallaghanMalibu Moon
Classic Causeway  75-1  35-1  51-1Brian LynchGiant's Causeway
Cyberknife  60-1  75-1 Brad CoxGun Runner
Forbidden Kingdom  42-1  75-1 Richard MandellaAmerican Pharoah
Varatti  65-1  75-1  47-1Todd PletcherInto Mischief
Wharton  55-1  75-1 Bob BaffertCandy Ride
Golden Glider  85-1  Mark CasseGhostzapper
Oviatt Class  90-1  75-1 Keith DesormeauxBernardini
American Icon100-1  80-1 Todd PletcherGun Runner
Big City Lights 100-1 Luis MéndezMr. Big
Bold Journey  80-1100-1 Bill MottHard Spun
Charge It  55-1100-1 Todd PletcherTapit
Dash Attack100-1  75-1  34-1Ken McPeekMunnings
Dean's List100-1100-1 Todd PletcherSpeightstown
H P Moon (r)100-1  65-1 Lacey GaudetMalibu Moon
Happy Jack100-1  Doug O'NeillOxbow
Iron Works  75-1100-1 Todd PletcherDistorted Humor
Mackinnon100-1  Doug O'NeillAmerican Pharoah
Magnolia Midnight175-1  Dallas StewartMidnight Storm
Simplification100-1  50-1  43-1Antonio SanoNot This Time
Winning Map100-1100-1 Bob BaffertLiam's Map
Early Voting  90-1120-1 Chad BrownGun Runner
Tiz the Bomb  50-1120-1  10-1Ken McPeekHit It a Bomb
Bye Bye Bobby125-1  Todd FincherQuality Road
Chancellor Bay 125-1 Daniel PitaHonor Code
Constitutionlawyer 125-1 Ray HandalConstitution
Flying Drummer125-1100-1 Bob BaffertGun Runner
Gold Rush Candy 125-1 Bob BaffertDanzing Candy
Keepcalmcarryon 125-1 Todd PletcherUnion Rags
My Prankster125-1100-1 Todd PletcherInto Mischief
Nakatomi (g)125-1  45-1 Wesley WardFiring Line
Pinehurst125-1100-1 Bob BaffertTwirling Candy
Straight Up G125-1125-1 Richard BaltasStraight Fire
Surfer Dude125-1  Dallas StewartCurlin
Trafalgar135-1  90-1  77-1Al Stall Jr.Lord Nelson
Courvoisier140-1100-1  39-1Kelly BreenTapit
Dry Stout140-1  Mitsunori MakiuraSinister Minister
High Oak140-1  80-1  38-1Bill MottGormley
Major General140-1  55-1  41-1Todd PletcherConstitution
Make It Big140-1100-1  85-1Saffie Joseph Jr.Neolithic
Apprehend150-1150-1 Rene AmescuaArrogate
Chasing Time  25-1150-1  17-1Steve AsmussenNot This Time
Gunite150-1  55-1 Steve AsmussenGun Runner
Howling Time150-1  60-1 Dale RomansNot This Time
In Dreams140-1150-1 Brad CoxFrosted
Little Drama 150-1 Steve AsmussenDramedy
Markhamian 150-1 Juan Carlos ÁvilaSocial Inclusion
Octane (g)150-1  60-1 Carlos DavidBrethren
Overstep150-1120-1 Todd PletcherInto Mischief
Rockefeller150-1  55-1 Bob BaffertMedaglia d'Oro
Senbei125-1150-1 Christophe ClémentCandy Ride
Spin Wheel150-1  Rusty ArnoldHard Spun
Strava150-1100-1 Dallas StewartInto Mischief
Strike Hard150-1135-1 Matthew WilliamsFlashback
Shipsational160-1100-1 Ed BarkerMidshipman
Ben Diesel175-1100-1 Dallas StewartWill Take Charge
Durante150-1175-1 Doug O'NeillDistorted Humor
Fromanothamutha150-1175-1 Ray HandalUnified
Glacial 175-1 Norm CasseFrosted
Home Brew175-1125-1 Brad CoxStreet Sense
Longshadow 175-1 Kelsey DannerTapiture
Page One 175-1 Brad CoxPractical Joke
Quick to Blame175-1  Brad CoxBlame
Tejano Twist (g)175-1  Bret CalhounPractical Joke
Tengo Mis Papeles 175-1 Bret CalhounMy Golden Song
Volcanic175-1150-1 Mark CasseViolence
American Xperiment100-1200-1 Steve AsmussenNyquist
Authorize200-1150-1 Bill MottCurlin
Ava K's Boy 200-1 Carlos MartínClassic Empire
Bochombo 200-1 Luis MéndezStreet Boss
Bodock200-1  Brad CoxStreet Boss
