3-year-old pedigrees: Market Analysis dynamic on debut

January 28, 2020 11:10am
3-year-old pedigrees: Market Analysis dynamic on debut
Photo: Courtesy of Gulfstream Park

Emerging 3-year-old colts within the last week include two Todd Pletcher graduates in the maiden ranks, plus a half brother to dual Grade 3 winner Ownendale. Let’s review this weeks promising newcomers and see how far bloodlines tell us they'll go...


MARKET ANALYSIS
(Honor Code - Interest Free, by Exchange Rate)

Market Analysis lived up to expectations when graduating at first asking on the Pegasus undercard at Gulfstream Park. The pretty gray colt pressed the pace on the outside early under John Velazquez and then took command in the stretch, holding off the late charge of Attachment Rate by 3/4 of a length. The Pletcher trainee traveled seven furlongs in 1:24.13.

Pedigree: Market Analysis has a miler/middle distance pedigree. Honor Code won at the highest level between the Metropolitan Handicap (G1) to the Whitney (G1). So far, his progeny have won from 5 1/2 furlongs to 1 1/16 miles. Honor Code is No. 15 on the First-Crop Sire list. His offspring may be best up to middle distances, yet he may get the occasional classic distance winner with time.

Market Analysis is the first foal out of the multiple stakes-placed sprinter Interest Free. The mare is the only black type earner out of Seafree, who won the La Canada (G2) at 1 1/8 miles. She also placed in the Santa Margarita (G1) at 1 1/8 miles. Seefree is a half-sister to Fly Down, winner of the 2010 Dwyer (G2), and he finished second in the Belmont Stakes, Travers (G1), and was third in the epic 2010 Breeders’ Cup Classic. Exchange Rate is the damsire of three graded/listed winners, all turf sprinter/milers.


ATTACHMENT RATE
(Hard Spun - Aristra, by Afleet Alex)

Attachment Rate showed vast improvement in his second start, which came against Market Analysis. The Dale Romans trainee had no early speed, lagging behind some 23 1/2 lengths at the half-mile pole. Once Flavien Pratt got Attachment Rate moving, they closed swiftly down the center of the track and just ran out of real estate. Attachment Rate got his final furlong in 12.61 seconds compared to Market Rate’s 13.39.

Pedigree:
Attachment Rate is bred to love classic distances. Hard Spun is an established stallion, standing at No. 6 on the National sire list by earnings. His have no distance limitations. Hard Spun is the sire of last year’s Breeders’ Cup Mile hero Spun to Run, plus Kentucky Derby trail contestants Green Light Go and Silver State.

There are no black type earners in Attachment Rate’s immediate family, but his dam’s half-sisters have produced some notable runners. The second generation of this female family includes 2017 Champion Two-Year-Old Filly Caledonia Road, Maker’s Mark Mile (G1) hero and sire Data Link and Donn Handicap (G1) hero Hymn Book. Preakness/Belmont Stakes hero Afleet Alex is the dam sire of five graded/listed winners in the U.S. including Starlet (G1) heroine Dream Tree and last year’s Belmont Stakes winner Sir Winston.


CANDY TYCOON

(Twirling Candy - Liberty's Lyric, by Unbridled's Song)

Candy Tycoon gradually improved his form since last summer to graduate in a big way at Gulfstream Park on the Pegasus undercard.
 Velazquez sent the dark bay colt to the lead, where he rated comfortably. Candy Tycoon’s persistent stablemate Gimmie Some Mo challenged around the turn, but Candy Tycoon drew off in the stretch to win by four lengths. The Pletcher trainee finished 1 1/6 miles in 1:45.09.  

Pedigree:
Candy Tycoon has a miler/middle-distance pedigree, and he may go farther with maturity. Twirling Candy is an established stallion, whose stud fee dropped to $12,500 in his second season. Once his babies hit the track, the son of Candy Ride saw his fee rise to the current $40,000. He’s currently No. 15 on the General Sire list by earnings. His offspring have no distance limitations and include Belmont Oaks (G1) heroine Concrete Rose, Santa Anita Handicap (g1) hero Gift Box, plus last year’s Best Pal (G2) winner Collusion Illusion and Fore Left, winner of the Tremont Stakes.   

Candy Tycoon is a half-brother to Sutton’s Smile, who placed in the Starlet (G1) and Jimmy Durante (G3). Their dam Liberty's Lyric’s half-sister bore the sprinter Hello Beautiful, winner of last year’s Maryland Million Lassie and Maryland Juvenile Filly Championship. Candy Tycoon’s second dam, Hello Liberty, is a Grade 2-winning sprinter who placed in the Acorn (G1). Multiple graded winning turf miler Significant Form is part of this female family.
Candy Tycoon has similar breeding to Gift Box and Fore Left, as both are out of Unbridled’s Song mares.


MODERNIST
(Uncle Mo - Symbolic Gesture, by Bernardini)

Modernist found 1 1/8 miles over Aqueduct’s muddy main track to be the perfect distance on Sunday. Making his third start for Bill Mott, Modernist broke sharply for Junior Alvarado, and the pair set glacial early fractions. Modernist shook loose of the pace pressers in the stretch to win going away by four lengths in 1:54.24. Perhaps Modernist will get a class check in an upcoming stakes.

Pedigree:
Bred by the Wygod Family, Modernist has a middle distance/classic pedigree. He’s the first foal out of an unraced half-sister to 2004 Champion 2-Year-Old Filly Sweet Catomine. That one’s full sister is 2009 Breeders’ Cup Distaff heroine Life is Sweet, and their full brother is multiple stakes-winning turf miler Calimonco.


