• La Coronel (5-1) leads them all the way in the Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup.Posted 6 days ago
  • Rubilinda (6-5) finds the wire just in time to take the Pebbles Stakes.Posted 6 days ago
  • Engage (1-2) rolls home from last to win the Grade 3 Futurity Stakes.Posted 6 days ago
  • Bolt d'Oro is the 12-1 favorite in the current Las Vegas line for Kentucky Derby 2018.Posted 9 days ago
  • Romantic Vision (6-1) takes the sloppy Spinster (G1) at Keeneland.Posted 12 days ago
  • Unique Bella (1-5) returns with a clear victory in the L. A. Woman (G3) at Santa Anita.Posted 12 days ago
  • Flameaway (5-1) wins a three-horse photo finish in the Dixiana Bourbon (G3) at a wet Keeneland.Posted 12 days ago
  • War Flag (9-1) wins the stretch battle in Belmont's Flower Bowl (G1).Posted 12 days ago
  • Separationofpowers (9-5) impresses in the Frizette at Belmont Park.Posted 12 days ago
  • Roy H (4-5) lives up to favoritism in the Grade 1 Santa Anita Sprint Championship.Posted 13 days ago
Breeders' Cup 2017

2013 Kentucky Derby Super Screener - Now Available!

Super Screener

As we handicap the Kentucky Derby, there are countless ways to dissect the probable field in search of the ultimate winner.  Dosage Index, Dual Qualifier status, pedigree, Speed Ratings, prep race quality, Graded Stakes wins, workouts days before the Derby and a trainer’s Derby record are just a few of the criteria that people use when assessing a field of probable Derby contenders.  These types of factors fall in and out of favor over the years and each has had its share of success in helping track down a Kentucky Derby winner.


     [Get Your Copy of the Proven System for Picking Derby Winners at SuperScreener.com


Each year, we are reminded of other important, proven screening criteria we should keep in mind as we handicap the Kentucky Derby.   Examples would include the following:


·       Don’t bet to win on Derby entrants that have never run as a 2 year-old.  Most recently, Curlin and Bodemeister tried to overcome this long-standing tenant but both came up a bit short in their respective Kentucky Derby endeavors.

·       Only one horse (Regret) has ever won the Derby off just 3 lifetime starts (make that only two horses now that Big Brown achieved this feat in 2008)

·       Post position 20 has never produced a winner (Big Brown busted that one as well and I’ll Have Another won from the 19 hole in 2012 so this screening criteria weakens some as a result)

·       Must have a final prep race run at the mile and eighth distance (Charismatic was able to break that barrier in winning the 1999 Kentucky Derby as have several second place Derby finishers)

·       Must have a prep race in April (yep, Big Brown defied that rule, too, and more recently, Animal Kingdom submitted his last prep in March via the Spiral Stakes)

·       Discount horses that completed their final preps on synthetic tracks or turf courses (Street Sense and Animal Kingdom broke through that potential barrier to win the 2007 and 2011 editions of the Kentucky Derby, respectively)

·       Avoid wire-to-wire types when searching for your Kentucky Derby winner (though it has been 10 years, Bob Baffert-trained War Emblem never looked back while taking the 2002 Kentucky Derby field gate to wire)


It’s not to say that these criteria aren’t useful, but if followed blindly, it would have lead to eliminating Kentucky Derby winners like Animal Kingdom, Big Brown and War Emblem and potentially several very hittable long-shot second place finishers in past runnings of the Kentucky Derby.



Several years ago, we went on a search for a more reliable, yet flexible, adaptable set of screening criteria through which we could identify (and eliminate), with greater confidence, Kentucky Derby win and in-the-money contenders.  This would be a system that would allow for “getting smarter” based on new data. 

We at Horse Racing Nation believe we have found a superior, flexible screening methodology that we are excited to share with you as we continue on the march toward Louisville, Kentucky.  To learn more, visit SuperScreener.com today! 




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Older Comments about 2013 Kentucky Derby Super Screener - Now Available!...

What is in common, NOT DIFFERENT amongst: the K Derby, a 10K Penn National clcaiming sprint, the Queen's Plate or a Lone Star maiden claimer route? NOTHING. They are all simple manisfestations of the same exact things. To dress any one of them up differently is, over the long run, parimutually foolish.

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