Expert picks: Black-Eyed Susan Stakes predictions, longshots

May 16, 2019 11:23am
Expert picks: Black-Eyed Susan Stakes predictions, longshots
Photo: Elsa Lorieul/NYRA

The Black-Eyed Susan Stakes (G2)  features deserving favorites Point of Honor and Always Shopping, but they are not the only contenders in a nice betting race. Before choosing how to bet Friday's 11th race at Pimlico, let's analyze the field:

The Favorite


#8 Point of Honor (5-2) was stuck on the also-eligible list in the Kentucky Oaks and did not get to run in that race. She earned strong late pace ratings in all three starts but got little to run at last time in the Gulfstream Park Oaks (G2), finishing an even fourth. She won her first two starts and should get pace to chase Friday. She is a very solid contender under Javier Castellano.

Value Win Contenders


#6 Always Shopping (4-1) is on the upswing for Todd Pletcher and should be tough to beat in this spot. She had enough points to run in the Oaks, but connections were always looking at this race after her Gazelle (G2) victory. She owns fine tactical speed and won both of her stakes starts at this distance. 


#7 Brill (5-1) has improved from age 2 to 3. The $1 million daughter of Medaglia d’Oro should make her presence felt throughout but might not want to go this far off a third in Oaklawn Park's Fantasy (G2).

Live Longshots


#2 Off Topic (8-1) is on the improve for Todd Pletcher. She finished behind her stablemate Always Shopping twice, but was not that far behind that one in either of those races. She was closer than usual in a slow early/fast late edition of the Gazelle last time. She should get a better setup Friday. 


Remaining Entrants


#1 Sweet Diane (15-1) has tactical speed and the inside post. She finished in the top three in all five starts, and this is her first outing for Eddie Kenneally. Jose Ortiz rides, but I am not sure that she will be as effective at this longer trip. 


#3 Ulele (15-1) was the favorite in her first five starts and won twice, including an optional claiming wire job at Keeneland on April 4. The clear runner-up was a next-out winner. Her best chance is to get out there and control the pace under her new rider Joel Rosario, but others have speed. 


#4 Cookie Dough (3-1) had a productive winter at Gulfstream Park and she will definitely impact the pace in this spot. Irad Ortiz Jr. takes the call. The added distance is not to her benefit. 


#5 Our Super Freak (20-1) just missed in her Laurel Park prep, the Weber City Miss, for this April 20. She has finished second or third in all five stakes tries and should be forwardly placed. 


#9 Las Setas (15-1) won her last four starts and is another entrant with speed. She is 3-for-3 in the stakes ranks and just did hold on in the Weber City Miss last time. A class hike and added distance will probably lead to her undoing.  


Wagering Strategies


#8 to win


Exacta Box 6-8


Trifecta 6-8/2-6-7-8/2-6-7-8


Trifecta 2-7/2-6-7-8/2-6-7-8


Trifecta 6-8/ALL/6-8

 

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