Great picture Brian and thanks for sharing your personal geographic journey! I'm truly envious but who knows, if HRN ever needs another body in L'ville, GQ may come calling?! Then again, could "Maryland's Own GQ" serve his purpose 9 hours from Pimlico or Laurel Park?
Reason #1: Keying in 3rd spot is no different than Keying in top or 2nd spot. For example: If you think a horse has "Seconditis" WHY NOT key him/her 2nd? Sometimes picking a horse to run 2nd or 3rd is easier than to win.
Reason #2: No value in keying AP on top, plus if he (God forbid) pulls a Big Brown, imagine the Payoffs 'IF" Keen Ice is 3rd?!
Reason #3: Don't think Keen Ice can win, BUT has a good chance to be ITM. Most likely, good enough to make all the Chalkplayers say, "I had 2 out of 3 in the TRI..." or "If Keen Ice doesn't hit the board, I have the Super.".
Reason #4: You must not be familiar with my prowess as far as NOT picking the WINNER but getting prices in the Tri & Super?! (sarcasm)
Enjoy the Belmont!
1/8th mile comment has been corrected been.
Frosted is AP's primary competition, but he'll need help from a "villain to be mentioned DURING THE RACE". That is, whoever has the b___ to run with AP early. Don't expect Frosted to be 6-8 lengths off the lead going into the backstretch. Rosario will have him "more forwardly placed" as to not let AP steal the race.
Thanks Ricky! The check is in the mail and Aunt Emma says, "Hi".
With a gun to my head I would take Frosted (who was my KY Derby pick). He has the pedigree to "suggest" he has a better chance (than AP) to get 1 1/2 miles.
Others I would give the nod to are Keen Ice & Mubtaahij.
The problem is pace... IF no one will to engage with AP on the lead early in this contest, AP MIGHT be able to hold off any competitors.
If anyone who have ever picked up a Daily Racing Form to read the past performances of a given race (aka handicapper) should see that American Pharoah is likely LONE SPEED.
Further, if anyone does not understand the importance of realizing what advantage LONE SPEED as in a given race, then find & watch the video replay of the 2008 Belmont Stakes (re: Da' Tara)
Michael; I resemble that remark.
Carlymay; Don't be ridiculous... Of course I don't... Well maybe just the Super Bowls won by the Patriots. ;)
I can buy that. For the record, I'm not an AP hater. If he wins, he will be a deserving TC winner... and who's to say any of the 11 previous TC winners didn't have their fair share of racing luck?!
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other passionate horse racing fans!