First look at Breeders' Cup 2019 odds: Classic, Distaff and more

October 08, 2019 05:13pm

Absent a go-to source for advanced Breeders' Cup odds domestically, we perused the prices in international books leaving the final round of major preps for the Nov. 1-2 championships at Santa Anita Park.

Below, see via, an aggregate of overseas race books, the best available prices as of Tuesday for some likely Breeders' Cup contenders. Of course, there's plenty of shaping up still left to go, especially in the turf divisions, which figure to gain more European participants in the coming days.

This article focuses Saturday races ahead of Breeders' Cup pre-entries being announced Oct. 23. The true morning line then arrives the Monday of race week along with post positions.

As with last year, five juvenile races will comprise Friday's championship events before 3-year-olds and up run in these Saturday events culminating with the Breeders' Cup Classic.

Now, here's an early look at the odds:

Breeders' Cup Classic
There appear to be more questions than answers going into this year’s Classic than in recent years. How will Elate do agains the boys? Will a victory by Code of Honor be enough for Eclipse Awards consideration? Who will ride McKinzie? Is there any chance Omaha Beach goes here off a six-furlong win in the Santa Anita Sprint Championship (G1)? Essentially, while there's no superstar present, story lines are aplenty.

McKinzieBob Baffert 4-1
Code of HonorShug McGaughey5-1
Vino RossoTodd Pletcher10-1


Bill Mott 10-1 
Omaha Beach Richard Mandella 12-1 
YoshidaBill Mott16-1
Higher PowerJohn Sadler18-1 
Math WizardSaffie Joseph Jr. 25-1
OwendaleBrad Cox25-1
Mongolian GroomEnebish Ganbat33-1
War of WillMark Casse33-1
TaxDanny Gargan40-1
Seeking the SoulDallas Stewart50-1

Breeders' Cup Turf

Until connections completely shut the door, it's worth considering the prospect that Enable returns for a repeat against some familiar European competition. Domestically, Bricks and Mortar is said to be more likely for the Mile, but could be cross-entered. Aiden O’Brien looks poised to add to his record number of victories in this race with more European entries likely out of Ascot's champions weekend.

EnableJohn Gosden7-2
JapanAiden O'Brien4-1
MagicalAiden O'Brien6-1 
Bricks and MortarChad Brown 8-1 
Old PersianCharlie Appleby 12-1 
BroomeAiden O'Brien 20-1 
ArklowBrad Cox22-1
Ya PrimoChad Brown25-1
AcclimatePhil D'Amato25-1
Sadlers JoyTom Albertrani40-1
Zulu AlphaMike Maker40-1
Channel MakerBill Mott50-1

Breeders' Cup Distaff

Midnight Bisou, who's already locked up divisional honors, can further her Horse of the Year chances with a victory here. Her top overseas price is an outlier in a market that's seeing her closer to even money on consensus, with second choice Elate more likely to go in the Classic. All others are near or in the double digits with this looking more like a hunt to see who will finish out the exacta.

Midnight BisouSteve Asmussen 7-2 
Elate Bill Mott7-1 
Guarana Chad Brown 8-1 
Street Band Larry Jones8-1 
Dunbar Road Chad Brown 8-1 
Paradise WoodsJohn Shirreffs14-1
Ollie's CandyJohn Sadler20-1
Wow CatChad Brown20-1
Serengeti EmpressTom Amoss22-1
Blue PrizeIgnacio Correas33-1

Breeders' Cup Mile

Bricks and Mortar should be the definitive favorite in this race, even if it's not fully reflected yet in the overseas market that's going to downplay an American threat on the turf. Got Stormy is a recent market mover even off a defeat in the Woodbine Mile to be the prospective second choice ahead of the top Europeans. Big additions last weekend included Bowies Hero, the Shadwell Turf Mile (G1) hero, and Uni, who won Keeneland's First Lady (G1) in record time.

Bricks and MortarChad Brown 5-1
Got StormyMark Casse10-1
One MasterWilliam Haggas 10-1
Circus MaximusAidan O'Brien12-1 
Romanised K J Condon 12-1 
UniChad Brown12-1
IridessaJoseph O'Brien14-1
Magna Grecia Aiden O'Brien 14-1
Raging Bull Chad Brown 16-1 
Bowies Hero Phil d'Amato16-1
Catholic BoyJonathan Thomas16-1
Valid PointChad Brown20-1
El TormentaGail Cox33-1
BoloCarla Gaines50-1

Breeders' Cup Sprint

There’s always the possibility of losing some of the top contenders of the Sprint to the Dirt Mile, but regardless of which horses take the gate facing six furlongs, this edition of the Sprint is shaping up to be contentious. Many would like to see Mitole and Imperial Hint tangle again as they did in the Vanderbilt (G1) at Saratoga in July. Shancelot could also look to turn the tables on Omaha Beach in a rematch of the Santa Anita Sprint Championship (G1). Will Engage parlay his Phoenix Stakes victory into a Sprint win? Many race decisions need to be made before this one fully shapes up.

