See new odds for Life Is Good, dozens of others on Derby trail

See new odds for Life Is Good, dozens of others on Derby trail

Would a bettor take 4-1 right now on Life Is Good to win the 2021 Kentucky Derby? A good many took him at half the price.

After he won the San Felipe Stakes (G2) by eight lengths Saturday at Santa Anita, Life Is Good looked like that crop report from “Trading Places,” inspiring buyers to scramble for the best price before it was too late.

Actually, both Circa Sports and William Hill Nevada had suspended betting on their Derby futures while Saturday’s preps were happening. That is the normal routine for the Las Vegas books. Circa was first to reopen, making Life Is Good 4-1 on Saturday afternoon. William Hill waited until Sunday to match that. It was not long before Circa shortened the Bob Baffert-trained colt again to 7-2 (actually plus-375).

[RELATED – First Look: Rebel (Baffert vs. Cox) leads weekend graded stakes]

The rush to get on the Life Is Good bandwagon got to a point that he was as short as 3-2 in the pari-mutuel Kentucky Derby Future Wager on Sunday before bettors backed off, leaving him to close as the 2-1 favorite.

Bettors who could not wait to buy in are banking on Life Is Good going off at shorter odds come post time May 1, apparently believing that Essential Quality (6-1 Circa, 4-1 William Hill), also undefeated, will not.

Of the big three on the Derby trail, Greatest Honour (8-1 Circa, 5-1 William Hill) presumably will be the first to make a last impression before running for the roses. The Florida Derby (G1) is March 27. Life Is Good runs next in the Santa Anita Derby (G1) on April 3, the same day Essential Quality may go in the Blue Grass (G1) at Keeneland.

Recency bias is just a trendy way to say, “What have you done for me lately?” Put another way, short memories have become the hallmark of the Derby futures market. And put yet another way, does this make 4-for-4 Essential Quality a value play at 6-1? Food for thought.

One horse was added to the Las Vegas boards in the past week.

Weyburn (90-1 Circa, 75-1 William Hill). Nothing beats a party crasher that carries 46-1 bona fides onto the trail. Those were the odds that this Pioneerof the Nile colt carried Saturday when he became the longest shot to win a points prep this season. It came in the Gotham Stakes (G3), which has produced only one Derby winner in its 68 years. That was Secretariat in 1973. The last time a Gotham graduate hit the board in the Derby was 2000, when Aptitude was second to Fusaichi Pegasus.

Here are the 133 horses still showing at Circa Sports and William Hill Nevada, with their Kentucky Derby odds:

Circa   WH

250-1          Affable

110-1          Alain Barows

300-1          Ambivalent

200-1          American Admiral

150-1          Amount

250-1          Ascot Storm

150-1          Barraza

300-1          Beep Beep

300-1          Big Daddy Dave

300-1          Big Thorn

200-1          Bracken

         200-1 Breeze On By

300-1          Broadway

200-1  45-1 Brooklyn Strong

         250-1 By George

  16-1  15-1 Caddo River

100-1 100-1 Candy Man Rocket

200-1          Capo Kane

200-1          Carillo

200-1 200-1 Cazadero

  90-1          Classier

  30-1  35-1 Collaborate

  18-1  10-1 Concert Tour

200-1          Cousin Larry

100-1          Cowan

  60-1  75-1 Crowded Trade

150-1          Democracy

300-1          Democrat

250-1 200-1 Donegal Bay

         125-1 Drain the Clock

300-1          Dr. Schivel

300-1          Dreamer’s Disease

  70-1  40-1 Dream Shake

150-1          Du Jour

  80-1          Dynamic One

400-1 200-1 Eagle Orb

    6-1    4-1 Essential Quality

         200-1 Ethical Judgement

300-1          Find New Roads

125-1          Fire At Will

300-1 225-1 Founder

200-1          Found My Ball

  80-1   75-1 Freedom Fighter

300-1 250-1 Gagetown

175-1          Game Day Play

100-1 150-1 Get Her Number

  75-1          Ghazaaly

    8-1    5-1 Greatest Honour

  80-1  25-1 Helium

300-1          Herd Immunity

  80-1  28-1 Hidden Stash

  50-1  20-1 Highly Motivated

  25-1  30-1 Hot Rod Charlie

  70-1  75-1 Hozier

125-1          Hush of a Storm

         225-1 Hyperfocus

           60-1 Jackie’s Warrior

200-1          Jaxon Traveler

250-1          Jirafales

350-1          Kahuna Magic

  35-1  28-1 Keepmeinmind

  32-1  30-1 Known Agenda

200-1  65-1 Lamutanaatty

         100-1 La Perouse

           75-1 Lemon Pop

    7-2    4-1 Life Is Good

         250-1 Likeable

175-1          Like the King

200-1          Lucky Law

  22-1  16-1 Mandaloun

250-1          Manor House

300-1          Martini Blu

  55-1  16-1 Medina Spirit

  60-1  45-1 Midnight Bourbon

110-1          Mouheeb

225-1          Mr. Impossible

200-1          Never Surprised

         225-1 Next

         100-1 Nicky the Vest

175-1 100-1 Nova Rags

125-1          O Besos

           75-1 Olympiad

400-1          Outasite

200-1 100-1 Overtook

  75-1          Papetu

300-1          Parnelli

300-1          Petruchio

300-1 250-1 Pickin’ Time

  90-1  50-1 Prate

  30-1  16-1 Prevalence

100-1          Prime Factor

  35-1  45-1 Proxy

250-1         Real Talk

125-1          Rebel’s Romance

300-1          Red Flag

200-1 225-1 Return the Ring

400-1          Ricochet

  45-1  25-1 Risk Taking

  40-1          Rock Your World

  80-1  75-1 Roman Centurian

100-1  75-1 Rombauer

350-1          Royal Number

125-1 100-1 Run Classic

300-1          Runway Magic

200-1          Savile Row

250-1          Scarlet Fusion

250-1 225-1 Scarred

250-1          Shackqueenking

300-1          Sittin On Go

300-1          Slumber Party

200-1 150-1 Smiley Sobotka

  80-1 100-1 Soup and Sandwich

  45-1   50-1 Spielberg

200-1 200-1 Stage Raider

200-1 200-1 Starrininmydreams

300-1 225-1 Stayin’ Out Late

200-1 125-1 Super Stock

125-1 125-1 Swiftsure

         200-1 Swill

  80-1          Tarantino

200-1          Team Merchants

         100-1 Ten For Ten

125-1 175-1 The Chosen Vron

100-1  60-1 The Great One

300-1 150-1 Therideofalifetime

200-1 200-1 Twilight Blue

         200-1 Ultimate Badger

         225-1 Upstriker

  90-1  75-1 Weyburn

130-1          Whiskey Double

200-1          Willy Boi

250-1 200-1 Wipe the Slate

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