Breeders' Cup 2020: Distaff Preview & Odds

Breeders' Cup 2020: Distaff Preview & Odds
Photo: Coady Photography

One month ago, the Breeders' Cup Distaff appeared to be one of the best betting races over the weekend. As Monomoy Girl continued rounding back into top form, Midnight Bisou looked like a very formidable opponent despite her loss to Vexatious in the Personal Ensign.

Vexatious suddenly seemed like a real contender, as did Fighting Mad, who remained undefeated around two turns in the Clement Hirsch at Del Mar. Additionally, the sky appeared to be the limit for 3-year-olds Swiss Skydiver and Gamine.

[RELATED: Breeders' Cup Classic – Preview & Odds]

Just after Monomoy Girl cemented her status as the horse to beat in the Distaff with a win in the La Troienne (G1), the rest of the division began to crumble. Vexatious ran poorly in the La Troienne, making her Personal Ensign look like a one-time performance. Gamine, who has that superstar quality to her, faded to third in the Kentucky Oaks at the Distaff distance. That performance convinced trainer Bob Baffert to keep her sprinting in the near future.

Though Swiss Skydiver did not run poorly in the Oaks, she failed to build on her impressive Alabama victory as many hoped with her second place effort.

Fighting Mad had little to offer in the stretch of the Zenyatta Stakes last weekend, finishing third as the 2-5 favorite in a four-horse field.

The most crushing news in the division might have come on Monday, when Midnight Bisou's connections announced she would be evaluated for a potential injury. Even if she checks out fine, it seems unlikely they would run her in the Distaff with her tremendous breeding value.

Swiss Skydiver has a chance to make a statement in the Preakness, and rapidly improving 3-year-olds Shedaresthedevil and Harvest Moon could be this good, but those possibilities are not as scary to Monomoy Girl as Gamine's star power and Midnight Bisou's talent when 100 percent.

Suddenly, Monomoy Girl stands alone on the mountaintop.

Who's already going: Monomoy Girl, Harvest Moon, Fighting Mad, Speech

Preps this weekend:

Preakness — Swiss Skydiver

Spinster — Shedaresthedevil, Vexatious, Ollie's Candy, Lady Kate

Beldame — Dunbar Road, Point of Honor, Letruska, Horologist 

Below are the best available odds for the Breeders' Cup Distaff, assuming Midnight Bisou does not run.

HorseClaim to FameNext RaceBest Odds
Monomoy Girl'18 Distaff, Oaks winnerBC Distaff2-1
ShedaresthedevilG1 Kentucky Oaks winnerSpinster5-1
Swiss SkydiverG1 Alabama winnerPreakness7-1
Harvest MoonG1 Zenyatta winnerBC Distaff10-1
Dunbar Road'19 Alabama winnerBeldame14-1
Fighting MadG1 Hirsch winner BC Distaff18-1
Ollie's Candy'19 Hirsch winner Spinster20-1
Ce Ce2 time G1 winnerBC Distaff or F&M Sprint20-1
SpeechG1 Ashland winnerBC Distaff25-1
Point of HonorBlack-Eyed Susan winner  Beldame25-1
Letruska G3 winner  Beldame25-1
She's a Julie2 time G1 winnerMaybe BC Distaff28-1
VexatiousG1 Personal Ensign winnerSpinster33-1
HorologistMultiple G3 winner  Beldame33-1
Donna VeloceMultiple G1 placedMaybe BC Distaff33-1

Sources: Bovada, Oddschecker

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