QUOTE: Either way, I totally agree. Time is not unimportant in this endeavor,
but when it comes to the FD, for ex, it is so far out-of-whack that the
times are essentially irrelevant to any kind of future event, like the
KD. Pssst Don't tell the connections of Northern Dancer, Alydar, Bid, Needles, Empire Maker, Barbaro, Orb, Big Brown, Nashua, Honest Pleasure, Forward Pass, Swale, Unbridled, Carry Back, Candy Spots, Tim Tam, Thunder Gulch, Monarchos...who all did well that first Saturday in May and IN the FLA Derby!
Two favorites were on the lead almost from the start (in FLA derby) and look how pitiful these later fractions are: these two spell EARLY/PRESSER and that doesn`t cut it in CD land. 39.79 late?
23.89 48.24 1:12.51 1:38.57 1:52 plus
SPLITS were: Final Time:
Split Times:(24:35) (24:27) (26:06) (13:73)
Close fast: the stamina colts or old have all disappeared. If the final fraction is anywhere near 25 for any of this bunch I would be amazed. Best finals were Secretariat at 23 1/5 and Rumbo at 23 2/5 NONE of these are cut from that same cloth......More akin to the 2:02 range
want to wager right here and now that the track and stakes record will NOT be broken? There is NOTHING in this projected field that comes close to Red's shadow let alone his equal.
Never realized just how much this helps. Stewards have a much easier time identifying equipment and wet saddle cloths.
IF this baby has the maturation and ability, then the HORSE will perform no matter what journeyman is up.
This is the accumulated effort of a study and input form literally dozens and dozens of players (as well as feedback from a previous seminar that garnered the greatest number of hits of any one produced the entire season) who ALL agree that the weakest link in the game is NOT spending the time on the wagering side of the coin and continually going back to the handicapping side to split more hairs and self confusing the outcome in paralysis by analysis.The capping side and the wagering side REQUIRE different skills that are akin to NIGHT and DAY......One will never ever get good at this game playing one side of it....That is where these irrelevant contests produce: one sided players with no value consciousness.
You HAVE to evaluate your MARKET and not just the field. The way the market evolves from the time it opens until post time has a lot to do with the attractiveness of a WIDE distribution of opportunities...One needs to find markets broad enough to spread the wagering. One has to be aware of the perentage of the field you cover and MORE IMPORTANTLY, that percentage of the field is left after you wager for that is the source of your payoff........the parimutuel MARKET shuold be addressed like the same fluid dynamic nature of the futures market or the stock market because it is exactly the same and to leave that evaluation OUT of the final determination of the wager creation is really ridiculous.....Many times the crowd action destroys your bet and you will NEVER know unless you withhold your wagering decision until you know what opportunities are out there.....or NOT.
3 goes out then 4 6 2 come later
Copyright © 2010 -
other passionate horse racing fans!