There are two important trends to keep in mind when analyzing the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint. First off, Europeans have not fared well in this race and have never won this event. Secondly, fillies and mares have thrived in this event. They have notched three wins, including Belvoir Bay last year.
Despite the Europeans lack of success, star sprinter Battaash was primed to be go off as a heavy favorite in this spot. His withdrawal from consideration last week has left this race wide open. To get a better grasp on the top contenders, we compare the top Beyer, Brisnet and Timeform figures for North American based runners below.
|Horse||Best/Last Beyer||Best/Last Brisnet Figure||Best/Last Timeform Figure|
|Front Run the Fed||100/100||100/99||121/119|
Who is the fastest: Leinster and Imprimis are neck and neck in terms of speed figures and they will be in the wagering as well. Imprimis and Leinster's career high Beyer Speed Figures of 110 and 109 respectively stand out from the rest of the field and their numbers from their recent wins prove they are still in strong form. Brisnet and Timeform give Imprimis the edge and also value the races that Diamond Oops comes out of.
One thing that stands out: The three different figures have widely differing views of America's top fillies and mares in this race. The Beyer Speed Figures are not kind to Kimari, who only has a career best of 89. Brisnet is not crazy about Oleksandra's chances as her 99 career high puts her a full 5 points behind Kimari and Got Stormy. Timeform loved the form that Got Stormy was in last year as she earned a field best 127 number, but the 114 number she earned last out shows she may not be quite as good as she was, despite winning her last two.
Odds and accomplishments for the 2020 Turf Sprint runners:
|Horse||Claim to Fame||Last Race||HRN Odds|
|Leinster||Consecutive G2 wins||1st in Woodford (G2)||4-1|
|Imprimis||'19 Shakertown (G2) winner||1st in KD Turf Sprint (G3)||5-1|
|Diamond Oops||Dual surface stakes winner||1st in Phoenix (G2)||6-1|
|Got Stormy||2-time Grade 1 winner||1st in Franklin County (G3)||10-1|
|Oleksandra||Jaipur (G1) winner||1st in Jaipur||10-1|
|Kimari||Group 1 placed||3rd in Music City||15-1|
|Extravagant Kid||Multiple stakes winner||2nd in Woodford Stakes (G2)||15-1|
|Front Run the Fed||'19 Better Talk Now winner||2nd in KD Turf Sprint (G3)||15-1|
|Glass Slippers||2-time Group 1 winner||2nd in Prix de l'Abbaye (G1)||15-1|
|Jolie Olimpica||G2 Monrovia (G2) winner||2nd in Jenny Wiley (G1)||20-1|
|Big Runnuer||G2 winner||1st in Eddie D.||30-1|
|Texas Wedge||Joe Hernandez (G2) winner||4th in Jim McKay||30-1|
|Bulletproof One||Unzip Me Stakes winner||1st in Unzip Me||30-1|
|Guildsman||Franklin-Simpson (G3) winner||1st in Franklin-Simpson Stakes||30-1|
|Chaos Theory||Green Flash (G3) winner||4th in Woodford (G2)||30-1|
|Wildman Jack||Nad Al Sheba Turf Sprint (G3) winner||2nd in Eddie D. (G2)|
Turf Sprint Updates
• Peter Miller, who has won three Breeders' Cup Turf Sprints in a row, confirmed to HRN that he will run Texas Wedge and Bulletproof One in this year's race.
• Oleksandra went over three months without a workout following her win in the Jaipur Stakes (G1) at Belmont Park, but appears back on track for the Turf Sprint with five works this month.
• Following Diamond Oops' win in the Phoenix (G2), trainer Patrick Biancone said he would "flip a coin" to determine if he would run his dual surface stakes winner in the Sprint or Turf Sprint.
• Prix de l'Abbaye (G1) winner Wooded is unlikely to make the trip to America for the Turf Sprint, but runner up Glass Slippers is being considered according to trainer Kevin Ryan.
• John Sadler told HRN that Chaos Theory will remained stabled at Keeneland until the Breeders' Cup following his fourth-place finish in the Woodford (G2) and he is possible to run.
• Wesley Ward's Bound for Nowhere has not worked since Sep. 19 and will not be running in the Turf Sprint.
• Chad Brown confirmed that Front Run the Fed would be among his 13 Breeders' Cup entires.
Who could be going: Diamond Oops, Kimari, Jolie Olimpica, Chaos Theory, Wildman Jack