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Zipse At The Track

Summer Front as a Kentucky Derby prospect?

As I watched this afternoon's $100,000 Dania Beach Stakes from Gulfstream Park unfold, two things struck me by the time the field of eleven had hit the wire. The first thing was the obvious; the winner, Summer Front, is a serious turf horse. Stumbling badly out of the starting gate, he, along with rider Ramon Dominguez, were left with plenty to do in the flat mile feature, but that is exactly what they were able to accomplish, rallying stoutly on the outside to swoosh by a solid enough looking field, for a 1 1/2-length victory. Now undefeated in three starts, Summer Front covered the distance in 1:35.57 over a firm turf course. The good looking juvenile had previously won the King Cugat Stakes at Aqueduct, and a maiden sprint at Belmont Park for trainer Christophe Clement and owner Waterford Stable. Both of those wins came on the grass, meaning the son of War Front has never run on anything but the green stuff. Therin lies the second and more questionable thing that crossed my mind while watching the win ... this may be a serious contender for the 2012 Kentucky Derby.

How can I say this about a horse that has never run on the dirt? Recent history is a great place to start. Lest we forget, in three of the last six Kentucky Derbies, the big race was one by a horse considered to be a turf horse at this stage of things. Furthermore, none of the three, (Barbaro, Big Brown, or Animal Kingdom) had even started on the dirt before Barbaro ran in the Holy Bull in February of his sophomore season. Clearly experience on dirt is not a prerequisite of the modern Kentucky Derby winner.

From this recent history we know that Summer Front is at no disadvantage having never tested traditional dirt at this stage of his young career, but the question remains, will this horse that Ramon Dominguez made a special trip to Florida to keep the mount, even like the dirt? I think there is good reason to believe the answer will be yes.

Being a son of War Front, Summer Front gets a fair amount of both turf and dirt breeding from his sire line. War Front was a talented sprinter on the dirt, and a son of classic sire Danzig, out of a Rubiano broodmare. On the female side, Summer Front is out of Rose Summer, a daughter of the versatile sire El Prado, she has plenty of both distance and dirt in her female bloodlines, being out of a Cherokee Colony mare. It is from this female side, that Summer Front has an abundance of distance pedigree to fall back on as the distances get longer. Overall his pedigree looks like one that is becoming more common these days ... a horse that should be able to handle a variety of surfaces.

So the precedent has been set threefold, and the pedigree is there, but should Summer Front really be considered as a legitimate Kentucky Derby possibility, as we ring in the new year, despite having run on nothing but grass? Why not ... I, for one, am ready and willing to roll with this new angle in early Kentucky Derby handicapping.

Photo courtesy of Bob Coglianese



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Older Comments about Summer Front as a Kentucky Derby prospect?...

This could be The Next Barbaro as he is one of the very impressive juveniles to have run this year. He is defintely in my Top 5!
War Front must still be considered a question mark at classic distances. Time will tell.
My latest horse added to my virtual stable. Overcoming the track bias of a outside post position, and stumbling from the gate, then drawing away at the end. Very impressive.
War Front had some nice ones this year, but I can't help but think a mile would be his best distance. But we have see horses out run pedgrees that are geared towards shorter than his.
2012 does seem to look more promising for 3 year olds than 2011. Thank goodness this year is almost over. I haven't been around that long, but from early January when I started following this year's crop, I began to see a pattern develop the farther into the season we got. In the first place, it was almost funny, as well as frustrating, each week to watch the handicappers with egg on their faces trying to make sense of the week's prep racing activity. With one or two rare exceptions, it was a different winner each week! And, it continued into the Triple Crown season, with a different winner for each race! Something else I hope is different in 2012: I hope and pray that fewer horses wind up on the shelf. This year, I read nearly 60% of the runners in January were on the shelf by June! That is a distressing statistic. Happily, some of these runners have made it back, and a few are even committed to racing in 2012. I've watch closely this year the juveniles, and we seem to be blessed with quite a few very promising youngsters set to provide some thrills in 2012.
You can add another to the UNDEFEATED list. 3 wins
Summer Front, Gemologist, and Trickmeister should be added to the the Undefeated Watch list after this weekend's performances. Quite an impressive race. Makes me wonder what his winning margin would have been if he had not stumbled at the start.
He will definitely be on my Derby Watch list.

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Meet Brian Zipse

Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Taken to the races at a very young age, he has been lucky enough to see all the greats in person from Secretariat, Forego, and Ruffian through Rachel Alexandra, Zenyatta, American Pharoah and Justify. Before coming to the Nation, Brian displayed his love for the sport through the development of his horse racing website, which quickly became one of the most popular blogs in the game. His new racing partnership venture, Derby Day Racing, invites more fans to experience the thrill of racehorse ownership.

The Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, Brian authored a daily column as Zipse at the Track, created the popular racing show, HorseCenter and added his editorial flare to the overall content of the website. Now a Senior Writer for HRN, Brian continues to contribute his thoughts on racing, as well as hosting HorseCenter. A big supporter of thoroughbred aftercare, he serves as the President of The Exceller Fund.

Brian's work has also been published on several leading industry sites. He has consulted for leading contest site Derby Wars, is both a Hall of Fame and NTRA poll voter, and is a Vox Populi committee member. 

A horse owner and graduate of DePaul University, Brian lives just outside of Louisville with his wife Candice and daughter Kendra.

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