2022 Kentucky Derby odds: 3 markets, 3 favorites, 184 choices

2022 Kentucky Derby odds: 3 markets, 3 favorites, 184 choices
Photo: Caesars Sportsbook at William Hill Nevada

The latest prep winner had his odds cut like the typical flavor of the week. Mattress Mack made his mark. Nevada bookmakers went opposite directions with the new filly on the block. And, oh, yes. There were three different favorites to close the weekend in the three Kentucky Derby 2022 futures markets.

It feels like as good a time as any for the last break in the prep schedule before the serious, 100-40-20-10 pointers begin.

Based on the best prices for bettors, San Felipe (G2) winner Forbidden Kingdom and Risen Star (G2) runner-up Smile Happy remained the consensus, joint favorites Sunday night, each available at 10-1 in Las Vegas.

Forbidden Kingdom carried those odds at Circa Sports and was the 6-1 favorite at Caesars Sportsbook at William Hill. Smile Happy was 10-1 at both Nevada shops, although Saturday’s Tampa Bay Derby (G2) winner Classic Causeway was cut from 16-1 to a 9-1 favorite at Circa.

Jim “Mattress Mack” McIngvale, who owns Smile Happy’s stallion Runhappy, told Horse Racing Nation he bet “a couple thousand” dollars Saturday in the Kentucky Derby Future Wager. That bet was the difference in making the Kenny McPeek-trained colt the 6-1 individual favorite in Pool 4 of the weekend pari-mutuels that were offered nationally by Churchill Downs.

It actually was the “all other 3-year-olds” option, the mutuel-field choice of any Derby horse other than 23 listed individuals, that closed as the 4-1 KDFW favorite.

Pari-mutuel bettors who put their money on “all others” might have considered the looming possibility of unlisted Bob Baffert horses, such as two-time Grade 3 winner Messier, being moved to other trainers to make them eligible for the Derby. They also had the added enticement of the filly Secret Oath, the Honeybee (G3) winner whom trainer D. Wayne Lukas will send against males April 2 in the Arkansas Derby (G1).

Secret Oath was cut from 85-1 to 25-1 at Caesars at William Hill, but she drifted from 25-1 to 28-1 at Circa, perhaps in an effort to drive some business her way.

While Churchill takes a break from booking Derby bets until its final pool March 31-April 2, the Nevada books list a combined 184 horses for their round-the-clock futures.