Bourbon Heist200-1  85-1 Ian WilkesPractical Joke
Dean Delivers (g)125-1200-1 Michael YatesCajun Breeze
Double Thunder200-1100-1 Todd PletcherSuper Saver
Dr. Perry200-1125-1 Steve AsmussenInto Mischief
Favorite Outlaw200-1  Steve AsmussenMaclean's Music
Fight Your Corner 200-1 Tony MargottaFrosted
Franklin One Star (g)200-1  Doug O'NeillDanzing Candy
Gunfighter200-1  Brad CoxGhostzapper
Ignitis175-1200-1 D. Wayne LukasNyquist
Joe200-1150-1 Mike TrombettaDeclaration of War
Kid Corleone200-1150-1 Doug O'NeillShackleford
Kupuna200-1150-1 Bret CalhounHard Spun
McLaren Vale200-1125-1 Bob BaffertGun Runner
Murray200-1  75-1 Bob BaffertStreet Sense
Osbourne (g)200-1125-1 Ron MoquettTapiture
Stolen Base 200-1 Mike MakerBodemeister
Trademark (g)200-1125-1 Vicki OliverUpstart
Trust Our Journey 200-1 Carlos DavidAmerican Pharoah
Unpredictable Bay200-1175-1 Al AliCairo Prince
White Abarrio200-1150-1171-1Saffie Joseph Jr.Race Day
Barber Road225-1  John OrtizRaceday
Feelthebeat 225-1 Norman McKnightCupid
Gilded Ruler225-1  Brad CoxInto Mischief
Graphic Detail225-1200-1 Bill MottPractical Joke
Insolito225-1  Brad CoxConnect
Joker Boy 225-1 Brian KorinerPractical Joke
Judge Davis200-1225-1 Shug McGaugheyDistorted Humor
Little Vic225-1150-1 Juan Carlos ÁvilaPractical Joke
Montebello225-1150-1 Bob BaffertCurlin
Trip to Spain 225-1 Jamey ThomasStay Thirsty
Avant Glory 250-1 Saffie Joseph Jr.Khozan
Belgrade250-1150-1 Brendan WalshHard Spun
Bet On Mookie 250-1 Ruben AlvaradoUncaptured
Cajun's Magic (g)250-1100-1 Michael YatesCajun Breeze
Call Me Jamal (g)250-1  Mike PuhichMalibu Moon
Cattin250-1200-1 Ralph NicksNeolithic
Chattalot250-1150-1 Steve AsmussenMidnight Lute
Coinage 150-1 Mark CasseTapit
Cooke Creek250-1175-1 Jeremiah O'DwyerUncle Mo
Elusive Target 250-1 Steve AsmussenGun Runner
Forced Ranking250-1150-1 Chad BrownMastery
Full Disclosure (g) 250-1 Michael YatesCajun Breeze
In Due Time 250-1 Kelly BreenNot This Time
Key Point250-1125-1 Chad BrownInto Mischief
King Cab (g) 250-1 Eddie Plesa Jr.Noble Bird
Lucky Boss 250-1 Ken McPeekStreet Boss
On the Come Up 250-1 Kelly BreenMission Impazible
Overbore 140-1 Wesley WardSpeightstown
Peaceful Waters250-1  Al Stall Jr.Dialed In
Presidential250-1  Steve AsmussenPioneerof the Nile
Red Run250-1150-1 Steve AsmussenGun Runner
Roger McQueen250-1135-1 Larry RivelliUnified
Stellar Tap250-1125-1 Steve AsmussenTapit
Underhill's Tab250-1  Al Stall Jr.Unified
Vivar250-1  Brad CoxCairo Prince
Barossa275-1150-1 Bob BaffertInto Mischief
Blue Kentucky (g)175-1275-1 Wayne CatalanoInclude
Classic Moment275-1135-1 Steve AsmussenClassic Empire
Desert Ruler 275-1 Daniel PitaCandy Ride
Kaely's Brother275-1250-1 Brad CoxTwirling Candy
Kamui275-1125-1 Bob BaffertQuality Road
Kavod275-1175-1 Jim ChapmanLea
Kevin's Folly275-1200-1 Tom AmossDistorted Humor
Life Is Great275-1175-1 Bob KlesarisTapiture
Of a Revolution275-1200-1 Saffie Joseph Jr.Maclean's Music
Practical Coach 275-1 Butch ReidPractical Joke
Red Danger275-1  Brian LynchOrb
Red Knobs275-1  Dale RomansUnion Rags
Rewire (g)275-1  Brad CoxMohaymen
Seal Beach275-1  Mike MakerMidshipman
Sky and Sand275-1  Steve AsmussenMidshipman
Texas Red Hot275-1175-1 Randy MorseTexas Red
Triple Elvis275-1  Chad BrownInto Mischief
