tonyzag - thanks. my error. Haynesfield; of course, at the window, all that matters is that I say #6 :)
mshutty...I share elements of your analysis but I tend to agree with Beyer (I know, my first error) that this is an average group of horses and anyone can win. I like 'em better rested. After the gates open, SS will alertly go to the front because it's tactically the best move for him. I like your assessment that there will not be many gaps in the field and positioning will be key because it will seem like there are 20 horses running as they come into the final turn. This is where Dublin and Schoolyard Dreams will make moves and it will box-in some who can't recover.Super Saver will valiantly try to hold off challengers in the mid-stretch but Looking at Lucky and Caracortado will battle past him and Paddy O'Prado will get by in the final strides.#7 Looking at Lucky (neck)#9 Caracortado#10 Paddy O'Prado#8 Super SaverI won't be betting a deep trifecta because over the last 10 years in the Preakness the average trifecta payout is only $307 while the superfecta is $3427. I think I'll play a heavy exact box with #7, #9 and #10.Good luck to all!
the card does look good! i was just working on the TrackMaster PP for Friday and there seems to be quite a bit of value in the just the first 5 races on that card that I could get to.
I agree with you. I was looking at him taking over on the backstretch from a slow pace and trying to take it all the way in from there. I was going to use him in my exacta box with Super Saver and Paddy O'Prado.
With the lack of pace expected on Saturday many horses will be wanting to be where Looking at Lucky likes to be - 1 to 3 lengths off the pace - and early position will again be a necessity. If Super Saver gets a decent post (4,5,6,7,8) the first one or two runners on his outside who break well are in a nice spot right from the start. I think Super Saver will be forced to take the lead unless Jackson Bend thinks he can go gate to wire but over a mile he's not that realiable. If SS is in front I think he'll relinquish the lead on the backstretch to Hurricane Ike and if that happens - - watch out because Albarado may never look back and Ike might run away with it. It might be worth $10 just to see if it happens.
I do not see much of a pace in this race - in fact, because of that I don't see this as a good race setup for Super Saver. Saver may be the one who has to set the pace - otherwise he would be "pressing" a rather slow pace.I see a race with a lack of pace to benefit horses like Hurricane Ike, Paddy O'Prado and Caracortado.
I can pretty much confirm they were wackos from the start..
you're killing me pozzulirulz, #2 comes in at high odds?
pozzulirulz - i put my money down on this DD so you'd better come through for me!
With heavy favorite upsets (D'Funnybone) in the air, I am bullish on Amen Hallelujah in this race, but she doesn't seem to be getting much ink. I followed Jody Slew for a bit but recalling her not coming through for me in at CD in the fall on turf. Also, #1 Its Tea Time is intriguing in this race: a closer, never on dirt but very lightly raced.
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