Thanks for your comment MTallos1. There's always one in the crowd. As David M said, I wasn’t trashing Almost Famous. I said nothing disparaging about the horse himself, just one of his races. There is a difference. I watched Almost Famous' races on video. He doesn't like company on the front end and doesn't have any fight in him once he's eyeballed. In the two races that he won, notice that he was left alone on the front end and won by 2+ lengths. In the Street Sense and Holy Bull, he did have company, and backed up in the stretch. His late pace speed figures show the same thing - other than his maiden sprint race, AF's late pace figures are as follows: Street Sense: 90/90/80 (beaten by 10 after dueling to the second turn and fading down the stretch); OC75K: 90/90/76; HB: 95/104/76 - speed and slow fade. Let’s break down his races visually: Street Sense: Coastline, winner of the race, sat right off of AF’s flank through a half of :47 flat. Almost Famous was on the rail and saved ground. Going around the far turn, AF was eyeballed briefly then passed by Coastline and the second place horse. Game over. OC75K: Almost Famous outclassed the optional claimers by 6 lengths. He had minor pressure to his outside flank, under tight restraint and held very close to the rail – he didn’t look happy to have the other horse on his flank and relaxed slightly when inching clear of that one before taking off in the stretch; Nobody in that race mounted a serious challenge. I also noted that Almost Famous shortened stride through the stretch and the ones behind him were going nowhere fast. Holy Bull: Almost Famous sat on the outside flank of Coup de Grace through the first quarter then inched closer to run with that one. Cairo Prince was right behind them. After Coup de Grace abruptly stopped, AF found himself with a very brief lead until Cairo Prince swept by. Almost Famous noticeably shortened stride in the stretch. I think 1 1/16 miles is at the top of Almost Famous’ scope and he can’t sustain his drive in top company. He’s failed twice in stakes company. Note that in his 6F maiden race AF posted speed figures of 90//91/95, the best of his career and the only race in which he didn’t post a late pace figure that was 10+ points below his mid pace figures. Almost Famous has speed, so perhaps sprinting is his game. Almost Famous' dam Wild Gams was a very game sprinter, a multiple G-3 winner and G-1 placed. MTallos1. I see by some of your comments that you’re a witty person. I’m always looking for new talent to help out in the humor department if you’d like to apply.
Love your comments Ashley. As usual we think quite a bit alike. Honestly, folks, we don't confer with each other before writing our comments or making our picks! We're just good handicappers!
Thanks for the comment. The begining of my article was basically, in hindsight and a current view of the 2YO picture. Cushion Track plays like a dirt surface. The majority of horses that run over dirt will take to Cushion and there's not much difference in final race times. Polytrack is a whole 'nother animal and I wouldn't compare a race on poly to turf to one on cushion or dirt. The Cushion Track final times of the CashCall are comparable to the final times of the race when it was held over dirt. The final times of AP Indy and Point Given's CC Futurity final times were nothing special; they didn't set records. I simply used their final times as a comparison. Stormello recorded a 1:42.19, and won by a neck, his time was also faster than both Belmont winners. Afternoon Deelights holds the record at 1:40.74 (1994 over dirt). In comparison, Into Mischief ran a 1:40.82 in 2007 over cushion. A horse’s form as a 3YO can drastically change from his 2YO form. Currently, I think Shared Belief is at the top of the heap in terms of talent. By March it could be Shared who?
Mary, it was terrific meeting you and reading the posts of your Breeders' Cup experience. When did you find time to do interviews??? LOL. Looking forward to next year.
Enjoyed seeing a compilation of your photos. It was a real pleasure meeting you and look forward to doing it again next year!
Well edited video, really enjoyed seeing the BC from your perspective.
Nice looking colt. I'll add him to the first 2014 Derby watch list
this is some amazingly detailed research. All new (and maybe some of us seasoned) 'cappers should try keeping track of their bets for at least a few months to see where their strengths/weaknesses lie. I'm sure you'll turn more of a profit now that you know what your strengths are. Great job!
Go Between suffered a fatal heart attack a couple of years ago after working out at Payson Park. He was a barn favorite and one of my closest friends. I was devestated when he died. Dr. Jim did everything he could, but it was too late. RIP beautiful guy.
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