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Across the Board with Mike B

2014 Kentucky Derby: Takeaways from the Robert B. Lewis


As we take a look back at the Robert B. Lewis, and on to the 2014 Kentucky Derby, I feel there is a lot to be excited about moving forward. I may have been a bit too optimistic leading up to the race, as some of the horses that I was high on did disappoint. But, I think there is a pair that we really need to keep our eyes on. Here are the key takeaways from the Robert B. Lewis in my humble opinion…


Candy BoyI think we have a legit Derby contender here, folks. Every time I watch the replay of this race I like him more and more. He sat a perfect trip stalking a quick pace from the rail and then closed nicely to get up for the win. I am excited about him and I very much look forward to seeing his next race which I hear will be in the Santa Anita Derby.


ChituI thought the runner up ran a very nice race and that he is one to keep our eyes on in the future. He was 3-4 wide into the first turn and then went up to press a quick pace. He put away the pace setter at the top of the stretch and then fended off his stable mate, but was eventually caught late by the winner. All in all I thought it was a fine first try over a route of ground and I look forward to his next start. He definitely has a right to improve.


Midnight HawkI was not too high on him going into this, and I am sure not high on him coming out of this. He got a perfect trip while pressing the pace in the clear and had no kick at all in the lane. I was not impressed and I could not find an excuse for him either. I think I will be passing on him in the future as the distances increase.

Cool SamuraiIn his stakes debut this guy showed nothing. He raced at the back of the pack and had no rally. Maybe my hopes were a bit too high, too soon on him. I do not have a lot of confidence in him moving forward.


Diamond BachelorI had high expectations for this guy, but it just wasn’t meant to be. He set the pace through quick fractions while being pressed from the runner up. He was overtaken at the top of the stretch and that was all she wrote. I did not want to see him on the lead and I knew he was in trouble from the start. It looks like he is heading back to the green stuff.


I was excited going into this race, and I am even more excited thinking about the future. I think Candy Boy is a legit Derby contender and I think Chitu has potential as well. I think we found out a lot about Midnight Hawk, and in my opinion, I don’t think I will be backing him in the future on the Derby Trail. In my opinion, I think California may have a lot to say when it comes time to decide who will wear the roses on that first Saturday in May.




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Older Comments about 2014 Kentucky Derby: Takeaways from the Robert B. Lewis...

Appreciate the kind comments, thank you guys. Hopefully these breakdowns will help us dope out the Derby winner
Like this article, can't wait to see how you break down the Santa Anita
Terrific article and I agree with what was sad. Candy Boy runs like he will be better as the distances gets longer and Chitu was not disgraced in second. Midnight Hawk runs like he will have distance limitations but I still think he has a lot of talent. Cool Samurai could be a late developer and may need some time before he can compete at the top level (if he is good enough) and Diamond Bachelor seems like a turf horse who will benefit even more if he can learn to relax a bit. Awesome article.
One son of First Samurai, Lea, had a great weekend while another, Cool Samurai, disappointed. I’d like to see Mike Smith back on Cool Samurai and at 9 furlongs before I completely discard him. As you know sometimes late runners don’t fare well in middle distance races at Santa Anita. Maybe he’ll get better with more ground.
I never was high on midnight hawks, I don't think he has really beat anyone significant yet and he just seems green still. I've always liked candy boy but that's because I am very high on shared belied

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 Meet Michael Barry   


 It all started 5 years ago for me after a spur of the moment trip to Saratoga Springs with my future wife.  I had always bet on the Triple Crown races, and made a few trips to Suffolk Downs annually, but not until that journey to The Spa did things get serious for me.  I fell in love with horse racing right then and there and I haven’t looked back since.  The following year I read every handicapping book I could get my hands on.  I became, and still am, a very passionate student of the game. 


Through this blog I hope to take you guys through my favorite aspect of the game, which is breaking down races and doping out winners.  I focus my attention between the NYRA circuit (mostly), Gulfstream Park, and Keeneland.  I also plan to provide very thorough coverage leading up to the Kentucky Derby and Breeders Cup.  I love analyzing the prep races leading up to both of those grand events. 


Wagering wise, I love playing pick 4’s and 5’s, and I have enjoyed some success in the past playing those types of exotics.  In any given race, I try to attack based on strength of opinion and value.  That may be in the form of an exacta, trifecta, superfecta, daily double, pick 3, or by laddering my choice across the board.  Every race is its own animal and must be played accordingly.


Personally, I am a graduate of Boston University and reside on the South Shore of Massachusetts with my beautiful wife Tara and wonderful son Finn.  I work as a technician for a communications company by day. 


I can be found on Twitter @mbarry24 and I’m always up to discuss anything horse racing related.

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