5 angles to bet as Del Mar's 2019 summer meet begins

July 17, 2019 11:13am
When it comes to Del Mar’s highly popular summer meeting that begins Wednesday, Mike Shutty, author of Horse Racing Nation’s Super Screener handicapping system, offers two pieces of advice.

First, expect the unexpected. And second, don’t think you can wager “narrowly” and come out ahead.

So Shutty has pieced together a guide outlining his time-tested Super Screener Del Mar handicapping angles available below — for free! — to help turn the meet into a winning one. If you’ve downloaded the Del Mar tips before, it’s worth getting again, too, as there are updates exclusive to 2019 included.


Look for more specific detail on handicapping angles, trainers to play and what to look for in your Del Mar wagers within the guide. Here are five of Shutty's tips to get you started:
 
1) 
If the race favorite is stuck in the No. 9 post or wider, strongly consider playing against. It's tough to win from out there at Del Mar. And for races exiting the chute, avoid favorites stuck on the rail. They either have to be used hard to get out in front before the sharp left turn, or they are shuffled back in the field as rivals cut across.

2)
 
Avoid first-time starters in maiden claiming races, especially for 3-year-olds and up. The win record is abysmal -- less than 5% -- and it is even worse for route races. Even first time starters in maiden special weight races typically fail when debuting going a route of ground.

3) The 2-year-old races are all about Bob Baffert, but...in the 5 1/2-furlong races including his top barn, check the average winning distance value available on Brisnet past performances for their horses' sires. Often, these are horses that are meant to develop later and are bred for routing. If all the top guns’ horses are showing 6.5 furlongs or farther for their sire’s average winning distance, play against them. Instead, opt for a lesser-known barn whose charge is sporting sub six-furlong sire average winning distance figures along with sharp works. This angle accounted for nearly all the 15-1 or higher longshot first-timers winning or placing the last couple of years.

4) For the first few weeks of the meet, the turf course is kind to mid-pack closer types and not so much for pace/stalker players. Once the first week of August hits, however, track maintenance will move the rail out farther. Pay close attention for when that happens because, instantly, stalkers gain an advantage. Then a few weeks later as the Pacific Classic approaches, the rail shifts back in, and closers will regain their edge -- that is, unless the  turf is so beaten down it becomes a super highway.

5) Late-blooming 3-year-olds from top barns that started racing after January but have been away for 60-90 days, yet show sharp works, are key plays are Del Mar. They also regularly win at 5-1 odds or higher. There are several examples from recent years supporting this trend.

There's much more offered in Shutty's free guide -- again, see the download link above -- including trainers to bet first off the claim, jockeys to watch aboard longshots and hot betting angles for 2019. Good luck!

 

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