Check out ups and downs of Nevada’s Kentucky Derby odds

Check out ups and downs of Nevada’s Kentucky Derby odds
Photo: Caesars at William Hill

There were no weekend whale sightings in Las Vegas for its Kentucky Derby futures. But just like Louisville, where Mattress Mack’s $13,000 swayed the pari-mutuel market, Smile Happy made a big move in Nevada’s fixed odds.

After his 3 1/4-length runaway Saturday in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2) at Churchill Downs, Smile Happy was shortened from 50-1 to 20-1 by Caesars Sportsbook at William Hill Nevada.

The cut was more about merit and potential exposure than it was about any big bet, especially from Jim “Mattress Mack” McIngvale, the high-rolling owner of Smile Happy’s stallion Runhappy.

Click here to see 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders.

“Small potatoes to him,” said Paul Bach, manager of Delaware trading and the futures writer for Caesars at William Hill. “I wouldn’t take anything more than my normal extension.”

There are no such limits in Kentucky. McIngvale bet $10,000 on Smile Happy in the pari-mutuel Derby market operated by Churchill Downs, driving the win odds there from 15-1 to 8-1. He wagered another $3,000 at the track on Runhappy being the sire of the Derby winner, getting a price of 7-1.

Classic Causeway, who finished second as the favorite in the Kentucky Jockey Club, went from 50-1 to 35-1 at Caesars at William Hill.

Zandon, an Upstart colt who was a debut winner for trainer Chad Brown on Oct. 9 at Belmont Park, was shortened to 50-1 after opening at 125-1 and moving to 85-1.

H P Moon, a Malibu Moon ridgling who was a 9 3/4-length winner in his debut for trainer Lacey Gaudet, went from 100-1 to 65-1.

This is the last week Caesars at William Hill will have the 2022 Derby futures market to itself in Nevada. Circa Sports is expected to post its first odds as soon as Wednesday.

Caesars at William Hill lists 171 horses in its Derby futures. They are shown here in tandem with the closing pari-mutuel odds from Pool 1 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

