Breeders' Cup Mile 2017: Shadwell Mile Preview

Breeders' Cup Mile 2017: Shadwell Mile Preview
Photo: NYRA/Annette Jasko

While there is no Wise Dan, Gio Ponti, or Steinlen in the 2017 rendition of Keeneland’s Shadwell Turf Mile (G-l), a full field of 14 is lining up for the final 'Win and You’re In' birth to the Breeders’ Cup Mile (G-l) next month at Del Mar.

Regardless of who moves on to the Breeders’ Cup, they will be a longshot when they enter the gate against the world’s top milers, but that doesn’t mean this Saturday’s race won’t be one of the best evenly-matched betting races of the year.

1. Tyler U (50/1) enters off of only five career starts, with only one of those being a route. This is a pretty ambitious spot to make a stakes debut.

2. 2. Divisidero (9/2) appears to be a Churchill Downs specialist as evidenced by his back to back wins on Derby day in the Woodford Reserve Turf Classic (G-l). He’s never won over this course or distance, but expect him to be a late threat.


    3. Suedois (15/1) has faced Europe’s best sprinters the last few seasons with moderate success. Last out he was able to last the eight furlongs against group company. He’s a definite contender in this field.         


    4. Le Ken (30/1) is a Argentinean import that never has been out of the exacta in his home country. In his lone U.S. try he was troubled fifth against California’s top milers. Expect improvement and could upset at huge odds.

5. 5. Dimension (20/1) is a nine-year-old gelding that appears to have lost a step. This might be one last hurrah before a life of leisure back at the farm.

6. 6. Ballagh Rocks (10/1) appears to improving with every start. His last 2 at a mile were great, but both over yielding courses. If able to improve off his fourth place finish in the Maker’s 46 over this course in the spring, he could find himself in the winner’s circle.  

7. Mondialiste (4/1) grinded out a fourth place finish last out in the Woodbine Mile (G-1) against America’s best chance in the Mile, World Approval. Though he will garner plenty of support due to the performances he’s turned over this course in the past, it looks as if his best races are behind him.

8.  8. Miss Temple City (3/1) is the only filly to win both of Keeneland’s biggest turf races (Shadwell & Maker’s 46 Mile, both in 2016). While her form has been spotty at best this year, she comes off her best race of 2017 and looks to sit a good trip right off the pace.

    9. Flatlined (20/1) is in improving form, but looks overmatched against these. Hasn’t hit the board in two tries against allowance company over the course, so expect a fourth place finish at best.

    10. Heart to Heart (7/2), the likely favorite, is only lacking a Grade 1 victory to his résumé. While he looks to be the speed of the speed, expect others to be tracking him closely early on.

    11. Christian C (50/1) the Illinois-bred is over his head against these. Trainer Catalano would be better served to look for a softer spot at Hawthorne this weekend.

    12. Offering Plan (15/1) is a late-running outsider for the always dangerous combo of Chad Brown and Javier Castellano. Look for him to running fastest of all in the final stages to hit the board.

1  13. Applicator (30/1) appears over matched against these, though coming off an upset victory at Kentucky Downs over Flatlined.

    14. American Patriot (15/1) is undefeated over the course and took down the Maker’s 46 this spring. He looks to have lost his best form since a summertime trip to England, and the outside post won’t help his cause either.

Suggested Wagers

$10 Win #12

$0.50 Trifecta 2-3-4-6-8-10/2-3-4-6-7-8-10-14/12=$21

$0.50 Trifecta 2-3-4-6-8-10/12/2-3-4-6-7-8-10-14=$21

$0.10 Superfecta 2-3-4-6-8-10/2-3-4-6-7-8-10-14/2-3-4-6-7-8-9-10-14/12=$29.40

Total Wagers = $81.40


Meet Jasen Mangrum

My interest in the Sport of Kings goes back over 25 years with my father taking me with his friends to the old Ak-Sar-Ben Race Course in Omaha, Nebraska. From those early experiences I was able to read the Daily Racing Form before the age of 10. Once The Woodlands opened in Kansas City in 1988, I became totally hooked on the sport studying racing charts after homework and tennis practice.  In recent years, with the explosion of handicapping tournaments, my love for playing the races has risen to a new level. Primarily focused on New York, Chicago and Louisiana racing, I have now been forced to study races far and wide in attempt to find “cap horses” in the tournaments I play.  I have also dabbled in horse ownership within syndicates and on my own.

My fondest memories in racing include Silver Charm’s 1997 Kentucky Derby victory.  Both my father and I selected him, which made for a memorable day.  The best race I’ve seen was Tiznow’s first Breeders Cup Classic win in 2000 when he outdueled Giant’s Causeway down the length of the Churchill Downs stretch. My biggest windfall as a gambler was a pool-scooping Pick 4 win, paying over $6,600 at The Woodlands in 2005.

The point of this blog is to get everyone out there a few winners, but also to go in depth at how I come to the conclusions that I do. I encourage others to post picks they like, too, but please explain how you come to your conclusions. That way everyone can learn a little more about this great game, and add another weapon to their handicapping arsenal. Best of luck.

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