2020 Kentucky Derby odds: New sports book opens futures

2020 Kentucky Derby odds: New sports book opens futures
Photo: Eclipse Sportswire

In recent weeks, Paul Zilm has transformed from a horse racing fan following the 2020 Kentucky Derby trail to a more serious analyst ahead of the Sept. 5 race at Churchill Downs.

As Circa Sports’ risk supervisor, Zilm recently helped launch just the second fixed-odds Kentucky Derby future joining fellow Nevada sports book William Hill U.S.

“With a limited menu with so many sports still shut down, it made sense to look at it and gauge interest,” Zilm said. “We’re approaching our first-year anniversary of being in business. Every time we do something for the first time, it’s really a feeling out process to see if there’s interest and if it’s something that’s going to take to market.”

Until brick and mortar casinos reopen, Circa Sports is taking bets via its mobile app within Nevada. Limits have started at $200 on individuals and $500 on yes/no propositions, which are unique to this book for Derby futures.

“If someone really wants to take a stand against, say, Charlatan — ‘I really do not believe in this horse. I don’t think this horse is going to get to the Derby’ — you can lay the no and be aggressive,” Zilm said.

Consider that William Hill has assumed plenty of liability on certain Derby prospects dating back to its futures opening last fall, and Circa may offer bettors more alluring prices in some instances.

“I definitely respect what William Hill has done,” Zilm said. “Up until the last couple of weeks, they had as many as 180 horses in their pool, which is a lot to follow and keep track of. So when we decided to put ours together, I really tried not to reference what they had. We were dealing with, what’s our philosophy on booking futures?”

Zilm said Circa’s board is intended to include only horses with a realistic shot at running in the Derby. Among them is Cezanne, the un-raced, $3.65 million colt from the Bob Baffert barn who was added at 55-1 after a request came in from social media.

The yes/no props are available on Nadal, Tiz the Law, Charlatan and Authentic. Opening prices are listed below.

Zilm said they remain, for the most part, accurate of the real-time odds available on the Circa app, with the Arkansas Derby (G1) runner-up King Guillermo among the exceptions after he took a sizable wager this week.

Nadal +575

Tiz the Law +575

Charlatan +650

Authentic +815

Maxfield 18-1

Honor A. P. 18-1

Sole Volante 22-1

King Guillermo 32-1

Mr. Monomoy 40-1

Enforceable 40-1

Basin 40-1

Ete Indien 50-1

Azul Coast 50-1

Mischevious Alex 60-1

High Velocity 60-1

Gouverneur Morris 75-1

Cafe Pharoah 75-1

Silver Prospector 75-1

Thousand Words 75-1

Tizamagician 75-1

Dr Post 75-1

Chestertown 80-1

Modernist 80-1

Wells Bayou 80-1

Major Fed 80-1

Untitled 85-1

Ajaaweed 85-1

Max Player 85-1

Finnick the Fierce 90-1

Money Moves 90-1

Country Grammer 90-1

Farmington Road 90-1

Silver State 90-1

Caracaro 100-1

Mystic Guide 100-1

Ny Traffic 100-1

Structor 100-1

Attachment Rate 100-1

Pneumatic 100-1

Shotski 100-1

West Sider 100-1

Green Light Go 100-1

Express Train 125-1

Palm Springs 125-1

Anneau d’Or 125-1

Eight Rings 125-1

Premier Star 125-1

Royal Act 125-1

Exaulted 125-1

Mailman Money 125-1

Shoplifted 125-1

Edge of Fire 125-1

Chance It 150-1

Toledo 150-1

Excession 150-1

Shivaree 150-1

Sonneman 150-1

Mr. Big News 150-1

Portos 150-1

Earner 150-1

Rushie  175-1

Scabbard 175-1

Texas Swing 175-1

American Theorem 175-1

Fast Enough 175-1

Glory Road 175-1

Answer In 175-1

Gold Street 175-1

Great Power 175-1

Storm the Court 175-1

Candy Tycoon 175-1

Market Analysis 175-1

Shashashakemeup 175-1

Mo Hawk 175-1

Garth 200-1

Meru 200-1

Shooters Shoot 200-1

As Seen On Tv 200-1

Liam’s Point 225-1

By Your Side 250-1

Digital 250-1

Long Weekend 250-1

Halo Again 250-1

Necker Island 250-1

Americanus 250-1

Bronn 300-1

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