What In Blazes275-1200-1 Jerry HollendorferStraight Fire
Back to Normal300-1  Mike MakerLiam's Map
Big Papa Steve300-1  Reid FranceMr. Big
Bourbon's Hope (g)300-1200-1 Charlton BakerExaggerator
Bustin Piètre (g)300-1  Bruce LevineBustin Stones
Capt. Candy (g)300-1  Anthony PecoraroImagining
Churchtown (g)300-1  Roger AttfieldAir Force Blue
Cogburn300-1125-1 Steve AsmussenNot This Time
Combustion300-1  Keizo ItoDiscreet Cat
Concept300-1  Steve AsmussenGun Runner
Cool Papa G300-1250-1 Steve AsmussenMaclean's Music
Costa Terra300-1  Steve AsmussenGun Runner
Dakota Gold300-1  Danny GarganFreud
Deal Go Down 300-1 Mark CasseCairo Prince
Defend300-1140-1 Cathal LynchAmerican Freedom
Don't Wait Up300-1150-1 Tony DutrowUpstart
Duke of Love300-1  Josie CarrollCupid
El Pando300-1100-1 Jaylan ClaryOutwork
Enbarr300-1125-1 Bob BaffertBrody's Cause
Fan the Fire300-1200-1 Mike MakerHard Spun
Fast Draw Munnings300-1  Jeff MullinsMunnings
Finneus300-1125-1 Walther SolisStay Thirsty
Freelancer300-1200-1 Brendan WalshMedaglia d'Oro
Geno300-1  David DonkBig Brown
Gilded Age300-1150-1 Bill MottMedaglia d'Oro
Great Escape300-1175-1 Rodolphe BrissetMidnight Storm
Hagler300-1200-1 Rudy RodríguezTapiture
Headline Report (g)300-1135-1 Wesley WardGormley
Hicksy300-1  Kevin AttardHootenanny
Higher Standard300-1  Tom AmossInto Mischief
Hitting Bombs300-1  Brian LynchGun Runner
Impressionist (g)300-1150-1 Rob AtrasMission Impazible
Ironstone300-1  Willie ArmataMr Speaker
Lightening Larry300-1175-1 Jeff EnglerUncaptured
Local Motive (g)300-1  John Salzman Jr.Divining Rod
Micky From Wexford (g)300-1150-1 John EnnisDialed In
Midnight Chrome300-1  Tyler ServisCalifornia Chrome
Midnight Worker300-1225-1 Todd PletcherOutwork
Misbehaved300-1  Todd PletcherInto Mischief
Mr Jefferson300-1  Mike TrombettaConstitution
Naval Aviator300-1  Brad CoxTapit
Old Town Road300-1  Wesley WardClassic Empire
Rock N Rye300-1225-1 Walther SolisStay Thirsty
Rotknee300-1200-1 Mike MakerRunhappy
Run Curtis Run300-1300-1 Mike MakerSummer Front
Smarten Up300-1  Alfredo VelázquezAmerican Freedom
So Determined300-1200-1 Todd PletcherInto Mischief
Un Ojo (g)300-1  Tony DutrowLaoban
Vodka N Water300-1  Steve AsmussenFed Biz
Winterwood300-1  Rodolphe BrissetMaclean's Music
Zatip300-1125-1 Graham MotionTapit
Barese325-1200-1 Mike MakerLaoban
Legendary Lore325-1250-1 Bill MoreyPractical Joke
Power Agenda325-1175-1 Todd PletcherNyquist
Rhetoric325-1  Bob BaffertQuality Road
Sacred Samurai325-1  Joe SharpFirst Samurai
Speaking Scout325-1  Graham MotionMr Speaker
A. P.'s Secret350-1150-1 Saffie Joseph Jr.Cupid
Affable Monarch350-1175-1 Jorge DuarteArrogate
All in Sync350-1  Steve AsmussenMaclean's Music
Almanzo350-1  Brad CoxTapit
Alottahope350-1  John RobbEditorial
Aquitania Arrival (g) 350-1 Rene AmescuaCarpe Diem
B Sudd350-1250-1 Dallas StewartJimmy Creed
Brigadier General350-1  Dallas StewartStreet Sense
Bron and Brow350-1  Ruben AlvaradoGormley
Cairama350-1300-1 Steve AsmussenCairo Prince
Candy Landing (r)350-1200-1 Brendan WalshTwirling Candy
Daufuskie Island350-1250-1 Jeremiah EnglehartGoldencents
Don'tcrossthedevil350-1  Phil D'AmatoCross Traffic
Guntown350-1175-1 Steve AsmussenGun Runner
Hoist the Gold300-1350-1 Dallas StewartMineshaft
