Breeders' Cup Distaff 2020: Who are the fastest contenders?

Breeders' Cup Distaff 2020: Who are the fastest contenders?
Photo: Zoe Metz/NYRA

Assuming Swiss Skydiver opts for the Breeders' Cup Distaff, the marquee event for fillies and mares will be a match race between the Preakness winner and six-time Grade 1 winner Monomoy Girl. Below we take a look at which of these two stars is faster on paper and examine how far behind the rest of the field is. 

Horse Best/Last Beyer Best/Last    Brisnet Figure Best/Last Timeform Figure 
 Monomoy Girl104/104 111/100 125/123
 Swiss Skydiver105/105 109/109 127/127
 Harvest Moon 97/97 98/98  120/120
 Valiance 96/96 105/103  122/122
 Dunbar Road 96/92 101/95  122/114
 Ollie's Candy 100/95 104/102  124/121
 Point of Honor 96/96  103/97   122/115
  Horologist  101/100  106/101  121/121
  Ce Ce  100/91  101/95  121/120
  Speech  101/88  104/96  124/114
 Vexatious  105/82  109/89  125/109

Who is the fastest: Monomoy Girl has been a model of consistency throughout her career, but Swiss Skydiver's Preakness win gained a highest Beyer Speed Figure and Timeform Figure than Monomoy Girl's career best. Vexatious earned the lowest last out Beyer Speed figure for her poor effort last time, but her win in the Personal Ensign (G1) tied for the highest Beyer in the field, making her an interesting price play for the exotics on her best day.

One thing that stands out: Zenyatta Stakes (G2) winner Harvest Moon will likely be the third choice in the Distaff, but based off of speed figures, she is too slow to make any sort of dent in this race. Her career best Brisnet and Timeform ratings are the lowest in the field, and her Beyer Speed Figures are toward the back of the pack.

Related: Prospective odds and fields for all 14 Breeders' Cup races

Odds and accomplishments for the 2020 Distaff runners: 

HorseClaim to FameLast RaceHRN Odds
Monomoy Girl6-time G1 winner1st in La Troienne7-5
Swiss Skydiver 2-time G1 winner1st in Preakness5-2
Harvest Moon Undefeated on dirt1st in Zenyatta8-1
ValianceWinner over track & distance1st in Spinster10-1
Dunbar Road'19 Alabama (G1) winner3rd in Beldame15-1
Ollie's Candy'19 Hirsch winner (G1)2nd in Spinster15-1
Point of Honor'19 Black-Eyed Susan winner (G2)2nd in Beldame20-1
 Horologist2 highest figures in Mott barn1st in Beldame  20-1 
 Ce Ce2-time G1 winner 4th in Derby City Distaff  30-1 
 Speech Ashland (G1) winner 4th in Kentucky Oaks  30-1 
VexatiousPersonal Ensign (G1) winner5th in La Troienne30-1

Additional Breeders' Cup Distaff updates

• Brad Cox confirmed that both Shedaresthedevil and Bonny South will not challenge their star stablemate Monomoy Girl in the Distaff.

• John Sadler confirmed to HRN that Ollie's Candy is definite for the Distaff.

• Michael McCarthy told HRN that Ce Ce and Speech are pointing toward the Breeders' Cup, but he is uncertain whether one or both would run in the Filly & Mare Sprint instead of the Distaff.

• Jack Sisterson confirmed to HRN that Vexatious would run in the Distaff.

• Bill Mott's Horologist will be supplemented to the Distaff.

• Bob Baffert's Fighting Mad will skip the race, according to Brad Free of the Daily Racing Form, who reported the news on the At the Races with Steve Byk radio program.

Who's already going: Monomoy Girl, Harvest Moon, Valiance, Dunbar Road, Ollie's Candy, Point of Honor, Vexatious, Horologist

Who could be going: Swiss Skydiver, Ce Ce, Speech, 

Probable Distaff field with their connections:

2020 Breeders' Cup Distaff (G1)

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