January 01, 0001 12:00am

 

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A really, really nice debut for this son of Frankel at Epsom. A solid closing effort to be 2nd to Cape Of Good Hope in the Blue Riband Trial over a Mile & a Quarter.
I hate to write off the overseas horses, because of what Gronkowski did to my tickets last year, but I have to point out he is the only horse that has already run a mile and a quarter (on the turf). He came in 4th and 2nd in those two races.
Sharp Samurai worked 5f, April 24th, in 1:01.60 (h) finishing 9/30
Combatant worked 4f, April 24th, in 50.60 (b) finishing 11/23
Ostinato worked 4f, April 24th, in 48.20 (b) finishing 10/70
Chocolate Martini worked 4f, April 24th, in 48.60 (B) finishing 8/15
Holy Helena worked 7f, April 24th, in 1:30.00 (b) finishing 1/1
Haven't researched perhaps someone has the answer at hand. Being a tri/super player I'll go Hi-5 in the KD due to a desirable combination stupid money and shaving a cpl years off retirement with a hit. Remarkably no ticket hits, does it pay on 1-4-all, etc, or carry?
Hawkish worked 4f, April 24th, in 48.55 (B) finishing 7/27
The days are long at Belmont. Speed they never learn. And it's many a day since Man o' War Has looped the upper turn. The guineas stopped their rubbing, The rider dropped his tack When the word went round that Man o' War Was coming on the track. The crowd was hoarse with cheering At ancient Pimlico The day he won the Preakness- But that was long ago. The dust is deep at Windsor, The good old days are gone. And many a horse is forgotten, But they still remember one. For he was a fiery phantom To that multitudinous throng- Would you wait for another one like him? Be patient: years are long. For here was a horse among horses, Cast in a Titan's mold, And the slant October sunlight Gilded the living gold. He was marked with the god's own giving And winged in every part; The look of eagles was in his eye And Hastings' wrath in his heart. Young Equipoise had power To rouse the crowded stand, And there was magic in the name Of Greentree's Twenty Grand. And Sarazen has sprinted, And Gallant Fox has stayed, And Discovery has glittered In the wake of Cavalcade. We watch the heroes parading, We wait, and our eyes are dim, But we never discover another Like him. A foal is born at midnight And in the frosty morn The horseman eyes him fondly And a secret hope is born. But breathe it not, nor whisper, For fear of a neighbor's scorn: He's a chestnut colt, and he's got a star- He may be another Man o' War. Nay, say it aloud--be shameless. Dream and hope and yearn, For there's never a man among you But waits for his return. Big Red ... Written by Joseph Alvie Estes. First published in BH, October 23, 1937.
Worst Kentucky Derby winner of the 2000s.
American Pharoah's last serious work before the BC Classic. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qVuGj6NAH38
There’s only a few that will be competitive at 1 ¼. From his races 1 ¼ will be right up to his alley. It will be the perfect distance for him. He has a solid stride and good cruising speed. That should bold well for the derby. Another note is he’s never been trapped or been in a bad spot to stop his momentum. Going wide isn’t always ideal but hasn’t been bad for him either. Churchill track is also a factor. We know GW has no issue with the track so there is no if about whether he’ll like the track or not. One thing about GW is that he needs a target. Guaranteed there will be plenty of targets for him to run them down. Time this guy right and he will live up to his name, Game Winner.
Forget about "Omaha Beach" winning the KD folks, he's got NO CHANCE!!! There's no stamina there, this horse doesn't want a hard fought 10f, he's gonna fade away like a 'fart in the wind' with at least a furlong still to go, there's also no track form, NOPE, he's just not got what it takes to get the glory on Saturday May 4th.
Good discussion going. I'm interested to know if there any horses that are be groomed specifically for the preakness. Does anyone know?
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  • Mary Y. via Disqus · Tesio winner, Alwaysmining · 13 hours ago
  • travel_vic · Old Hilltop is a much more early biased race course....MUCH more · 12 hours ago
Are her and Monomoy picking dandelions together in the field? What happened to Red Ruby?
https://twitter.com/KentuckyDerby/status/1121004583063416832
This horse is so UNDERRATED
If Justify is up against a field of the past 19 KD winners Always Dreaming Nyquist American Pharoah California Chrome Orb I’ll Have Another Super Saver Animal Kingdom Mine that Bird Big Brown Street Sense Barbaro Giacomo Smarty Jones Funny Cide War Emblem Monarchos Fusagi Pegasus Charismatic Where would Justify finish in a gate with the past KD horses, with Justify getting the outside gate, and each year’s horse gets the inner post. When prediticting use them when they are at their peak, not what they were at the KD Derby. I would have American Pharoah winning with a time of around 2 flat, with Smarty Jones , California Chrome, I’ll Have Another, and Barbaro rounding the top 5 up. In my opinion Justify would finish at least 10+, definetly behind horses like Funny Cide, Big Brown, Street Sense, Charismatc, etc. The only horse I think Justify would definetly beat on this list are Orb, Animal Kingdom, Super Saver, and Giacomo. I think the others could all beat him. Justify can get the lead if he wants too, but he can run under 23:00 with War Emblem right by his side, then get passed ove by AP, CC, Smarty Jones, and closers like Mine that Bird and I’ll Have Another, who can run under 2;02, which I don’t know if Justify is capable of doing if holding a fast pace. He got very lucky that his crop was awful, because no one closed him down on the KD though he ran above a 2;04.
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  • Silver Charm via Disqus · I think the winner on a Dry Fast track would be out of Barbaro or A.P. I’m not sure tho and Smarty Jones should be in there too but I’ll go with... 1.) American Pharoah 2.) Smarty Jones - Should have won the triple crown 3.) Barbaro 4.) Monarchos 5.) I’ll Have Another 6.) Big Brown 7.) California Chrome 8.) Nyquist 9.) Funny Cide 10.) War Emblem 11.) Charasmatic 12.) Street Sense 13.) Justify 14.) Animal kingdom 15.) Giacomo 16.) Mine that Bird 17.) Always Dreaming 18.) Fusaichi Pegasus 19.) Super Saver · 16 hours ago
  • BeastBob via Disqus · In a field with all KD winners, the trip will be a significant factor. With that in mind, i'll eliminate all closers from the winning circle. Then I'll eliminate all the front-running winners with weaker form. After saying all that, Big Brown on monthly steroid treatment will be very tough to beat regardless of the trip. · 12 hours ago
Lookin At Lee worked 5f, April 23rd, in 1:00.00 (b) finishing 2/19

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