Bad reasoning because Arrogate has nothing to do with any previous Travers winner or any horse that has ever run in that race. Not saying you're wrong about the horse, I just don't like when people use a historical example that has nothing to do with the current situation. Good luck if you bet - personally I'll be putting my money on other BC races as I think Chrome is a lock in the Classic - no value.
I like Doug as well - I'm sure he's a nice guy. I just wish he'd stop this fantasy about having a staff and calculating his own speed figures which are more accurate than Beyer's. Other than that, I think he's very entertaining. And, as far as owning up to your selections ... I had a $480 pick 4 ticket yesterday. I did not hit a single race - in fact, I don't think any of my horses even came in 2nd. Not a good day for me.
DR needs to fire his entire staff.
Agreed on the week crop for AP. Aside from Exaggerator, I don't think Nyquist beat much either - there were a lot of easy horses to toss in today's race. AP and Nyquist both beat who they had to in order to win - props to both of them. Have a great rest of the weekend.
Pointless to compare Derby times - tracks can run very different from day to day, let alone a year apart.
Not judging you at all. Just giving you some very solid, friendly advice. Have a great day DR! You are the best.
DR, you seem like a great guy and I respect the fact that you make your picks known, stick with them and don't back down. Just one piece of advice for you ... everyone knows that your "staff" consists of two cats and a hamster. We also know that you do not calculate speed figures that are better than Beyer's. All I ask is that you stop with all the grandiose B.S. You're a good dude DR. You don't need to impress anyone ... people will respect you more if you just be yourself. Have a great day and I wish you the best of luck on the Derby!
The Ark Derby proved nothing regarding his ability to get a mile and a quarter. It only proved that no horse can go that far with early fractions being run that fast. Anyone who's ever followed horse racing already new that. The race CLEARLY proved nothing about distance limitations or lack there of.
Here's where you're in trouble ... I 100% agree with everything you just said. And I'm usually dead wrong :-)
Agreed on the closer angle. I always have one exotic ticket with strictly long shot closers hoping for another Giacamo (50-1)/Closing Arguement (70-1) type monster payday just in case it's a wicked speed dual up front.
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