OMG, I'm not ready for this yet! Between all the brouhaha over CC & AP the past 2 years, I need a rest.
He can win the Classic by 10 and he still wouldn't even be close to having the best three year old season since 1948! Since it is all but over except for one race, his 3 year old accomplishments are already lesser than those of Native Dancer, Buckpasser & Secretariat and I'm sure I'm forgetting others since you are covering 67 years! He's never faced an older horse, he's never broken a stakes record, never mind a track or world record, he's never tried any other surface & we are still sort of clueless as to the caliber of what he has been facing. He's a very good horse, but his accomplishments do not match at least the ones I've mentioned & probably more. Regarding current racing, you somehow seem to have overlooked the well documented decades long weakening of thoroughbreds due to drugs and breeding for speed. Horses today have little in the way of stamina as all the shortening of major races indicates. There wasn't a TC winner for 37 years not because the races got harder. The horses got weaker.
Give it up. They will be arguing about all the way to the Eclipse Awards. I wish it had been a cleanly run race, but when he gets his way, he is very good. However, if every horse had the opportunity to run to the best of their abilities, and I am talking more about Moreno than Shared Belief, the outcome would probably have been much different. But as you say, it's a tough game.
Well, I hope you are right, but I don't think you are.
No there won't.
Been a fan of Close Hatches for a while & Untapable has done very well this year, but for a variety of reasons, I think both look vulnerable here. In championship races, I tend to sort of like to see the cream of the crop strut their stuff, but I am sorta leaning towards Don't Tell Sophia or Iotapa here.
No, I stated he pulled him up & I watched it three times trying to figure out a reason for him doing so. I haven't a clue, so my guess is as good as yours. Has anyone heard what Ortiz had to say about this race? I haven't, but he was such a minor player in a very eventful race, there probably hasn't been much in print about his performance. All the DRF says is that he is severely overmatched in their comments on the Classic entries. Not a word about him having a issue in the JCGC. I do agree with another here though. Why wasn't he entered in the Dirt Mile instead, though I am rather hesitant to say he would win that either.
The draw is critical for Chrome. He needs to be on the outside!
I did what you suggested. I really hadn't paid much attention to him due to the terrible Moreno/Wicked Strong incident. It is an odd ride, but I sincerely doubt Ortiz pulled him up without a reason. What would be the point? He rides races to win. At no point does Ortiz ever seem to really ask this horse. My guess he either knew he was outta gas & didn't want to punish him or he was given instructions not to use him if he couldn't do it on his own. It's a little hard to tell, but I don't think he ever once used the stick on him. There is no mention of any kind of objection in this race regarding Big Casanova. How could an owner claim foul against their own horse's rider? It'll be interesting to see who is named to ride him if he gets in.
With that scenario, he is a bit scary, but he is still a question mark at the distance. As the article stated, he was being thought of for shorter races and Baffert knows he is taking a chance here, but I would too if I owned him.
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