Ky. Derby odds: See how futures dust settles for 219 horses

Ky. Derby odds: See how futures dust settles for 219 horses

During a weekend full of movement in the national and Nevada futures markets, Forte burnished his place as the favorite to win Kentucky Derby 2023.

Biding his time until his next start March 4 in the Fountain of Youth (G2) at Gulfstream Park, the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner closed Sunday as the top individual choice in pool 3 of pari-mutuel Kentucky Derby Future Wager conducted nationwide by Churchill Downs. Forte’s 7-1 KDFW odds, actually plus 786, virtually matched his fixed-odds price in Las Vegas at Circa Sports, where Forte went from plus 750 to plus 775.

Pari-mutuels: Closing odds for Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

At Caesars Sportsbook, though, Nevada bettors still could get the Todd Pletcher-trained Violence colt at 10-1, second only to Bob Baffert’s debut winner Arabian Knight at 8-1.

Three of the 38 individual horses offered in the KDFW closed with better odds than they had Monday morning in Las Vegas. Two Phil’s, who finished second Saturday at Fair Grounds in the Lecomte (G2), was 91-1. Tapit Shoes, fourth in a high-profile allowance on the Lecomte undercard, was 105-1. Prairie Hawk, an allowance winner this month at Tampa Bay Downs, was 171-1.

Instant Coffee, who made the Lecomte his second victory in a Derby points prep, was cut to 20-1 at both books in Las Vegas and closed at 15-1 in the KDFW. One of 17 futures choices from the Brad Cox stable, the Bolt d’Oro colt had been 70-1 at Circa and 50-1 at Caesars.

Hejazi, the $3.55 million colt who broke his maiden last Sunday at Santa Anita, shortened for the second week in a row in Nevada. Caesars took him from 75-1 to 50-1; William Hill from 80-1 to 25-1.

Because Hejazi is one of 21 futures horses trained by Baffert, he would have to be transferred to another trainer by Feb. 28 in order to be eligible for Derby qualifying. The deadline in a little more than five weeks was written into the Triple Crown nomination rules and reported Sunday by Daily Racing Form’s David Grening.

Baffert has been fighting that rule and other repercussions from the disputed drug test that the late Medina Spirit failed after he finished first in the 2021 Kentucky Derby. That led not only to a disqualification but Baffert’s two-year suspension by Churchill Downs Inc.

As usual, Circa was the most active shop when it came to moving its odds. It cut the prices for 14 horses, drifted them for 142 others, added five new choices and dropped 20.

Caesars added five names to bring its list to 140. It shortened the odds for 17 horses and made them longer for nine others.

After a net loss of four horses, these were a combined 219 listed Monday morning in the fixed-odds and pari-mutuel futures markets for Kentucky Derby 2023, shown in order of their best prices as shown in bold face:

