Perhaps that is what he's assuming. Easy to do since no one will ever know the answer. But what if Lezcano had stuck with him through a fast 1st & 2nd half? That can be assumed as well, and since he was out to put pressure on Pharoah, a more likely scenario. Inside post wasn't the problem. He got to the lead. Being uncontested like he's used to was the difference.
But rest should not have been a problem unless he absolutely had to have the lead. It should not have been dependent on Frosted or any other horse. He still could have taken his breather and let Frosted go by him for the 2nd half then turn it back on again. That's simply not being allowed to utilize tactical speed.
lol, No argument, you're right.
I always get the Classic and Preakness mixed up.
He lost by a neck. But with relevance to my comment,
the point still applies.
A plan that only works if all the other riders agree to it isn't much of a plan. Didn't have to be Frosted, could just as unlikely have been anyone else. My question would still be, if you already know your horse is (supposedly) not 100%, why spend too much early unless you absolutely must have the lead? No telling if Frosted would have gone to the front of stayed behind him.But he obviously thought he could do what he did and still have enough horse. The result of too many prior walks in the park, I would think.
Nope, no one. Not even Victor. But hindsight never won a race. His reaction to the unpredictable, or to be more precise, the unexpected insolence, is where he screwed up. As Lumpy said, the shock might have done some good. Who knows, Lezcano on a mission might have stuck to him either way, then what?
I didn't to get that. Sounded more like :23's all around rather than a slower 2nd half. Still, you're talking about a half of a sec difference at the most. Don't think his head ticker is that precise, or that it would have made any difference.
Yes, the pre-Lasix era. When horses were raced more than trained. Depending on how headstrong Honor Code is, we'll see if his tactic works. But I think it's a tall order. I saw Castellano scrubbing on this horse going into the far turn and he wasn't going nowhere until he was good and ready. Hope he decides to bring it in the Classic. Being a huge Easy Goer fan, I'd really like to see Shug win this one.
Yes, I can see where it may seem that way. Only because it just so happens that the last 3 winners did prep in 1 1/8 mi races. But I was clear that in my opinion, any one particular distance is not necessarily ideal for ALL horses. That was my point. As I said, Honor Code is not in my barn. I'm not around him daily to know all his quirks, what he needs, and what he doesn't need. That is why I invited any in possession of such facts to step forward before claiming to know better than McGaughey. Such armchair trainers are like doctors who prescribe the same treatment for all their patients regardless of the problem. I'll trust that Shug knows his horse better than they do and will do what he thinks is best based on that knowledge. But that's not guaranteeing a win. He has question marks like every other horse in the race.
Agreed, Buck. They are not all the same. Twenty six years ago he prepped Easy Goer in the 1 1/2 mi JCGC to run back at 1 1/4 in the Classic and lost by a nose. All depends on the horse.
I believe I agreed. My point was that he is not as great as Ghostzapper was, and neither is this field as good as the one Ghostzapper beat. So yes, it's possible.
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