Jocko, I didn't "figure out" anything. Please re-read the first sentence referring to Uncle Mo the last four words are "in terms of winners."
Sire lists can be read in many ways and the data manipulated (usually by stud farms) to show the best light. Uncle Mo leads by number of winners and his percentage of winners is higher than that of Twirling Candy.
If you go to the track, what is more important when you bet a race - the sire's percentage of winners or the leading sire by combined earnings?
Combined earnings stats are so misleading. All it takes is 1 or 2 good horses to mess up the stats. A sire may get only 15% winners, but if he has a couple of multiple G1 winners, he can become leading sire by earnings.
Another way to read the list is by number of repeat winners or by number of stakes horses. I chose to lead the story with number or winners rather than earnings, because that stat is more prevalent to the handicapper.
My picks on Coast to Coast are all handicapping stakes races for established runners. My element is 2 & 3 YO maidens & 2YO stakes. Last weekend, I picked the super for the Landaluce ($455.50) my winner paid $13. Also had the winner of the SA Juvie ($11.80). Race writeup is here: http://tracksideview.net/2015/06/21/sunday-spotlight-races-landaluce-stakes-santa-anita-juvenile-stakes/
There are a lot of elements that are used for picking maiden winners. It isn't easy. Just like 'capping older horses, not every winner will fit your parameters - that's why longshots win. If it was easy, everyone could use the same formula and pick the winners every time.
I think Pharoah could be a tremendous turf sire like his daddy. Coolmore has plenty of turf mares.
Thanks for catching that. Just had the info in the wrong place.
and Loaded set a new track record at Keeneland for 4 1/2F in :51.64
Thanks Icyhotboo! If you want me to send you the spreadsheet, I'd be happy to. Just email me.
Deborah Webb, Storm Cat has nothing to do with the X-Factor in American Pharoah's pedigree. Similar to the baldness gene in humans, the large heart gene is passed from father to daughter and daughter to son.
In order to track AP's gene, we have to go back to the 7th generation. Yankee Gentleman received the gene from his dam, Key Phrase. She received it from her sire, Flying Paster, a HOY and leading sire in CA. He in turn got the gene from his dam Procene, who was '79 broodmare of the year. She inherited the gene from her sire Acroterion. His dam Stage Fright received the large heart gene from her sire, Native Dancer.
Note that the gene does not have to be active in a horse to be passed from generation to generation. La Troienne, one of the greatest broodmares in history, carried a double copy of the gene, yet it was recessive in her. Note her race record of 0-7. Yet, the large heart gene was dominant in many of her descendants. So much so that a new family line (1-X) was created.
Chicken Dinner, "Racehorse Breeding Throries" by Frank Mitchell has a chapter on birth order and cites the Finocchio study. Plus I did my own research.
Thanks for the great compliment David!
Yes, I think it's a good idea to review the previous juvenile profiles. I'll revisit the two year old profiles over the next month. Thanks for all of the comments.
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