MitoleSteve Asmussen3-1
Imperial HintLuis Carvajal Jr.4-1 
ShancelotJorge Navarro 9-2 
Omaha Beach Richard Mandella 5-1 
Firenze Fire Jason Servis10-1 
Catalina CruiserJohn Sadler 12-1 
Engage Steve Asmussen 20-1
Promises FulfilledDale Romans25-1
WhitmoreRon Moquett33-1
LexitonianJack Sisterson50-1

Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf

This is Sistercharlie’s race to lose. She’s entering with six straight Grade 1 wins and looks to defend her title as Filly & Mare Turf champion. The European invaders always seem to perform well in the turf races on Breeders’ Cup weekend, but the favorite here is definitely from this side of the Atlantic. Sistercharlie has never raced at Santa Anita previously, however, and her speed figures from her latest victory were her lowest since her U.S. debut in July of 2017. Vulnerable? The market doesn't believe so.

SistercharlieChad Brown 7-4
DeirdreMitsuru Hashida7-1 
IridessaJoseph O'Brien 8-1 
Magic Wand Aiden O'Brien 10-1 
Star Catcher John Gosden 10-1 
MirthPhil D'Amato10-1
Beau RecallBrad Cox14-1
FleetingAidan O'Brien16-1 
Mrs. SippyGraham Motion20-1
VasilikaJerry Hollendorfer25-1

Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile

As noted with the Sprint, there are some horses on this list that could opt out into another division. Either way, this shapes up as a deep race highlighted by some of the crop's better 3-year-olds taking on older competition. The tote board indicates a wide-open race, especially considering the top choices may end up elsewhere. Note particularly Mitole as a much higher-priced Dirt Mile contender going two turns.

Omaha BeachRichard Mandella9-2 
Catalina CruiserJohn Sadler 9-2 
MitoleSteve Asmussen 5-1 
Coal Front Todd Pletcher 12-1 
Mr. Money Bret Calhoun 12-1 
Math Wizard Saffie Joseph 12-1 
OwendaleBrad Cox 14-1 
Firenze Fire Jason Servis 14-1 
Catholic BoyJonathan Thomas14-1
Hog Creek HustleVickie Foley14-1
Gray MagicianPeter Miller25-1
Giant ExpectationsPeter Eurton33-1

Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint

Stormy Liberal has won back-to-back runnings of the Turf Sprint, but it looks like there will be a new winner this year, as the 7-year old gelding is 0-for-6 since his victory last year at Churchill Downs. European Battash and World of Trouble, the 2018 runner-up, are both out entirely, sapping some star power from this event. But going five furlongs, as usual, it looks like it's anybody's race, with plenty of determinations still to be made about who gets in.

Pee Wee ReesePhil d'Amato 5-1 
Eddie HaskellMark Glatt 9-1
So PerfectAiden O'Brien 8-1 
ImprimisJoseph Orseno 10-1 
Fairyland Aiden O'Brien 10-1
Stubbins Doug O'Neill 11-1
Glass Slippers K A Ryan12-1 
Stormy Liberal Peter Miller 12-1 
Belvoir BayPeter Miller14-1 
LeinsterRusty Arnold14-1
Totally BossRutsy Arnold20-1
Pure SensationChristophe Clement15-1
OmPeter Miller25-1
Disco PartnerChristophe Clement25-1
Legends of WarDoug O'Neill25-1

Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint 

While 3-year-old Covfefe will claim favoritism, Come Dancing, whose only loss this year came going longer than this against Midnight Bisou, certainly deserves respect in this talented bunch. Note that the Kentucky Oaks winner, Serengeti Empress, has the Distaff as her preference. The way she came back to win the Thoroughbred Club of America (G2) at Keeneland, Spiced Perfection also cannot be overlooked. A number of potential contenders, including Danuska's My Girl, Fighting Mad and Heavenhasmynikki, aren't listed on the overseas markets.

HorseTrainer Odds
CovfefeBrad Cox 7-2
Come Dancing Carlos Martin 5-1 
GuaranaChad Brown7-1 
Serengeti EmpressTom Amoss10-1 
Spiced Perfection Peter Miller 10-1 
BellafinaSimon Callaghan12-1
Chalon Arnaud Delacour 20-1 
Dawn the Destroyer Kiaran McLaughlin 25-1 
Minit to Stardom Jose Camejo33-1 
Mia Mischief Steve Asmussen 33-1 
Talk Veuve to Me Rodolphe Brisset 40-1 


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