DerbyWars SA $500 Survivor Spread it out Play of the Day Fri. 2/5/16

February 05, 2016 08:02am
Santa Anita Park race.
Photo: Benoit Photo


In playing a DerbyWars Survivor contest the concept is simple. Pick a horse and if it finishes 1-2-3 and you move on to the next race. If your horse does not you are eliminated from the contest. Survive until the last race and you win or split the pot with any other players that Survived. It sounds easier than it is and playing multiple tickets can increase your chances of advancing further in the contest. Often there are a few field buster races that many tickets in the pool are eliminated on. The hardest of those races often can come early in the contest. One of my rules of playing Survivor Contest is “When In Doubt Spread It Out” by playing multiple horses in that race.  Here is my analysis of that race for this contest. 

 

Friday Feb. 5 2016 Derby Wars SA $500 Survivor Contest R 3

7f Dirt $56,000 Purse Maiden Special Weight

I think that things will develop down the stretch just off the leader. I think four horses will charge by the leader making runs from both the out and inside of that horse. It unusual that I need to spread out for a six horse field but this is a very tough race.  

 

#6 Fugacious Dancer

M/L Odds 5-2

Jockey (T. Baze)

Trainer (S. Callaghan)

I think this will be the horse that will be on the lead with four horses charging him down . Might have enough to hold on for win but hopefully enough to hit the board.


#4 Caradini

M/L Odds 6-1

Jockey ( S. Gonzalez)

Trainer (D. O'Neill)

In its only start was at this year finished second. Hoping for the same with a strong finish from the outside.


# 3 Makena

M/L Odds 4-1

Jockey (D. Van Dyke)

Trainer (S. Hansen)

Has hit the board in all three tries.

 

Good Luck to All!

~Written by Shawn Heron - Twitter @Ulfheron 

 

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