I'm remember thinking before the race that only two horses had won the Preakness since 1960 from the #1 post. If one is superstitious (and I'm not), one could think that Orb would be in trouble. Despite the post, I felt that if Rosario could get him outside by the second turn that he was going to win. He didn't, he looked bothered on the inside, and tired on top of it. Even if he had been able to get on the outside, I still think that he would not have run down Oxbow. The pace was too slow and Orb's big run in the Derby led to a bounce. And the post didn't help. Itsmylucky day ran better than I had anticipated.
My only concern with Soft Falling Rain is that he is taking on older horses. He is in a very ambitious spot. 16 horse field?!? Wow. It would not suprise me if Rerouted and Mufarrh hit the board at nice prices. I think there could be chaos here.
It will be a day of P3s and dime supers for me. The Gololphin Mile is the toughest one for me: Soft Falling Rain, Surfer, Moonwalk in Paris, Capital Attraction (will probably play dime super w/spead below). Master of Hounds back on AW is also a worry. I'm using him, but not on top. UAE Derby: Shuruq, Secret Number, Snowboarder. Golden Shaeen: Mental. Dubai Duty Free: City Style, Sajjhaa. Dubai Sheema: Gentildonna (will likely single on P3's). I'll be interested to see how Await the Dawn and Prince Bishop do in this one. World Cup: Animal Kingdom (hoping for a good trip for a change), Hunter's Light, and Kassiano. I also cannot toss African Story in the exotics. He might prove to be fine at the distance. He is a nice horse.
I love the videos. I just hope that he gets John V. and a good trip on March 30th. It is going to be a tough group, and he will need a perfect trip. He is plenty good enough to do it, though. I hope for 10-1, although that might be optimistic.
It looks like Dullahan is pre-entered in the Burj Nahaar (G3) and Al Maktoum Challenge R3 (G1) next Saturday. I'm guessing he will run in the latter. I think it is a wise move to get him there early. Even if he does not win, I think he is a major play-back on the tapeta in the World Cup.
I'm glad to see that the story of Tweebster is getting some press today on major sites. I regret my post from yesterday; to assume things about Baffert's knowledge of the horse was stupid and regretful. But the class drop was odd, and the outcome tragic. Fans of the horse, including myself, are sad. We will know the full story of the horse when the vet records are released. I get the feeling that racing should have done more for this horse.
It was a very suspicious drop in class. Baffert ran him knowing that he was not 100%. Shame on him. I hope that someone buys him, retires him, and gives him a long, quality life. He has done enough in the sporting and entertainment industry.
Just be thankful that he will be racing a few more times. We have all wanted to see the feats of which he could be capable when healthy and without interruptions in his training. 2013 will be that year. His success as a sire will be determined later, but I am thankful that we will see him on the biggest stages, where he belongs. What a great athlete.
Terrible news. His victory against Trappe Shot was no fluke. I hoped to see him in the Breeders' Cup.
According to Equibase, Tackleberry has not been working out in the last 60 days, and has not raced since late May (Met Mile). Does anyone know if he is being pointed toward a BC race?
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