Kentucky Derby futuresCircaC-WHKDFWTrainerSire
Forbidden Kingdom  10-1    6-1  7-1Richard MandellaAmerican Pharoah
Smile Happy  10-1  10-1  6-1Ken McPeekRunhappy
Classic Causeway    9-1  12-110-1Brian LynchGiant's Causeway
Epicenter  10-1    8-113-1Steve AsmussenNot This Time
Messier  15-1    8-1 Bob BaffertEmpire Maker
Charge It  15-1  16-117-1Todd PletcherTapit
Morello  12-1  14-117-1Steve AsmussenClassic Empire
Simplification  16-1    8-119-1Antonio SanoNot This Time
Jack Christopher   20-1 Chad BrownMunnings
Zandon  22-1  15-122-1Chad BrownUpstart
Mo Donegal  22-1  15-124-1Todd PletcherUncle Mo
Early Voting  27-1  16-119-1Chad BrownGun Runner
Secret Oath (f)  28-1  25-1 D. Wayne LukasArrogate
High Oak  30-1  Bill MottGormley
Rattle N Roll  30-1  25-131-1Ken McPeekConnect
Emmanuel  10-1  20-133-1Todd PletcherMore Than Ready
White Abarrio  35-1  15-122-1Saffie Joseph Jr.Race Day
Cyberknife  40-1  40-136-1Brad CoxGun Runner
Echo Zulu (f)  45-1  40-1 Steve AsmussenGun Runner
In Due Time  25-1  16-148-1Kelly BreenNot This Time
Chasing Time  45-1  50-1 Steve AsmussenNot This Time
Corniche  50-1  20-1 Bob BaffertQuality Road
Taiba   50-1 Bob BaffertGun Runner
Tiz the Bomb  50-1  40-1 Ken McPeekHit It a Bomb
Wit   50-1 Todd PletcherPractical Joke
Zozos  50-1  35-130-1Brad CoxMunnings
Oviatt Class   60-1 Keith DesormeauxBernardini
Barber Road  65-1  40-139-1John OrtizRaceday
Ethereal Road  70-1  35-132-1D. Wayne LukasQuality Road
Iron Works  70-1  50-1 Todd PletcherDistorted Humor
American Icon  75-1  30-1 Todd PletcherGun Runner
Commandperformance  65-1  75-1 Todd PletcherUnion Rags
Newgrange  40-1  75-1 Bob BaffertViolence
Pappacap  60-1  75-1 Mark CasseGun Runner
Rocket Dawg  75-1  45-1 Brad CoxClassic Empire
Shipsational  75-1  40-151-1Ed BarkerMidshipman
Slow Down Andy  75-1  75-1 Doug O'NeillNyquist
We the People  50-1  75-1 Rodolphe BrissetConstitution
Combustion  85-1  Keizo ItoDiscreet Cat
Un Ojo (g)  55-1  90-136-1Ricky CourvilleLaoban
Geraldo Barows100-1  Ryo TerashimaSinister Minister
God of Love100-1  Mark CasseCupid
Sekifu100-1  Koshiro TakeHenny Hughes
Sir London 100-1 Simon CallaghanMalibu Moon
Call Me Midnight125-1  35-168-1Keith DesormeauxMidnight Lute
Doppelgänger125-1  25-1 Bob BaffertInto Mischief
Giant Game  75-1125-1 Dale RomansGiant's Causeway
Marsalis 125-1 Steve AsmussenCurlin
Momentous 125-1 Todd PletcherSpeightstown
My Prankster 125-1 Todd PletcherInto Mischief
Pinehurst125-1  85-1 Bob BaffertTwirling Candy
Varatti125-1  75-1 Todd PletcherInto Mischief
Old Homestead 135-1 Brett BrinkmanOveranalyze
Dean's List150-1  75-1 Todd PletcherSpeightstown
Dry Stout150-1  Mitsunori MakiuraSinister Minister
Golden Glider150-1  75-1 Mark CasseGhostzapper
Mackinnon150-1  Doug O'NeillAmerican Pharoah
Major General100-1150-165-1Todd PletcherConstitution
Make It Big 150-1 Saffie Joseph Jr.Neolithic
Money Supply150-1100-1 Chad BrownPractical Joke
O Captain150-1150-1 Gustavo DelgadoCarpe Diem
Volcanic150-1125-1 Mark CasseViolence
Straight Up G160-1100-1 Richard BaltasStraight Fire
A. P.'s Secret100-1175-1 Saffie Joseph Jr.Cupid
Bold Journey 175-1 Bill MottHard Spun
Bye Bye Bobby175-1  Todd FincherQuality Road
Durante 175-1 Doug O'NeillDistorted Humor
Finneus 175-1 Walther SolisStay Thirsty
Gilded Age175-1150-1 Bill MottMedaglia d'Oro
Gold Rush Candy 175-1 Bob BaffertDanzing Candy
Grantham175-1125-1 Mike MakerDeclaration of War
Rockefeller 175-1 Bob BaffertMedaglia d'Oro
Ben Diesel200-1175-1 Dallas StewartWill Take Charge
Cogburn 200-1 Steve AsmussenNot This Time
Enbarr 200-1 Bob BaffertBrody's Cause
Happy Jack200-1  Doug O'NeillOxbow
Howling Time200-1100-1 Dale RomansNot This Time
Markhamian 200-1 Juan Carlos ÁvilaSocial Inclusion
Nitrous Channel200-1135-1 George WeaverNyquist
Osbourne (g) 200-1 Ron MoquettTapiture
Overbore 200-1 Wesley WardSpeightstown
Power Agenda 200-1 Todd PletcherNyquist
Tough to Tame 200-1 Chris DavisSpeightster
Trafalgar200-1150-1 Al Stall Jr.Lord Nelson
Coinage 225-1 Mark CasseTapit
Don't Wait Up 225-1 Tony DutrowUpstart
Galt225-1  Bill MottMedaglia d'Oro
Golden Code225-1125-1 Todd PletcherHonor Code
Kevin's Folly 225-1 Tom AmossDistorted Humor
Klugman 225-1 Eddie Plesa Jr.Practical Joke
Longshadow 225-1 Kelsey DannerTapiture
Micky From Wexford (g) 225-1 John EnnisDialed In
Pioneer of Medina225-1 71-1Todd PletcherPioneerof the Nile