Kentucky Derby 2023KDFWCaesarsCircaTrainer
*All other 3yo males    2-1   
Forte     7-1  10-1     7-1Todd Pletcher
Arabian Knight      8-1  11-1Bob Baffert
Instant Coffee   15-1  20-1  20-1Brad Cox
Extra Añejo   18-1   15-1  25-1Steve Asmussen
National Treasure    20-1  25-1Bob Baffert
Expect More    27-1Todd Pletcher
Faustin    22-1  27-1Bob Baffert
*All 3-year-old fillies  33-1   
Giant Mischief   27-1   30-1  34-1Brad Cox
Cave Rock    12-1  35-1Bob Baffert
Hoosier Philly (f)    25-1  35-1Tom Amoss
Loggins   16-1   20-1  35-1Brad Cox
Hejazi   50-1   25-1Bob Baffert
Signator   34-1   35-1  50-1Shug McGaughey
Victory Formation   23-1  50-1   30-1Brad Cox
Arabian Lion    15-1  58-1Bob Baffert
Banishing   27-1   45-1  60-1Brendan Walsh
Havnameltdown    35-1  68-1Bob Baffert
Blazing Sevens   28-1   45-1  70-1Chad Brown
Cyclone Mischief   44-1  70-1  70-1Dale Romans
Tapit Trice   45-1  70-1   65-1Todd Pletcher
Echo Again   67-1  75-1   60-1Steve Asmussen
First Defender    75-1Steve Asmussen
Kingsbarns   32-1  75-1  75-1Todd Pletcher
Point Proven   75-1   60-1Todd Pletcher
Spun Intended   75-1 Mark Glatt
Verifying   34-1   40-1  80-1Brad Cox
Disarm   58-1   60-1  85-1Steve Asmussen
Jace’s Road   69-1   60-1  85-1Brad Cox
Litigate   82-1   75-1  85-1Todd Pletcher
Newgate    70-1  90-1Bob Baffert
Practical Move   58-1  90-1   80-1Tim Yakteen
Reincarnate    50-1  90-1Bob Baffert
Two Phil’s  91-1   75-1   85-1Larry Rivelli
Corona Bolt   32-1   40-1100-1Brad Cox
Curly Jack   56-1100-1   34-1Tom Amoss
Determinedly 100-1   70-1Mark Casse
Fort Warren    75-1100-1Bob Baffert
Gulfport   85-1100-1100-1Steve Asmussen
Mo Strike 100-1 Brad Cox
Post Time 100-1100-1Brittany Russell
Speed Boat Beach    75-1100-1Bob Baffert
Tapit’s Conquest   62-1   85-1100-1Brad Cox
Worcester 100-1   70-1Bob Baffert
Tapit Shoes105-1   60-1   60-1Brad Cox
Dubyuhnell   42-1   90-1115-1Danny Gargan
Wildatlanticstorm   64-1 100-1120-1Ray Ashford
Classic Legacy  110-1125-1Bill Mott
Damon’s Mound 125-1 Michelle Lovell
Lost Ark 125-1 Todd Pletcher
Owen’s Leap 125-1 Tom Amoss
Shopper’s Revenge   56-1 110-1125-1Steve Asmussen
Slip Mahoney 125-1125-1Brad Cox
Tahoma 125-1 Doug O’Neill
Mr. Ripple    60-1130-1Saffie Joseph Jr.
Awesome Strong    45-1135-1Jorge Delgado
Hit Show   77-1 125-1135-1Brad Cox
Rudder’s Men  125-1135-1Todd Pletcher
Confidence Game   78-1   75-1150-1Keith Desormeaux
Crupi 150-1   45-1Todd Pletcher
Forbidden Secret  100-1150-1Todd Pletcher
Jungfrau  100-1150-1Bill Mott
Please Be Nice  150-1Bill Mott
Sgt. Pepper  150-1Todd Pletcher
Stud Lovin 150-1 Mike Maker
Super Chow  100-1150-1Jorge Delgado
Uncorrelated  125-1150-1Chad Brown
Shesterkin 103-1 135-1165-1Todd Pletcher
Fort Bragg  125-1170-1Bob Baffert
Prairie Hawk171-1  125-1Saffie Joseph Jr.
Bromley  150-1175-1Paulo Lobo
Cajun Hope 175-1 Michael Yates
Giver Not a Taker  150-1175-1Peter Miller
Harlocap  175-1Bob Baffert
Joking Way  175-1Steve Asmussen
Kangaroo Court (g)  150-1175-1Tim Yakteen
Light Man 175-1 Bruce Levine
Lugan Knight 121-1 100-1175-1Michael McCarthy
Mr Fisk  100-1175-1Bob Baffert
New York Thunder  175-1Jorge Delgado
Ringside  175-1Todd Pletcher
Sun Thunder   58-1 150-1175-1Kenny McPeek
Wonder Wheel (f)  175-1Mark Casse
Agency 200-1 Mark Glatt
Angel of Empire 125-1 200-1Brad Cox
Arctic Arrogance   85-1 100-1200-1Linda Rice
Case  200-1Jonathan Thomas
Champions Dream  135-1200-1Danny Gargan
Divemaster 200-1 Wayne Catalano
Emperor’s Appeal  135-1200-1Brian Lynch
General Jim  200-1Shug McGaughey
Gun Pilot 103-1 150-1200-1Steve Asmussen
Jackstown  100-1200-1Bob Baffert
Neural Network  200-1Chad Brown
Quick Hammer  150-1200-1Brad Cox
Roman Giant 200-1 Steve Asmussen
Silver Heist  150-1200-1Steve Asmussen
Sonoran  200-1Bob Baffert
Summonyourcourage  200-1Todd Pletcher
Two of a Kind  135-1200-1Brian Lynch
Yellow Brick  200-1Richard Mandella
Clubhouse  225-1Todd Pletcher
Derma Sotogake  225-1Hidetaka Otonashi
Gandolfini  150-1225-1Bob Baffert
Honed  100-1225-1Kenny McPeek
Howgreatisnate  225-1Andy Simoff
Lord Miles  125-1225-1Saffie Joseph Jr.
Turbo  125-1225-1Juan Alvarado
