Clearly Untapable is very likely to win the 3yo Filly but if Stopchargingmaria wins the G1 Bedlame and the Breeders Cup Distaff over Untapable and Close Hatches, she'd have to be the 3YO Filly Champ. Unlikely, but it's not over yet.
I'm not sure she has 3YO Filly wrapped up. Stopchargingmaria still has a good shot and even Sweet Reason with a win in the BCD. I do agree that she has a shot at the HOY as you laid it out.
This is a good point on the speed favoring track. The track is getting so much credit for Bayern's win but for some reason Untapable seems to be getting modest reviews at best despite chasing down the speed.
Love to see Kingman in BC Mile v. Wise Dan
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Saw this guys's debut at Saratoga. He came from about a furlong back and went by the whole field like they were standing still!
I think Mucho MM had slowed slightly as Cross Traffic drifted in front of him down the stretch. He did not have much left but was gaining and that kind of killed it.
Keep an eye on this guy...
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