AFRICAN HERITAGE
(Cairo Prince - Celtic Gift, by Van Nistelrooy)

African Heritage visited the winner’s circle in his eighth start after stretching out to 1 1/16 miles over the Gulfstream Park lawn on Sunday.
Under a masterful ride by Hector Berrios, the pretty gray colt pressed the early pace. They faced a wall of horses as they made their way around the far turn, and Berrios patiently waited for a seam to open on the rail. Once it did, the pair shot to the lead and widened the advantage to 2 1/2 lengths. The Amador Sanchez trainee flashed under the wire in 1:43.29.

Pedigree:
African Heritage has a miler/middle distance pedigree. Cairo Prince is ranked No. 3 on the second crop sire list by earnings. His seven graded/listed winners are successful from sprints to 1 1/8 miles, led by Prioress (G2) winner Royal Charlotte and Sands Point (G2) heroine New and Improved. Cairo Prince’s son, Shazier, placed in last year’s H. Allen Jerkens Stakes at 1 1/4 miles.

African Heritage is the third foal out of a half-sister to multiple Grade 1-winning sire Harlan’s Holiday, whose son, Into Mischief, is carrying on his father’s legacy in the breeding shed.
African Heritage traces directly back to the superior mare Alanesian through her daughter, Grade 1 winner Princessneisian, a half-sister to the great Boldneisian, the grandsire of Seattle Slew. African Heritage has similar breeding to Royal Charlotte and Blue Norther Stakes winner Giza Goddess; both are out of daughters of Harlan’s Holiday. 

Van Nistelrooy is the dam sire of 10 graded/listed winners, all over the lawn in Ireland and New Zealand. Although the son of Storm Cat was a solid sprinter, his daughters’ offspring have no distance limitations.


SILENT FURY
(Violence - Silent Emotion, by Ghazi)

Silent Fury graduated in his second start, a 5 1/2-furlong maiden event over Santa Anita’s main track on Sunday. Breaking from the rail under Aaron Gryder, Silent Fury was sent to the front. He was quickly joined by Yeng Again, and the pair engaged in a speed duel. Silent Fury never relinquished the lead and held off his rival by a half-length. The Brian Koriner trainee traveled 5 1/2 furlongs in 1:03.70. 

Pedigree:
Silent Fury has a sprinter/miler pedigree, and turf could be an option. Violence, a Grade 1-winning miler, is ranked No. 5 on the third crop sire list by earnings. His offspring improve with maturity, but like their sire, are generally best as sprinter/milers, although a few have placed at longer distances over the lawn.

Silent Fury is a half brother to a pair of multiple stakes winners Emotional Kitten and Unspoken Word. Emotional Kitten is a Grade 2-winning turf miler, and she placed in the American Oaks (G1) and Del Mar Oaks (G1). She has earned $563,761 in 29 starts. Unspoken Word is a multiple stakes-winning sprinter/miler who placed in the La Brea (G1). Not to be outdone by her sister, Unspoken Word has earned $370,122 in 31 starts. Unspoken Word bore Grade 3-placed turf sprinter Smoke Signals. Silent Fury’s half-sister, Silent Joy, bore Night Time, who was third in last year’s Ellis Park Juvenile. Silent Fury’s dam, Silent Emotion, is a stakes-winning turf sprinter who earned $209,993 in 14 starts.

The second generation of the distaff line includes the hardy turf veteran Cannonball, who hit the board in the 2007 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, and two years later was third in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint. The speedy gelding earned $866,288 in 38 starts. Ghazi is the dam sire of eight graded/listed sprinter/milers.


YENG AGAIN
(Carpe Diem - Aspen Light, by Bernardini)

Making his debut in a 5 1/2-furlong sprint on Sunday at Santa Anita, Yeng Again gave it his all but couldn’t pass the more experienced Silent Fury.

Pedigree:
Yeng Again has a miler pedigree, and he may go farther with maturity. Carpe Diem won the Breeders’ Futurity (G1), placed in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, and then as a 3-year-old, won the Tampa Bay Derby (G2) and Blue Grass Stakes (G1). Carpe Diem is the No. 10-ranked first crop sire. His progeny include listed winner Bella Aurora and Sweet Kisses, who finished third in the Letellier Memorial.

Yeng Again’s half brother, Owendale, captured the Oklahoma and Ohio derbies, and the Lexington Stakes, all Grade 3 events, in 2019. He hit the board in last year’s Preakness and Clark (G1). Their dam, Aspen Light, is a half-sister to Grade 1 winner Great Hunter, who was third in the 2006 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. There’s plenty of class in Yeng Again’s third generation, led by 2015 Champion 3-Year-Old Filly Stellar Wind and multiple Grade 1-winning miler and new sire Mor Spirit. Bernardini is the dam sire of 24 graded/listed winners, including Travers hero Catholic Boy and Kentucky Oaks heroine Serengeti Empress.
  

 

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Through hands-on work at barns, I learned valuable lessons about Thoroughbred conformation, gait, and temperament and later worked withThoroughbred rescue/re-train organizations. I have committed my passion for horses to the intensive study of pedigree and breeding theory for the last 20 years. 


I support clients with all aspects of pedigree/breeding analysis, research, sales, catalogue review, and recommendations on claims or private sales. Clients include national leading owners, racing/breeding syndicates, the little guy with one mare, and everyone in between. 10-20% of all proceeds are donated to Thoroughbred rescue & retraining groups. Check out my website, Iron Maidens Thoroughbreds, and the IMTBreds blog.

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