Kentucky Derby futuresKDFWC-WHSireTrainer
Corniche     6-1Quality RoadBob Baffert
Messier   16-1Empire MakerBob Baffert
Jack Christopher  10-1  20-1MunningsChad Brown
Smile Happy    8-1  20-1RunhappyKen McPeek
Rattle N Roll  21-1  22-1ConnectKen McPeek
Tiz the Bomb  24-1 Hit It a BombKen McPeek
Commandperformance  31-1  30-1Union RagsTodd Pletcher
Pappacap  23-1  35-1Gun RunnerMark Casse
Classic Causeway  44-1  35-1Giant's CausewayBrian Lynch
Wit   50-1Practical JokeTodd Pletcher
Major General  43-1  55-1ConstitutionTodd Pletcher
Zandon  56-1  50-1UpstartChad Brown
Gunite  25-1  60-1Gun RunnerSteve Asmussen
Octane (g)   60-1BrethrenCarlos David
H P Moon (r)   65-1Malibu MoonLacey Gaudet
Rockefeller   65-1Medaglia d'OroBob Baffert
Big City Lights   75-1Mr. BigLuis Méndez
Howling Time  43-1  75-1Not This TimeDale Romans
Murray   75-1Street SenseBob Baffert
Nakatomi (g)   80-1Firing LineWesley Ward
Stellar Tap   80-1TapitSteve Asmussen
Bourbon Heist   85-1Practical JokeIan Wilkes
Cyberknife   85-1Gun RunnerBrad Cox
Echo Zulu (f)   85-1Gun RunnerSteve Asmussen
Giant Game  37-1  85-1Giant's CausewayDale Romans
Oviatt Class  87-1  60-1BernardiniKeith Desormeaux
Trafalgar  98-1  90-1Lord NelsonAl Stall Jr.
American Xperiment 100-1NyquistSteve Asmussen
Authorize 100-1CurlinBill Mott
Cajun's Magic (g) 100-1Cajun BreezeMichael Yates
Double Thunder  72-1100-1Super SaverTodd Pletcher
El Pando 100-1OutworkJaylan Clary
Forbidden Kingdom 100-1American PharoahRichard Mandella
High Oak 100-1GormleyBill Mott
Mo Donegal  37-1100-1Uncle MoTodd Pletcher
My Prankster 100-1Into MischiefTodd Pletcher
O Captain 100-1Carpe DiemGustavo Delgado
Pinehurst 100-1Twirling CandyBob Baffert
Shipsational 100-1MidshipmanEd Barker
Sir London 100-1Malibu MoonSimon Callaghan
Varatti  54-1100-1Into MischiefTodd Pletcher
Winning Map 100-1Liam's MapBob Baffert
Overstep 120-1Into MischiefTodd Pletcher
Ben Diesel  66-1125-1Will Take ChargeDallas Stewart
Chancellor Bay 125-1Honor CodeDaniel Pita
Cogburn 125-1Not This TimeSteve Asmussen
Dr. Perry 125-1Into MischiefSteve Asmussen
Enbarr 125-1Brody's CauseBob Baffert
Flying Drummer 125-1Gun RunnerBob Baffert
Gold Rush Candy 125-1Danzing CandyBob Baffert
Hagler 125-1TapitureRudy Rodríguez
Kamui 125-1Quality RoadBob Baffert
Keepcalmcarryon 125-1Union RagsTodd Pletcher
Key Point 125-1Into MischiefChad Brown
Make It Big 125-1NeolithicSaffie Joseph Jr.
Of a Revolution 125-1Maclean's MusicSaffie Joseph Jr.
Rocket Dawg 125-1Classic EmpireBrad Cox
Trademark (g) 125-1UpstartVicki Oliver
Zatip 125-1TapitGraham Motion
Strike Hard 130-1FlashbackMatthew Williams
Classic Moment 135-1Classic EmpireSteve Asmussen
Finneus 135-1Stay ThirstyWalther Solis
Headline Report (g) 135-1GormleyWesley Ward
Roger McQueen 135-1UnifiedLarry Rivelli
Defend 140-1American FreedomCathal Lynch
Overbore 140-1SpeightstownWesley Ward
Slow Down Andy 140-1NyquistDoug O'Neill
A.P.'s Secret 150-1CupidSaffie Joseph Jr.
Affable Monarch 150-1ArrogateJorge Duarte
Annapolis 150-1War FrontTodd Pletcher
Barossa 150-1Into MischiefBob Baffert
Cattin 150-1NeolithicRalph Nicks
Coinage 150-1TapitMark Casse
Cooke Creek 150-1Uncle MoJeremiah O'Dwyer
Dean Delivers (g) 150-1Cajun BreezeMichael Yates
Don't Wait Up 150-1UpstartTony Dutrow
Durante 150-1Distorted HumorDoug O'Neill
Epicenter  52-1150-1Not This TimeSteve Asmussen
Forced Ranking138-1150-1MasteryChad Brown
Freelancer 150-1Medaglia d'OroBrendan Walsh
Gilded Age 150-1Medaglia d'OroBill Mott
Graphic Detail133-1150-1Practical JokeBill Mott
Judge Davis 150-1Distorted HumorShug McGaughey
Kevin's Folly 150-1Distorted HumorTom Amoss
Kid Corleone 150-1ShacklefordDoug O'Neill
Life Is Great 150-1TapitureBob Kelsaris
Line Change 150-1NyquistMike Stidham
Little Drama 150-1DramedySteve Asmussen
Little Vic 150-1Practical JokeJuan Carlos Ávila
