My money will be on Mobile Bay and Chocopologie
I do like Secret Passage and longshot Pass the Buck. Texas Chrome is the deserving favorite and will include him in the exotics but it is a 2 week turnaround off a hard run win in last. Secret Passage ran like he needed his last off a layoff against TX Chrome in the Prelude and should be fitter in 2nd comeback race. Pass the Buck has been consistent although at lesser competition but he seems to be getting better each start and like that he's switching back to dirt which I feel is his preferred surface.
American Patriot is the class of the field and should be a short price (can't leave out in here). Also like to add longshot Stevie Q (a different horse since switching to turf and adding blinkers). Isotherm is another stakes proven runner and should be right there.
Like Farhaan in here. Decent 4th in last against solid horses (1st time off claim) and seems to be a different horse since switching to turf. Also like Blacktype, game horse and seems to peaking at the right time. Third choice is March (another horse that seems to like the turf). Like his first comeback off layoff and should be fit for this one.
Congratulations Brian. What a great opportunity to experience the thrill of horse racing first hand. I've always wanted to own thoroughbreds and had a relative who was in ownership and lived vicariously through his eyes. I'm hoping in the next couple of years I'll be able to find a syndicate or partnership to have an opportunity to fulfill one of my dreams. Good luck to you Brian and I will definitely keep an eye on your horses!
I wouldn't bet against Songbird and she is special but I'm going to add Land Over Sea to the mix. Her last two weren't good but one was a first time on turf (and against Catch a Glimpse) and it didn't look like she handled the PIM track well and she was not really pushed in the stretch. A little refreshening could only help and she could pick up the pieces down the lane. There should be decent pace in the race for her.
What a solid renewal of the PA Derby with two TC race winners! It looks like a decent betting race with the Exaggerator at 7/2 ML odds and Nyquist at 5/2. Although, I think Nyquist will drop down at post time. I like Nyquist's tactical speed and think he'll rebound well in this spot (especially if it's a dry track). On paper it looks like he'll be in the "garden" spot and make a run. He's proven he's game in the stretch and hold off late runners like Exaggerator. As long as he's sound/healthy, I think he looks good here. I can't eliminate Exaggerator albeit he's somewhat become a slop specialist and shown little on dry surface but he's shown he can run (a la KY Derby) and his class should put him right there. My longshot here is Summer Revolution. I know he's definitely not seasoned and his only stakes try was a 4th place against a potential sprint monster Drefong but I think being out of Summer Bird (Belmont, Travers, JCGC winner) and Boston Harbor mare, the added distance should be fine with him. Hoping that Smith doesn't run him out of the block and possibly try a similar trip like Nyquist and make a run on the turn for home. I know it's a long shot and not ideal to try two turns (at a stakes level) and against TC winners but he might be around for the exotics. I think he'll drift up to 15-1 or higher and worth a long look for me.
Dr. Fager is beyond my time but I do remember Precisionist and his rivalry with Greinton thru the Strub Series.
What a great race by two West Coast Monsters! Excited to see how these two progress (and hopefully create a rivalry) down the stretch to BC Classic at end of year. Let's hope they both stay healthy.
I can't ignore Cupid in this one since he has speed. Not sure to make of his last besides he might've needed the start after a short layoff. This is his ideal distance so if he is 3-1 or higher, I'd add him to my top pick The Player. I'm sure he will be bet down but he does seem to be the up and comer. Cherry Wine can't be ignored as he has run against the top 3 yr olds and ran well in the Preakness (albeit on sloppy track) but he should be rolling late here.
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