Hope In Him300-1350-1 Joe OrsenoChitu
Husband Material350-1  Jimmy TonerAmerican Pharoah
Mamzooj350-1  Dan PeitzDaaher
Matt Doyle350-1  Chad SummersViolence
Pressure350-1225-1 Steve AsmussenInto Mischief
Ten Gauge350-1  Steve AsmussenGun Runner
Tops the Chart (g) 350-1 Jorge DuarteMaclean's Music
Twenty Four Mamba350-1300-1 Mark CasseClassic Empire
Unbridled Bomber350-1  Jim RyersonUpstart
Union Train350-1160-1 John ShirreffsUnion Rags
Unique Unions (g)350-1  Rick SchosbergUnion Jackson
Whittington Park350-1250-1 Brad CoxMidnight Lute
Baladi375-1300-1 Brendan WalshPioneerof the Nile
Bali's Shade375-1  Rudy RodríguezBal a Bali
American Sanctuary400-1  Chris DavisAmerican Freedom
Annapolis400-1150-1 Todd PletcherWar Front
Bureau400-1  Ron MoquettMastery
Chileno400-1  Steve AsmussenGun Runner
Dance Code400-1200-1 Juan VázquezHonor Code
Degree of Risk (r)400-1  Eoin HartyCairo Prince
Hot Rod Rumble (g)400-1  Steve AsmussenMidnight Storm
Kenner400-1175-1 Jamie NessLaoban
Line Change400-1200-1 Mike StidhamNyquist
Mob Boss400-1  Jeff BondeSky Mesa
Nineties Country400-1150-1 Brad CoxConnect
O Captain400-1150-1 Gustavo DelgadoCarpe Diem
Ohtwoohthreefive400-1  George WeaverUnion Rags
On Thin Ice400-1  Mark CasseMore Than Ready
Ottoman Empire400-1  Tom AmossClassic Empire
Oubabe400-1  John SadlerHe Be Fire N Ice
Pec Tacular400-1  Bob Hess Jr.Outwork
Rich Strike400-1  Eric ReedKeen Ice
Rod Two Rod400-1  Gustavo DelgadoUnified
Rowdy Rascal (g)400-1  Boyd CasterDen's Legacy
Ruggs400-1  Ron MoquettGun Runner
Shastree400-1275-1 Teresa PompayStreet Sense
Skippylongstocking400-1275-1 Saffie Joseph Jr.Exaggerator
Speaking (g)400-1200-1 Eddie Owens Jr.Mr Speaker
Spuntacular400-1300-1 Juan Carlos ÁvilaHard Spun
Street Art 400-1 Keith DesormeauxStreet Boss
Thirsty Always400-1175-1 Walther SolisStay Thirsty
Tough to Tame400-1200-1 Chris DavisSpeightster
Unified Report400-1300-1 Dallas StewartUnified
Waita Minute Hayes400-1  Ricky CourvilleTiznow
Who Hoo Thats Me400-1275-1 Jorge AbreuKeen Ice
Forty Stripes450-1350-1 Jerry HollendorferMunnings
Baytown Frosty 300-1 Paul McEnteeFrosted
Bueno Bueno500-1  Jack SistersonLord Nelson
Eloquist500-1  Butch ReidNyquist
Immoral (g)500-1  Brittany RussellInto Mischief
Mr. Bouma500-1  Dale RomansCandy Ride
Mr. Mox (g)500-1350-1 Jamie NessDivining Rod
Mumayaz500-1  Dan PeitzBodemeister
Olympic Legend500-1  Luis MéndezStreet Boss
Revenir (g)500-1  Danny PishHard Spun
Shamayim500-1  Rosa RamírezCrema d'Oro
All other 3-year-olds*      9-5  
f-Filly g-Gelding r-Ridgling     
Circa: Circa Sports     
C-WH: Caesars at William Hill     
KDFW: Ky. Derby Future Wager     
*Not among KDFW indiv. choices     
Dropped:     
 Aspen Shade (450-1 Circa)     
 Baytown Frosty (500-1 Circa)     
 Beast or Famine (400-1 Circa)     
 Ben Diesel (66-1 KDFW)     
 Chancellor Bay (300-1 Circa)     
 Coinage (250-1 Circa)     
 Double Thunder (72-1 KDFW)     
 Forced Ranking (138-1 KDFW)     
 Graphic Detail (133-1 KDFW)     
 Gunite (25-1 KDFW)     
 Howling Time (43-1 KDFW)     
 Keepcalmcarryon (300-1 Circa)     
 Osbourne (155-1 Circa)     
 Oviatt Class (87-1 KDFW)     
 Trip to Spain (400-1 Circa)     
 All 3-yr-old fillies* (41-1 KDFW)    

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