Wharton225-1100-1 Bob BaffertCandy Ride
American Xperiment250-1250-1 Steve AsmussenNyquist
B Sudd 250-1 Dallas StewartJimmy Creed
Bodock250-1  Brad CoxStreet Boss
Candy Landing (r) 250-1 Brendan WalshTwirling Candy
Cool Papa G 250-1 Steve AsmussenMaclean's Music
Courvoisier250-1175-1 Kelly BreenTapit
Dash Attack250-1125-1 Ken McPeekMunnings
Dean Delivers (g)200-1250-1 Michael YatesCajun Breeze
Flying Drummer250-1125-1 Bob BaffertGun Runner
Home Brew250-1175-1 Brad CoxStreet Sense
Kenner 250-1 Jamie NessLaoban
King Cab (g) 250-1 Eddie Plesa Jr.Noble Bird
Lucky Boss 250-1 Ken McPeekStreet Boss
Stellar Tap 250-1 Steve AsmussenTapit
Strava250-1125-1 Dallas StewartInto Mischief
Strike Hard250-1  90-1 Matthew WilliamsFlashback
Surfer Dude250-1  Dallas StewartCurlin
Tawny Port250-1  Brad CoxPioneerof the Nile
Who Hoo Thats Me 250-1 Jorge AbreuKeen Ice
Dance Code 275-1 Juan VázquezHonor Code
All in Sync300-1  Steve AsmussenMaclean's Music
Apprehend300-1  Rene AmescuaArrogate
Beautiful Art300-1  Simon CallaghanKlimt
Cajun's Magic (g)300-1125-1 Michael YatesCajun Breeze
Call Me Jamal (g)300-1  Mike PuhichMalibu Moon
Classic Moment300-1150-1 Steve AsmussenClassic Empire
Constitutionlawyer300-1125-1 Ray HandalConstitution
Favorite Outlaw300-1150-1 Steve AsmussenMaclean's Music
Gilded Ruler300-1  Brad CoxInto Mischief
Glider300-1  Mark CasseQuality Road
Great Escape300-1225-1 Rodolphe BrissetMidnight Storm
Hagler 300-1 Rudy RodríguezTapiture
Hot Rod Rumble (g)300-1  Steve AsmussenMidnight Storm
Impressionist (g)300-1250-1 Rob AtrasMission Impazible
Joe300-1200-1 Mike TrombettaDeclaration of War
Kavod300-1150-1 Jim ChapmanLea
Kitten Mischief (g)300-1  Jonathan ThomasInto Mischief
Kupuna300-1200-1 Bret CalhounHard Spun
Legendary Lore300-1300-1 Bill MoreyPractical Joke
McLaren Vale300-1175-1 Bob BaffertGun Runner
Montebello300-1200-1 Bob BaffertCurlin
Rich Strike300-1  Butch ReedKeen Ice
Trademark (g)300-1200-1 Vicki OliverUpstart
Belgrade350-1200-1 Brendan WalshHard Spun
Cabo Spirit350-1  George PapaprodromouPioneerof the Nile
Fromanothamutha350-1250-1 Ray HandalUnified
Happy Boy Rocket350-1250-1 Bill MottRunhappy
In Dreams350-1200-1 Brad CoxFrosted
Key Point350-1200-1 Chad BrownInto Mischief
Life Is Great350-1250-1 Bob KlesarisTapiture
Lightening Larry350-1225-1 Jeff EnglerUncaptured
Naval Aviator350-1  Brad CoxTapit
Quick to Blame350-1  Brad CoxBlame
Skippylongstocking350-1150-1 Saffie Joseph Jr.Exaggerator
Spin Wheel350-1  Rusty ArnoldHard Spun
Swing Shift350-1200-1 Midnight FormTodd Pletcher
Barese400-1  85-1 Mike MakerLaoban
Blue Kentucky (g)400-1  Wayne CatalanoInclude
Bourbon Heist400-1  Ian WilkesPractical Joke
Bron and Brow400-1  Ruben AlvaradoGormley
Chattalot400-1  Steve AsmussenMidnight Lute
Cooke Creek400-1200-1 Jeremiah O'DwyerUncle Mo
Costa Terra400-1  Steve AsmussenGun Runner
Freelancer400-1  Brendan WalshMedaglia d'Oro
Geno400-1  David DonkBig Brown
Graphic Detail400-1  Bill MottPractical Joke
Gunfighter400-1  Brad CoxGhostzapper
Higher Standard400-1  Tom AmossInto Mischief
Hoist the Gold400-1  Dallas StewartMineshaft
Ignitis400-1250-1 D. Wayne LukasNyquist
Insolito400-1  Brad CoxConnect
Line Change400-1200-1 Mike StidhamNyquist
Magnolia Midnight400-1  Dallas StewartMidnight Storm
Midnight Chrome400-1  Tyler ServisCalifornia Chrome
Octane (g)400-1100-1 Carlos DavidBrethren
Of a Revolution400-1175-1 Saffie Joseph Jr.Maclean's Music
Peaceful Waters400-1  Al Stall Jr.Dialed In
Presidential400-1  Steve AsmussenPioneerof the Nile
Red Run400-1200-1 Steve AsmussenGun Runner
Rotknee400-1225-1 Mike MakerRunhappy
Smarten Up400-1  Alfredo VelázquezAmerican Freedom
Worse Read Sánchez400-1  Doug O'NeillSquare Eddie
American Sanctuary500-1  Chris DavisAmerican Freedom
Barossa500-1250-1 Rodolph BrissetInto Mischief
Cattin500-1250-1 Ralph NicksNeolithic
Fast Draw Munnings500-1  Jeff MullinsMunnings
Hitting Bombs500-1  Brian LynchGun Runner
Little Vic500-1225-1 Juan Carlos ÁvilaPractical Joke
Nineties Country500-1  Brad CoxConnect
Old Town Road500-1  Wesley WardClassic Empire
All other 3-year-olds*    4-1  
f-Filly   g-Gelding   r-Ridgling     
*Not among KDFW individual choices     
Circa: Circa Sports     
C-WH: Caesars at William Hill     
KDFW: Kentucky Derby Future Wager    

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