Tuskegee Airmen  150-1225-1John Servis
Zydeceaux  225-1Ramón Minguet
Aaraj  150-1250-1José D’Angelo
Baby Billy  250-1Jack Sisterson
Cage Match  250-1Saffie Joseph Jr.
Capture the Flag    75-1250-1Shug McGaughey
Circling the Drain  250-1Brittany Russell
Denington  250-1Kenny McPeek
Funtastic Again  250-1Wesley Ward
General Banker  250-1Jimmy Ferraro
Hal (g)  250-1Darwin Banach
Major Dude  175-1250-1Todd Pletcher
Massimo  135-1250-1Bob Baffert
Midnight Trouble 250-1 200-1Anthony Pecoraro
Navy Man  250-1Michael McCarthy
Ohana Honor  250-1Shug McGaughey
Phileas Fogg  150-1250-1Michael Stidham
Power in Numbers  250-1Chad Brown
Powerful  125-1250-1Steve Asmussen
Prince of Jericho  150-1250-1Brittany Russell
Protégé  150-1250-1Ron Moquett
Prove Right  250-1Jim Chapman
Quick to Accuse  250-1Horácio de Paz
Red Route One  135-1250-1Steve Asmussen
Rocket and Roll  250-1Brad Cox
Rule It  250-1Todd Pletcher
Run Cory Run  250-1Saffie Joseph Jr.
Ten Days Later  250-1Kenny McPeek
This Run’s for You 250-1 Kathleen O’Connell
Carmel Road  150-1275-1Bob Baffert
Classic Catch  150-1275-1Todd Pletcher
Classical Cat  175-1275-1Phil D’Amato
Communication Memo  135-1275-1Steve Asmussen
Frank’s Honor  125-1275-1Kenny McPeek
Full Moon Madness  200-1275-1Michelle Nevin
Knox  150-1275-1Saffie Joseph Jr.
X Y Point  150-1275-1Saffie Joseph Jr.
Blame It On Daddy  250-1300-1Tom Albertrani
Cascais  300-1Chad Brown
Continuar  300-1Yoshito Yahagi
Frosted Departure  175-1300-1Kenny McPeek
Ghost Hero  300-1Jayde Gelner
Gilmore  110-1300-1Bob Baffert
Handsome Playboy (g)  300-1Gerald Bennett
Hard to Handle  250-1300-1David Fawkes
Hayes Strike  300-1Kenny McPeek
Il Miracolo  300-1Antonio Sano
Infinite Series  300-1Saffie Joseph Jr.
Invulnerable  300-1Joe Sharp
Jackson Heights  175-1300-1Orlando Noda
Johnyz From Albany (g)  300-1Dale Capuano
Judo  175-1300-1Brad Cox
Kingdom Heart  150-1300-1Carlos Muñoz
Kool Kathmandu (g)  300-1Charlton Baker
Legacy Isle  135-1300-1Rohan Crichton
Man Child (g)  300-1Ryan Hanson
My Billeeboy  300-1Terri Pompay
Natural Harbor  300-1Tom Amoss
Recruiter 145-1 300-1Cathal Lynch
Release McCraken  300-1Bret Calhoun
Roan Burgundy  250-1300-1Brittany Russell
Rocket Can 121-1 300-1Bill Mott
Roll On Big Joe  300-1Bob Hess Jr.
Rolling On  250-1300-1Rohan Crichton
Straighten Up  175-1300-1Mike Puype
Sully  300-1John Shirreffs
Swirvin  200-1300-1Saffie Joseph Jr.
Tap in Formation 300-1300-1Wayne Catalano
Wild Mule  300-1Jerry Hollendorfer
Wound Up  300-1Michael McCarthy
Yamanin Ours  300-1Takashi Saito
Eyes On the King  250-1325-1Mark Casse
Acoustic Ave  350-1Christophe Clément
Alto Road  350-1Ronnie Cravens
American Blaze  250-1350-1Ben Colebrook
Andiamo a Firenze  150-1350-1Kelly Breen
Andthewinneris  350-1Wayne Catalano
Apocalypso  200-1350-1Saffie Joseph Jr.
Ari Gold  350-1Todd Pletcher
Arman  175-1350-1Simon Callaghan
Armstrong  350-1Mark Casse
B Minor  175-1350-1Kenny McPeek
Bourbon Bash  175-1350-1D. Wayne Lukas
Bourbon Spirit  150-1350-1Brad Cox
Campfire Creed  350-1Danny Pish
Canarsie  225-1350-1Todd Pletcher
Carabinero  350-1Claudio González
Chase the Chaos  350-1Ed Moger
Coffeewithchris  350-1John Salzman Jr.
Congruent  200-1350-1Antonio Sano
Count de Monet  350-1Tom Swearingen
Daydreaming Boy  350-1Lou Linder
Donegal Surges  150-1350-1Todd Pletcher
Freedom Trail  350-1John Terranova
Giroovin  350-1Genaro García
Goodlookinrags  350-1Jane Cibelli
Gran Slash  200-1350-1Víctor Barboza Jr.
Hurricane J  175-1350-1Paulo Lobo
Lights of Broadway  350-1Mark Casse
Passarando (g)  350-1Steve Specht
Poulin in O T  350-1Steve Owens
Raise Cain  175-1350-1Ben Colebrook
Top Recruit  150-1350-1Mike Maker
Traffic Master  175-1350-1Mark Casse
Tres Soles  175-1350-1Steve Asmussen
Tigre  300-1375-1Roger Laurin
Tumbarumba (g)  375-1Brian Lynch
Bobby the Tank  400-1Linda Rice
El de Chimi  200-1400-1Juan Carlos Ávila
Login Required  400-1José Camejo
Old Alliance  200-1400-1Michael Stidham
Valenzan Day  400-1Linda Rice
(f) filly - (g) gelding    
*Other than KDFW indiv.   

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