Tuesday's Best Bet: Harlan Estate comes through in Prince of Wales

Tuesday’s 10th race from Fort Erie is the $400,000 Prince of Wales Stakes for three-year-olds, foaled in Canada, traveling a mile and three-sixteenths on the main track (Post Time 5:35 p.m. ET).

#7 HARLAN ESTATE (6-1) raced evenly in midpack in the Queen’s Plate. His overall form is not bad but he failed to crack the top three in his previous four stakes attempts. He had a sharp local workout Sept. 7 and is one of three entrants with a victory at nine furlongs. He is as fast as any of the other top contenders and should offer wagering value.  

#2 Tidal Forces (15-1) won his first two starts but was not prepared for stakes rivals in his last pair. He was not disgraced in his two stakes outings but failed to deliver when the real running began. He adds blinkers and might try to make the early lead. 

#1 Avoman (7-2) captured the Bull Page as a juvenile and the Plate Trial in August. He did not have the smoothest trip from an outer post in the Queen’s Plate, and he probably fits with these if he handles dirt. 

#8 Keep Grinding (3-1) made an outside move before flattening out in the Queen’s Plate last time. He fired a local bullet for this Sept. 7 and Rafael Hernandez got acquainted with him Aug. 22.  He showed tactical speed in his best all-weather route attempts and will probably try to get into a forward position from the outside post in a race with a murky pace scenario. 

#3 Curlin’s Catch (9-2) returns to conventional dirt in her third start after a layoff. She won two races on the main track in Florida over the winter including the Suncoast Stakes Feb. 6. Mark Casse has saddled the winner of this race four times. 

#5 H C Holiday (5-2) hit the board in his last two all-weather stakes routes including a rallying show finish in the Queen’s Plate at 29-1 odds. He does not have any early speed but his late pace ratings are strong and he will try to get involved in the lane. 

#4 Haddassah (12-1) did not have enough experience to make a serious bid in the Queen’s Plate, and he stalked while rank and weakened to 8th place that day. He will probably try to get into a forward position. 

#6 Ready At Dawn (30-1) romped in a local special weight turf sprint Aug. 9, and that was his first start since Daryl Ezra claimed him for $15k. He will probably be forwardly placed if he handles dirt but he needs to run faster to threaten these. 

Wagers: 

#7 to Win

Exacta Box 2-7

Exacta 2-7/1-8

Recent Best Bet Winners

Sept. 7 - Midnight Bella/Princess Javoncia Exacta ($20.40)
Sept. 8 - Snapper Sinclair/Bob and Jackie/Midnight Tea Time Trifecta ($128.00)
Sept. 9 - HENDY WOODS ($6.60)
Sept. 10 - Red Valor/Self Taught Exacta ($12.80)
Sept. 11 - NOT SO QUIET ($5.00), Trifecta ($463.80)
Sept. 13 - YOU LOOK COLD ($5.20), Exacta ($12.80)

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