Expert picks: Betting Breeders' Cup Friday on a $100 bankroll

By Jarrod Horak, winninghorsepicks.com (@jchorak)

There are many ways to tackle the two-day Breeders' Cup betting bonanza, but my favorite is to key one or two horses each day. 

My key horse for Breeders' Cup Friday is Elate in the Distaff. Her trainer, Bill Mott, has saddled the winner of the Distaff five times, and his improving 3-year-old filly might make it six for the Hall of Famer.

Elate is starting to live up to the hype that was placed on her after romping by more than 12 lengths in her career debut last fall. She dropped four straight after her bow and turned the corner after a confidence-boosting minor stakes score at Delaware Park. She just missed in the Grade 1 Coaching Club American Oaks on July 23 and romped in her last pair in the Grade 1 Alabama and Grade 1 Beldame. She is reportedly training forwardly for the Distaff as well. 

I will split up my $100 bankroll by playing 30% to win, 50% in exactas, trifectas, and superfectas, and 20% in daily double wagers. 

$100 Bankroll Wager #1 - Elate to win ($30)

This wager is cut and dry.

$100 Bankroll Wager #2 - Distaff Exotics ($50)

I'll try to boost my win profits on Elate in the exacta, trifecta, and superfecta. For exacta purposes, I will play more money with Elate running second in case one of my other two win contenders defeat her. 

The other win contenders I'm focusing on are morning line favorite, #7 Stellar Wind, and front-running threat, #7 Paradise Woods. #4 Abel Tasman and #6 Unbridled Forever are my underneath contenders. 

$6 Exacta 5/2-7 ($12)
$10 Exacta 2-7/5 ($20)
50-cent Trifecta Key 5/2-4-6-7 ($6)
20-cent Superfecta 5/2-4-6/2-4-6/ALL ($6)
10-cent Superfecta 5/2-4-6/ALL/2-4-6 ($3)
10-cent Superfecta 5/ALL/2-4-6/2-4-6 ($3)

$100 Bankroll Wager #3 - Distaff/Classic Double ($20)

There is a special two-day Breeders' Cup daily double featuring the Distaff and Classic. 

I will key Elate in the Distaff and West Coast in the Classic, plus include all of my other win contenders. 

Distaff Win Contenders (#5, #7, #2). Classic Win Contenders (#8, #11, #1, #5, #9, #2)

$2 Double 5-8 ($2)
$2 Double 5/1-2-5-8-9-11 ($12)
$2 Double 2-5-7/8 ($6)

Good luck!

 

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