Horak: How I'm betting Saratoga's Schuylerville

Horak: How I'm betting Saratoga's Schuylerville
Photo: Coady Photography

2-year-old racing at Saratoga is always competitive, and the Grade 3, $100,000 Schuylerville Stakes is no exception. The 2020 renewal will be run on Thursday and is carded as the eighth race with a scheduled post time of 5:14 p.m. ET. 

Let’s look back at some of the recent Schuylerville winners and see if we can spot any trends. 

  • 2019 - Comical ($8.20) - Speed (post 5) - Last raced SA
  • 2018 - Catherinethegreat ($8.40) - Speed (post 1) - Last raced GP
  • 2017 - Dream It Is ($11.00) - Speed (post 4) - Last raced WO
  • 2016 - Sweet Loretta ($10.80) - Close (post 4) - Last raced MTH
  • 2015 - Off the Tracks ($19.60) - Speed (post 4) - Last raced GP
  • 2014 - Fashion Alert ($2.40) - Speed (Post 4) - Last raced BEL
  • 2013 - Brazen Persuasion ($2.80) - Speed (Post 4) - Last raced CD
  • 2013 - Bahnah ($2.40) - Speed (Post 5) - Last raced CD
  • 2012 - So Many Ways ($7.60) - Stalk (Post 6) - Last raced PRX
  • 2011 - Georgie’s Angel ($3.90) - Press (Post 6) - Last raced CD
  • 2010 - Le Me Geaux ($20.20) - Stalk (Post 2) - Last raced CD
  • 2009 - Hot Dixie Chick ($5.30) - Speed (Post 1) - Last raced CD
  • 2008 - Jardin ($26.40) - Stalk (Post 9) - Last raced CD
  • 2007 - Subtle Aly ($10.20) - Stalk (Post 4) - Last raced CD

First of all, the last post time favorite to win was Fashion Alert in 2014. Horses with early-pressing speed breaking from middle posts fared well, and runners exiting a race at Churchill Downs captured seven of the last fourteen. Note that there was a dead-heat for the win in 2013, and the co-winners both exited a race under the Twin Spires. 

The two favorites this year are early-pressing types exiting victories at Churchill Downs. Beautiful Memories is 6-5 on the line, and she seized command early and spurted away to score by ten easy lengths as the overwhelming favorite in her debut on May 28. She is going to be tough to deny if she runs the same race for Jose Ortiz and Mark Casse.

Hopeful Princess is the second choice, and she pressed the pace and gamely prevailed in her 4.5 furlong debut on May 21, and the show finisher was more than six lengths back. She shows back-to-back local training track bullets for this engagement, and her new trainer Steve Asmussen has saddled the winner of the Schuylerville Stakes three times since 2008.

Queen Arella overcame a bad start to easily dispose of Thursday’s rival Hara in her May 29 bow, and the latter returned to win by six lengths June 19. She was a $1,000 yearling purchase, and the bargain baby banked $24,000 in her debut. Joel Rosario ends up here. She is interesting at a bit of a price. 

Quinoa Tifah stalked from the outside post and graduated in her career debut at 4.5 furlongs, and it was almost ten lengths back to the show finisher.

Hara dueled and was second best in her debut, and got to the lead and kept on going second time out. Both of those races were at Gulfstream, and she earned a better number last time. She looms a pace factor at the very least.

Dayoutoftheoffice cruised to an easy front running victory in her Gulfstream debut on May 14. She is almost certainly going to impact the pace.

Make Mischief stalked and scored as the favorite in her debut vs. New York-bred foes on June 18. Mark Casse’s $285,000 purchase will have to run faster to win this. 

Sunny Isle Beach broke from the far outside post and struck from midpack to win her $75,000 maiden claiming debut by a head on June 6. This is a tough assignment.

This race might come down to the two Churchill shippers, and Hopeful Princess will offer a bit more value than the favored Beautiful Memories. I will use Queen Arella and Quinoa Tifah underneath in exotics, and I’ll also include Hara in the superfecta. 

Schuylerville Top 4 Selections: 

Top Choice - #8 Hopeful Princess

Second - #3 Beautiful Memories 

Third - #6 Queen Arella

Fourth - #4 Quinoa Tifah 

Wagers:

#8 to win

exacta 8,3

trifecta key 8/3,4,6

Superfecta 3,8/3,8/2,4,6/2,4,6

2020 Schuylerville (G3)

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