Breeders' Cup Classic 2020: Who are the fastest contenders?

Breeders' Cup Classic 2020: Who are the fastest contenders?
Photo: Rob Simmons/Eclipse Sportswire

The 2020 Breeders' Cup Classic features the deepest field in recent memory. Nine Grade 1 winners are set to line up, and there is very little separating the top six choices in terms of speed figures. To illustrate how competitive this race is, take a closer look at the Beyer, Brisnet and Timeform Figures for this year's Classic probables below.

Horse Best/Last Beyer Best/Last    Brisnet Figure Best/Last Timeform Figure 
Improbable108/108 108/108 127/127
 Tiz the Law109/103 115/103  128/128
 Maximum Security 111/101 108/103  131/127
 Authentic 105/105 108/108  129/126
Tom's d'Etat 109/102 112/101  129/124
 Swiss Skydiver 105/105 109/109  127/127
 Happy Saver 100/100  104/104   123/123
  Global Campaign 104/104  108/104  125/125
  By My Standards 103/102  107/99  125/120
 Tacitus101/97   105/102    127/120 
 Midcourt 104/101  106/103  127/125
 Higher Power 107/99  110/100

  123/119

Who is the fastest: What makes this race so tough is the fact that one can make an argument that any of four horses are the fastest based on differing figures. Maximum Security has the highest career Beyer in the field, but Improbable has the highest last out number. Tiz the Law has the best Brisnet figure, but Swiss Skydiver has the highest number in her last start. Maximum Security leads the way in terms of career Timeform figures, while Tiz the Law has the highest from his last race. Authentic and Tom's d'Etat, who do not lead in any category, are consistently near the top in many speed figure categories as well.

One thing that stands out: Tiz the Law's Travers Stakes figures were massive. He received a 115 Brisnet Speed Figure, which is a full three points higher than Tom's d'Etat's best of 112. His 109 Beyer Speed Figure is tied for the second highest career number in the field, and his Timeform number is near the top. He was on quite the upward trajectory prior to his Derby defeat. Maybe he just does not like Churchill Downs?

[Related: Prospective odds and fields for all 14 Breeders' Cup races]

Odds and accomplishments for the 2020 Classic runners: 

HorseClaim to Fame Last RaceHRN Odds
Improbable4-time G1 winner1st in Awesome Again7-2
Tiz the LawTravers, Belmont Stakes (G1) winner 2nd in Kentucky Derby4-1
Maximum Security  Saudi Cup, Pacific Classic (G1) winner 2nd in Awesome Again   9-2 
AuthenticHaskell, Kentucky Derby (G1) winner 2nd in Preakness 6-1
Tom's d'Etat Clark Stakes (G1) winner3rd in Whitney10-1
Swiss Skydiver2-time G1 winner1st in Preakness10-1
 Happy Saver Undefeated in 4 starts  1st in Jockey Club Gold Cup   15-1 
Global CampaignHighest career figure came at 1 1/4 miles1st in Woodward20-1
By My Standards4-time G2 winner 1st in Alysheba20-1
 Tacitus3-time G2 winner 3rd in Jockey Club Gold Cup 20-1 
 MidcourtSan Pasqual Stakes (G2) winner  3rd in Awesome Again 30-1 
Higher Power'19 Pacific Classic (G1) winner 4th in Pacific Classic 30-1

Additional Breeders' Cup Classic updates

• Trainer Tom Drury confirmed to HRN on Monday that Art Collector would bypass the Classic in favor of the Dirt Mile.

• Tacitus was listed by trainer Bill Mott among his six Breeders' Cup probables.

Who's already going: Improbable, Tiz the Law, Maximum Security, Authentic, Tom's d'Etat, Happy Saver, Global Campaign, By My Standards, Tacitus, Midcourt and Higher Power

Who could be going: Swiss Skydiver

2020 Breeders' Cup Classic (G1)

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