Let’s take a look at an intriguing eight-race Delaware Park Wednesday program that gets underway at 12:30 p.m. EDT.
Best Bet: Factor In (Race 4)
Best Value Bet: Luckbealadytonight (Race 1)
No. 6 Luckbealadytonight (6-1) tries a new low and has won each of her last two starts over this course and distance. She should get a good setup, and the price seems more than fair. No. 2 Cocktails at Eight (9-5, morning-line favorite) drops in class, has speed, and owns a decent record at Delaware (4: 1-1-0). However, she could get used up in an early duel. No. 1 The Biggest One (8-1) could make an impact against these shipping in from Parx, but must contend with Cocktails at Eight up front.
How I’d Bet It (based on $100 budget): $6 exacta box 2/6, $12 win 6
No. 4 Factor In (2-1, morning-line favorite) will be difficult to beat if she runs back to either of her last two dirt route results over fast ground. Trainer Brittany Russell has enjoyed incredible success in the first few weeks of the Delaware meet, going 14: 4-4-4. No. 3 Courageous Girl (3-1) intrigues shipping in from the NYRA circuit off six in-the-money results in her last seven races, and gives jockey Victor Carrasco tactical options. No. 5 Ghost Maiden (8-1) and No. 7 Style (4-1) both ran second in their most recent route race over this course, consider underneath.
How I’d Bet It: $4 trifecta 4/3/5,7, $1 trifecta 4/3,5,7/3,5,7, $2 exacta 4/3,5,7
No. 6 Igloo (8-5, morning-line favorite) exits a third-place finish in Belmont’s License Fee Stakes, and would seem to be shipping to Delaware with intent for trainer Jonathan Thomas, as he’s won with three of his first four charges here. Jaime Rodriguez – currently leading at the meet with 18 triumphs – sees fit to climb aboard. No. 3 Golden Can (4-1) lures Carol Cedeno off an allowance victory at Pimlico sprinting five furlongs on the lawn – could be the one to catch. No. 2 Puppymonkeybaby (5-1) won three straight races – two of which were turf sprints – before flopping in two consecutive starts and hitting the shelf. Trainer Sarah Nagle wins at 16 percent with 90+ day layoff runners, and Jevian Toledo picks up the assignment. No. 4 Mundle of Joy (8-1) makes her turf debut off a long layoff, but her dam is by Kitten’s Joy, so grass influence is in her pedigree.
How I’d Bet It: $6 exacta 6/3, $4 exacta 6/2,4, $4 win 4
No. 2 Bandits Warrior (8-5, morning-line favorite) is one of three entered in the Lewes Stakes by trainer John Robb, who sports a 9: 4-3-0 record on the meet. She was the choice of Xavier Perez (10: 4-3-0), and looms large off her strong recent speed figure going 5 1/2-furlongs at Laurel Park. No. 1 Mama G’s Wish (5-1) won her most recent start at Delaware, but beat just three others home and loses Perez. However, Cedeno will ride instead. No. 5 Cashing Big Checks (7-2) won and placed second over her first two starts sprinting over this strip – the return works for Jamie Ness (29: 7-6-6) are encouraging.
How I’d Bet It: $10 exacta 2/1,5
No. 3 Substantial (7-5, morning-line favorite) has some legitimate excuses for his last three clunkers, with two bad breaks on dirt followed by an ill-advised turf try. Ness takes over the training here and names Rodriguez to ride – if Substantial can find his back class, the rest are running for second. No. 4 Boppin Anda Weavin (2-1) has campaigned primarily on turf over the last two years, but has a win and a third-place result against tougher in his last two dirt sprints. No. 7 Classy Solution (6-1) dueled and faded in his latest six-furlong try but scales back slightly here – the choice for second if either of the favorites falters.
How I’d Bet It: $6 exacta box 3/4, $3 exacta 3,4/7