Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint 2018: Projected field, odds

October 18, 2018 09:30am

The West Coast contenders should reign as top betting choices in this year’s Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint. Bob Baffert is expected to ship a talented pair to Churchill Downs, while trainer John Sadler has Selcourt on the comeback trail. The Filly & Mare Sprint is a seven-furlong race scheduled for Saturday, Nov. 3.

Super Screener
 tip: According to Horse Racing Nation’s handicapping system, it’s best to eliminate horses that need a clear early lead, as it is nearly impossible to open up a clear and relaxed in this class of field, and especially at Churchill Downs. Click here for free secrets to winning on the Breeders’ Cup.

Below is a look at the projected field with odds, which will not balance given entries aren’t finalized, but rather reflect the type of price we expect to see once the morning line is set.

Anonymity
, 20-1 (Tapit – Richard Mandella – 6:3-3-0 – $162,200): This lightly raced filly could be setting herself up for a big year on the West Coast in 2019. She scored in two allowance optional claiming races before running second twice in graded stakes against more experienced competitors in Yuvetsi and Skye Diamonds.

Chalon
20-1, (Dialed In – Arnaud Delacour – 12:5-4-1 – $487,295): With multiple placings, Chalon is still trying to break through at the graded level. She nearly pulled it off last out in Keeneland’s Thoroughbred Club of America (G2) before Golden Mischief caught her by a head. Chalon’s three stakes wins have come at six furlongs. She’ll have to stretch her speed one panel longer here.

Dream Tree
, 5-2 (Uncle Mo – Bob Baffert – 5:5-0-0 – $527,500): Dream Tree is lightly raced, but her unbeaten record speaks for itself. She also came off a seven-month layoff to win Saratoga’s Prioress (G2) at six furlongs by 4 ¼ lengths. Stretching out doesn’t seem to be a problem as she won the Starlet (G1) at 1 1/16 miles and the Las Virgenes (G2) at a mile before getting time off last spring.

Finley’sluckycharm
, 8-1 (Twirling Candy – Bret Calhoun – 18:11-3-0 – $918,068): This mare loves Churchill Downs and has a couple seven-furlong graded stakes wins to her name, including the Madison (G1) at Keeneland and the Chicago Handicap (G3) under the Twin Spires. She was an uncharacteristic seventh in the Ballerina (G1) Aug. 25 and hasn’t raced since.

Golden Mischief
, 12-1 (Into Mischief – Brad Cox – 21:10-3-0 – $668,150): Already a stakes winner, Golden Mischief was purchased a year ago by Juddmonte for $475,000 and placed with Cox. She now has three consecutive stakes wins and earned her first graded victory in the TCA. She’s more proven at six furlongs but you can’t ignore the hot streak.

Highway Star
, 25-1 (Girolamo – Rodrigo Ubillo – 20:8-5-2 – $1,158,000): Highway Star had her best season in 2017, winning three graded stakes. But her last victory came in that year’s Gallant Bloom (G2), a race she returned in to finish sixth this season. Before that she sported a string of runner-ups, but her form doesn’t seem to be where it was a year ago.

Marley’s Freedom
, 2-1 (Blame – Bob Baffert – 12:6-2-0 – $628,435): This $35,000 yearling purchase is now a Grade 1 winner following her Ballerina score. Marley’s Freedom hit her best stride this year at 4 after transferred to Baffert and rides a four-race win streak into the Breeders’ Cup. Her 3 ¼-length Ballerina win suggests seven furlongs will be no problem.

Mia Mischief
, 15-1 (Into Mischief – Steve Asmussen – 10:4-5-0 – $496,820): This 3-year-old filly has been consistent running sprint distances. Her best race was her Eight Belles (G2) victory, which was seven furlongs at Churchill Downs. Separationofpowers ran her down by a neck in the Test (G1), and she was passed by Dream Tree in the Prioress (G2).

Miss Sunset
, 15-1 (Into Mischief – Jeff Bonde – 19:10-3-2 – $891,895): Miss Sunset has hit the board in six of her seven starts this season and picked up three stakes wins in Southern California. She was also the Madison runner-up in a blanket finish and second to Marley’s Freedom in the Desert Stormer (G3). She finished fourth last out in the TCA, beaten only 1 ¼ lengths.

Selcourt
, 9-2 (Tiz Wonderful – John Sadler – 6:4-1-1 – $283,920): Selcourt is another dangerous West Coast shipper if she runs back to form. She’s been away since March after winning the seven-furlong Santa Monica (G2) in front running fashion. Marley’s Freedom couldn’t catch her and finished 4 ½ lengths behind. Selcourt has been working regularly over a month now and has a series of sharp, extended works.

Skye Diamonds
, 20-1 (First Dude – Bill Spawr – 23:10-4-3 – $690,150): A former claimer turned Grade 2 inner, Skye Diamonds returned to form in the L.A. Woman (G3) after being out of the winner’s circle over a year. She was fourth in last year’s Filly & Mare Sprint and has hit the board in five of six races this season.

Stormy Embrace
, 25-1 (Circular Quay – Kathleen O’Connell – 20:7-5-3 – $461,870): Stormy Embrace has really made a name for herself on the Florida circuit this year, winning four of six races. Her biggest score came in the Princess Rooney (G2) at seven furlongs. She was third last out in the Sheer Drama Stakes and will have a step up in competition at the Breeders’ Cup.

Union Strike
, 15-1 (Union Rags – Steve Asmussen – 11:3-2-1 – $537,625): Is she finally living up to her potential? Union Strike won the Del Mar Debutante (G1) at 2 but never quite reproduced that form. At 3 she won the Santa Paula Stakes and was runner-up in the Eight Belles, but also had a handful of off the board finishes from ages 2-4. Since transferred to Asmussen from her owner and trainer, Mick Ruis, she rallied to win the Gallant Bloom.

Also Possible
: Kirby’s Penny, Lake Ponchatrain, Let It Ride Mom, Lewis Bay, Separationofpowers

 

comments powered by Disqus

Related Pages

Top Stories