Race of the Week 2017

HRN Original Blog:
A New York State of Racing

 

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California Chrome was simply one lucky horse winning weak graded stakes races against 2nd place horses that were either bad or going off form. Some of these horses after some times off (or trainer change) came back winning graded stakes again (see Hoppertunity in the 2014 G1 Clark and Mubtaahij in the 2017 G1 Awesome Again). The same case can also be made about Prince Bishop winning the 2015 DWC over Chrome. He was simply lucky to beat Chrome who was going off form and needed almost a year to recover.
"1) Horses who ran 2nd to Arrogate won 5 of 6 races in their next 3 races (within 6 months) after facing Arrogate. 2) Horses (a total of 9 different horses, scroll down to see my complete listing) who ran 2nd to California Chrome won 0 race in 15 starts in their next 3 races".. Final Analyst Conclusion?.. "5 out of 6" horses that Arrogate has beaten have came back to WIN! ..Arrogate beating them has done absolutely "nothing" to intimidate these horses.. And they just brushed it off!!...Horses who ran 2nd to California Chrome? ..Well he did a LOT more than "intimidate" these horses..They were "0 for 15" after he beat them in their next 3 races!...Yikes!!!!
"1) Horses who ran 2nd to Arrogate won 5 of 6 races in their next 3 races (within 6 months) after facing Arrogate. 2) Horses (a total of 9 different horses, scroll down to see my complete listing) who ran 2nd to California Chrome won 0 race in 15 starts in their next 3 races".. Final Analyst Conclusion?.. "5 out of 6" horses that Arrogate has beaten have came back to WIN! ..Arrogate beating them has done absolutely "nothing" to intimidate these horses.. And they just brushed it off!!...Horses who ran 2nd to California Chrome? ..Well he did a LOT more than "intimidate" these horses..They were "0 for 15" after he beat them in their next 3 races!...Yikes!!...
For those who don't like my form validation with 2nd place horses, you can start your own with 3rd place horses...lol. 2nd >> 3rd!!!
Hoppy
Destin-Hopportunity- Diversify
Horses who ran 2nd to Chrome #1 Hoppertunity..Won the G2 San Antonio (twice)..Won the G1 Jockey Gold Cup #2 Mubtaahij..Won the G1 Awesome Again Stakes..G2 UAE Derby #3 Beholder..Won 8 of 9 Stakes including 5 G1s before facing Chome..Won a G1 stakes very shortly after and finishing 2nd in another G1 #4 Lexie Lou Won the G2 Nassua,G2 Dance Smartly and the Victoriana Stakes #5 Imperative..Won the G2 Charles Town Classic #6 Dortmund..2 G1 wins..2 G2 wins..G3 win..etc These are just off top of my head..Their are "plenty "more..8 G1 winners including mulltiple G2 winners etc etc without even looking into it yet...(Tada!) =)...Enjoy
1st Diversify 2nd Hoppy 3rd could be anyone, rooting for Destin or Mo Tom
1st- Diversify 2nd- Good Samaritan 3rd- Destin
1st- Destin 2nd- Diversify 3rd- Good Samaritan
Winning form validation for Frosted. Here are what the horses running second to Frosted in graded stakes did in the following 3 races within the next 6 months (only stakes records are listed) Tencendur (G1 Wood Memorial): 0 win in 2 starts Iron Fist (G2 Penn Derby): 0 win in 1 start Gold City (G2 Al Maktoum R2): 0 win in 2 starts Anchor Down (G1 Met Mile): 1 win in 3 starts Comfort (G1 Whitney): 1 win in 1 start (non graded stakes) Frosted's 2nd place competitors in graded stakes races scored 2 stakes wins in 9 starts!!!
Last work was 6 furlongs in 1:22 ?!?!? Did something go wrong?
Won the Zia Park Championship today.
Big shout out to Gun Runner for putting "handicapping ignorance" and the whole "He never won at the distance so he cant handle it" close minded silliness on display during the Classic..You were the "most likely winner" and you did not disappoint!...(You would have won if the race was 2 miles long)...Thanks Gun!..
Joe Sharp announces that G1 winner Girvin will be freshened and will race in 2018, he will return to the Fair Grounds around the new year.
Probably he will be better stallion than racehorse.
American Pharoah, of course!!
Who is the greatest racehorse of the 21st century so far? I personally think AP, what does everyone else think?
The two big, historically defining 9 furlong tests at Aqueduct are still to go, LA's big 2 y/o test as well, so at this point NO ONE gets a vote.
As a Voter...Who would you give 2 year old champion honors to right now?..Good Magic or Bolt d Oro?....

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 Meet Matt Shifman 
 
 

Matt Shifman has been on the Horse Racing Nation staff since 2011 and currently serves as Assistant Editor. Matt covers Aqueduct, Belmont Park, Monmouth Park, and Saratoga in his two HRN blogs Racing at the Jersey Shore and New York State of Racing.

 

Matt’s articles and tweets frequently appear in the America’s Best Racing weekly Notebook. In 2012 he became a voter in the NTRA weekly polls for the Top Thoroughbred and Top Three-Year-Old.

 

The best way to get to know Matt is to check out some of his favorite articles from the past couple years.


• Preakness Interview with Trainer Todd Pletcher


• Kentucky Derby 2016 Handicapping Tips from A to Z

   

• Edison: the Travels of a Million Dollar Colt 


• A Kentucky Derby Field with Just 14 Horses


• What is the Best Kentucky Derby Running Style?

 

 

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