6 7 1 9 at the wire?
Don't worry, Taleb Nassem and his contraian ideas, are hard for the UN-enlightned to comprehend
Everyone here should read this great book and take note at the under title..The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable:
When one understands the practical application of the numbers from certainty (1) to impossible (0), it is inherent to understand that these extremes are only terminal boundaries, NOT practical points of the probability spectrum.....No horse in any race EVER had zero chance to do anything.
Runaway Groom over that year's Derby (Gato del Sol), Preakness (Aloma's Ruler) and Belmont winner (Conquistador Cielo). But was MUCH like the Traver's of 1930 when the TWO big guns (Whichway and Gallant Fox) thought it was some match race as did the riders of Conquistador and Aloma's Ruler. Speed duel set it out for a late mover, twice
Puype was a longtime stable competent trainer in Washington until the in fighting there destroyed thoroughbred racing....never to have had returned to its former status...Too bad, as Longacres was UNIQUE is all of races. No more "Do Dah," .....and it is ashamed.
Turf CORE contenders are : 2 Kyankes 9 Housemaker (GB) 5 Showcase Winner 1 Scuti de Patuti Best late movers here harken back to some classier days historically as 3 5 2 4 come out on top that way. both the 3 and 1 are rounding into form the best here. so mix the core here with back class under for a tri.
Wide open contest that MAY have a "hanger" in the 12, bu is a hard one. Odds should prevail as there are may contenders with legitimate credentials. 10 Next Book 12 Player's Charm 9 Frosted Boss 7 Jack No 1 Papa Frank
QUOTE: "If your (shouldn't this be the more adult : you're) betting the race, your best play is the superfecta, as the pools will be huge!" In reality when 98.997% of the betting public hooks up the big favorite with the rest of the field, IT STILL WILL PAY NEXT TO NOTHING no matter the SIZE of said pool. Only way to make money here is if the favorite runs third, OR oddly, OUT altogether. Unless he breaks down or is pulled up, that is not likely to happen.
Good old Phoney after the fact Saratoga Jack also picked the correct winner of the 1930 World Series as well. good old Connie Mack was his close friend and he went to the games with an unknown NY politician named Roosevelt.
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other passionate horse racing fans!