Welcome to the HRN family, Fred! I smiled when you mentioned Shannon Ritter, I knew her when she worked for Elliott Walden, just before she went out on her own as a trainer. Your expertise as a trainer is a welcome addition to HRN!
Thanks for all of the great comments! Here's the 1994 Juvie fillies race. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MsdG_B1EliA
Your welcome Ann Maree. The stakes can put the 2YO championships into perspective and maybe give us one or two to watch for next year.
Lucky Player is on the list, but not the other two, as they are maiden winners. I'll have another year-end article reviewing SW and SP runners, so if Holy Boss and Handy Candy win again, they could be on the list! I would post maidens, but there are so many of them and only one of me!
If you note in the beginning of the article, this is Part 1 of a 3 part series. Part 1 focuses on stakes horses at Saratoga. Lucky Player didn't compete at Saratoga. He will be mentioned in Part 3 on Friday. Part 2 will be available on Wednesday.
Thanks for the comment, Josh. Doesn't everyone know that when someone publicly states that a horse has no shot - that horse is the automatic winner?
In my private handicapping, I like to use the morning work reports to make my decisions, however, we have a time schedule to get the articles posted. Not making an excuse, just stating that morning works may look good on paper, but in if the horse is laboring to get that bullet time, maybe it wasn't so great after all. In retrospect, American Pharaoh and Calculator had the best work reports going into the field. But once the post is made, we can't change it. In private handicapping, how many times do we get to change our minds?
TY Marylandgq. We try...
American Pharoah is a nice horse and has great works. I agree Tmallios, He absolutely has speed on the rail. Problem with PON's on the poly at DM is - they don't like it. I've been keeping the Polysire spreadsheet for DM since they switched surfaces. Of the 8 PON's that have tried poly, zero have won. However, 4 have been ITM.
Additionally, I reviewed the DM Futurity back to
1991. Only 1 winner of the Futurity was a maiden, that was River
Special in 1992, who was 2nd in both his debut and 2nd start. He
was a gaining 2nd in his 2nd start. 90% of the futurity winners
were first or 2nd in their last start. The ones who weren't ITM in
the race before the Futurity, had previously won their maidens.
Maybe he can hit the board, but I don't see American Pharaoh winning it.
Thanks David! There are still plenty of 2YO that haven't raced yet. Some of these sire's offspring are doing remarkably well over surfaces that the average bettor wouldn't suspect.
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