Micky From Wexford (g) 150-1Dialed InJohn Ennis
Montebello 150-1CurlinBob Baffert
Nineties Country 150-1ConnectBrad Cox
Red Run 150-1Gun RunnerSteve Asmussen
Senbei 150-1Candy RideChristophe Clément
Simplification 150-1Not This TimeAntonio Sano
So Determined 150-1Into MischiefTodd Pletcher
Straight Up G 150-1Straight FireRichard Baltas
Strava 150-1Into MischiefDallas Stewart
Street Art 150-1Street BossKeith Desormeaux
White Abarrio 150-1RacedayCarlos Luis Pérez
Osbourne (g)155-1150-1TapitureRon Moquett
Union Train 160-1Union RagsJohn Shirreffs
B Sudd 175-1Jimmy CreedDallas Stewart
Blue Kentucky (g) 175-1IncludeWayne Catalano
Call Me Midnight 175-1Midnight LuteKeith Desormeaux
Elusive Target 175-1Gun RunnerSteve Asmussen
Feelthebeat 175-1CupidNorman McKnight
Full Disclosure (g) 175-1Cajun BreezeMichael Yates
Glacial 175-1FrostedNorm Casse
Great Escape 175-1Midnight StormRodolphe Brisset
Guntown 175-1Gun RunnerSteve Asmussen
Kenner 175-1LaobanJamie Ness
Longshadow 175-1TapitureKelsey Danner
Midnight Worker 175-1OutworkTodd Pletcher
Page One 175-1Practical JokeBrad Cox
Power Agenda 175-1NyquistTodd Pletcher
Practical Coach 175-1Practical JokeButch Reid
Shastree 175-1Street SenseTeresa Pompay
Skippylongstocking 175-1ExaggeratorSaffie Joseph Jr.
Spartan Army 175-1TapitureDallas Stewart
Tengo Mis Papeles 175-1My Golden SongBret Calhoun
Texas Red Hot 175-1Texas RedRandy Morse
Unified Report 175-1UnifiedDallas Stewart
Ava K's Boy 200-1Classic EmpireCarlos Martín
Baladi 200-1Pioneerof the NileBrendan Walsh
Barese 200-1LaobanMike Maker
Bochombo 200-1Street BossLuis Méndez
Bourbon's Hope (g) 200-1ExaggeratorCharlton Baker
Chattalot 200-1Midnight LuteSteve Asmussen
Cool Papa G 200-1Maclean's MusicSteve Asmussen
Fan the Fire 200-1Hard SpunMike Maker
Fight Your Corner 200-1FrostedTony Margotta
Kaely's Brother 200-1Twirling CandyBrad Cox
Rotknee 200-1RunhappyMike Maker
Speaking (g) 200-1Mr SpeakerEddie Owens Jr.
Stolen Base 200-1BodemeisterMike Maker
Tough to Tame 200-1SpeightsterChris Davis
Trust Our Journey 200-1American PharoahCarlos David
What In Blazes 200-1Straight FireJerry Hollendorfer
Cairama 225-1Cairo PrinceSteve Asmussen
Candy Landing (r) 225-1Twirling CandyBrendan Walsh
Joker Boy 225-1Practical JokeBrian Koriner
Legendary Lore 225-1Practical JokeBill Morey
Lightening Larry 225-1UncapturedJeff Engler
Rock N Rye 225-1Stay ThirstyWalther Solis
Spuntacular 225-1Hard SpunJuan Carlos Ávila
Trip to Spain 225-1Stay ThirstyJamey Thomas
Aquitania Arrival (g) 250-1Carpe DiemPeter Miller
Avant Glory 250-1KhozanSaffie Joseph Jr.
Baytown Frosty 250-1FrostedPaul McEntee
Bet On Mookie 250-1UncapturedPeter Miller
Dance Code 250-1Honor CodeJuan Vázquez
Daufuskie Island 250-1GoldencentsJeremiah Englehart
Ignitis 250-1NyquistD. Wayne Lukas
In Due Time 250-1Not This TimeKelly Breen
Kavod 250-1LeaJim Chapman
King Cab (g) 250-1Noble BirdEddie Plesa Jr.
Lucky Boss 250-1Street BossKen McPeek
On the Come Up 250-1Mission ImpazibleKelly Breen
Thirsty Always 250-1Stay ThirstyWalther Solis
Twenty Four Mamba 250-1Classic EmpireMark Casse
Whittington Park 250-1Midnight LuteBrad Cox
Desert Ruler 275-1Candy RideDaniel Pita
Hoist the Gold 275-1MineshaftDallas Stewart
Hope In Him 275-1ChituJoe Orseno
Sonnyisnotsofunny 275-1American FreedomWayne Catalano
Who Hoo Thats Me 275-1Keen IceJorge Abreu
Deal Go Down 300-1Cairo PrinceMark Casse
Forty Stripes 300-1MunningsJerry Hollendorfer
Run Curtis Run 300-1Summer FrontMike Maker
Tops the Chart (g) 300-1Maclean's MusicJorge Duarte
Mr. Mox (g) 350-1Divining RodJamie Ness
All 2-year-old fillies*  41-1   
All other 2-yr-old males*    3-5   
KDFW Kentucky Derby Future Wager    
C-WH Caesars at William Hill Nevada    
f-Filly  g-Gelding  r-Ridgling    
*Not among KDFW individual choices   

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