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Breeders' Cup 2017

HRN Original Blog:
Zipse At The Track

Gary Stevens may be sitting on a good one in Candy Boy

Candy Boy Gary Stevens 615 X 400
Photo: Eclipse Sportswire - Alex Evers

 

In watching and rewatching countless replays of races of possible 2014 Kentucky Derby contenders (I know it’s a tough life, isn’t it?), I’ve come to the conclusion that Candy Boy is one of the more intriguing sophomore colts out there. He’s yet to make his three-year-old debut, but that will change in a matter of days, when he goes to the post in Saturday’s Grade 2 Robert B. Lewis Stakes.

 


I first became aware of the John Sadler trained colt in his third lifetime start when he finished runner-up to the impressive winner of the race, Tap It Rich. He was only second best that day, but ran greenly, and finished full of run while well clear of the rest. That effort at Santa Anita remains his only effort as of yet on dirt, a surface he will be reunited with in the Lewis. The improvement in that one was furthered when he came back in his next start, routing the field  by more than eight lengths in a 1 1/16 mile maiden special weight over at Hollywood Park. While I liked the way he finished off both of those races, it was in his fifth, and final start, of his juvenile season that was the biggest tip off to his deep well of talent.

 


Falling well behind early, the Candy Ride colt had only one horse beat in the large field of the Grade 1 CashCall Futurity, and that was the struggling and aforementioned, Tap It Rich. Now, I don’t meant to overstate this, but the move he made on the backstretch was a little Secretariatesque. No, no … I am not suggesting that he will win the Belmont Stakes by 31 lengths someday, but we all remember the sudden burst of speed the great one made on the first turn of the Preakness. Well, the backstretch explosion of Candy Boy reminded me of that move if just a little. See for yourself…



The powerful move was obviously too early for this young juvenile to maintain, and he was dismissed of by Shared Belief, but again, he still finished well, and was able to come in second against solid horses.

 


First off, you don’t see horses make a move like that - tenth to first in a quarter mile - against good horses, unless you have some serious talent. Secondly, it is worth noting that his Hall of Fame rider, Gary Stevens, was on him for the first time in the Futurity, and has since been getting on him in the mornings. My guess is Gary liked what he had that day in the C R K Stable owned bay.

 


With the wily veteran in tow, Candy Boy has laid down a series of good looking morning moves, suggesting the improvement he has demonstrated in each of last three runs is still on the upswing. It sure looks like it will be all systems go on Saturday.

  


In the Robert B. Lewis, I fully expect Midnight Hawk to go favored, and the undefeated son of Midnight Lute certainly could win, but my pick will be Candy Boy. He may have won only won once in five tries at two, but I think Gary Stevens may be sitting on a good one in the sweet looking son of Candy Ride. 

 

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Older Comments about Gary Stevens may be sitting on a good one in Candy Boy...

The next one will be up on Tuesday.
Yes, I'd say Gary is sitting on a good one! When will the next Down and Derby be coming out, Brian?
Correct,i forgot the West Coast Bull.
Maybe, Fernando Toro :)
Amino,this guy is another Candy Ride. Not that he is facing a true Grade 1 field. This race happens to be on the dirt.As super talented as he is,just like Diamond Bachelor. They might be running here,before they explore greener pastures if you know what i mean SAMYN
t_v never has 1 COLT, as has been said so many times in so many ways, it’s too early to figure distance performance
So based on your figurin', who's your horse vic?
NO, it is not wrong to look for the quality that was once there, the quality, the depth, the stamina that the breeders have sold out to Euro breeders and casino operators
Not denying the sad state of affairs vic - just not the same game I grew up with. Just being an old fogey I guess!
given the fall out rate with these three year olds on the way to the big dance, maybe fewer stressful races are the key...Has not worked in the past but as the breed becomes more and more distance limited, that may be the path of the future
Riiight...I believe that's when Cairo Prince is scheduled to make his next start, isn't it!!...My crystal ball says that the evaluation will be that he needed that race after his 9 week vacation !!!
Conditions mean ZIP. How the horse handles the increasing distance is key here. The ones that cannot go to the next step continue getting higher and higher % medians
Percent median between 67.2 and 67.9 is where just about all the Derby winners live
nice colt...Canonero has run in the Del Mar Futurity (not that well as it is a sprint) before going to South America
There still will be those other substantial factors {don’t get t_v started on energy %s again :)} but for now, it’s non-winners of 2x allowance races masquerading as Grade 2s at 1 1/16th. Check back in come April.
in the ky derby vic
i was there tvic when mr. frisky ran in 1990 they had over a million dollars to win on him. man he looked good that day
Canonero did in Venezuela before his Derby victory
Funny you mention Mr. Frisky. My angle for throwing him out, was that when he ran in the Derby, he had never been in a cool atmosphere(as was the case in Puerto Rico and California). Though it can get warm in Kentucky in May, my angle worked for that particular time. Can't recall what year that was, but I probably had a colt that was in a photo finish with the water truck.
I may be wrong, but I don't recall any 2 or 3yo running a mile and a quarter before the Derby. So that has always been a question. The point is, that there WAS other substantial factors that could be considered. Those 'other factors' are manifested only when racehorses actually race and are now on the extinction list. There's simply not enough to go on. The FIELD being the favorite in the future pool is proof of that.

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Meet Brian Zipse 


Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Taken to the races at a very young age, he has been lucky enough to see all the greats in person from Secretariat, Forego, and Ruffian through Rachel Alexandra, Zenyatta, and American Pharoah. Before coming to the Nation, Brian displayed his love for the sport through the development of his horse racing website, which quickly became one of the most popular blogs in the game. 

  
The Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, Brian authored a daily column as Zipse at the Track, or ZATT for short, and added his editorial flare to the overall content of the website. Now a Senior Writer for HRN, Brian continues to contribute his thoughts on racing, as well as co-hosting the popular racing show, HorseCenter. A big supporter of thoroughbred aftercare, he serves as the President of The Exceller Fund.


Brian's work has also been published on several leading industry sites. He has consulted for leading contest site Derby Wars, is both a Hall of Fame and NTRA poll voter, and is a Vox Populi committee member. 

  
A horse owner and graduate of DePaul University, Brian lives just outside of Louisville with his wife Candice and daughter Kendra.

  



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