You're correct about the money. Was also doing the o/u quarters of the games. I don't really enjoy FB and got bored so I wrote that piece in the interludes. Program I wrote in the late 1980s on a floppy is still accurate today in the play offs, but needs watching. Still have to wait for each quarter for accuracy. Thanks for letting me know I was so wrong. My goodness, I might have actually gone to bed happy/happier if you hadn't noticed that. Goodnight
"The owners will share equally in the net income from betting, media rights and sponsorships."
When they bought a share, provided this race is promoted correctly, each share is now worth $2.5 million no matter the finish just due to the betting share. Not to mention, plus media and sponsorships. Even if scratched as long as the slot is retained.
His workout schedule up to the BCC was every 6 days, 7 once, then raced 4 days after the last work for a total of 5 works prior to the BCC. Arrogate last worked Dec. 27, if he works this Sunday Jan 8, 2017 it will be a full 12 days. Most very good horses have to run on schedule or its no different than an athelete such as a boxer missing a nights sleep the week of a big fight. Secretariat, Affirmed, etc Belmont Stakes work schedule was to run often and hard. It would seem this horse needs no less. It'll take something freaky to beat this guy and this could be it. In that case I would imagine him scratched.
BTW: Victor Espinoza ran American Pharoah (2015) in almost the same splits as he did Chrome (2016), different tracks yes, but both tracks that carry speed about the same and loose on the lead in both. One win one second and no complaints in 2015 (brilliant ride). In 2014 he gave Chrome an almost identical ride with at SA in the BCC using position to gauge splits. Chrome just got beat. It happens. It's all right to love particular horses, but betting with your heart is best done when one wants a souvenier ticket, win or lose. I have nothing against CC or any other horse. Owners, trainers, jockeys yes, but I love all the horses.
V.E. rode great. He got his horse loose on the lead. M. Smith on the other hand seemed to do everything possible to lose. Watching the fractions as the race unfolded I didn't think CC could be caught as M.S was 4/5 of a second off the pace at the second call. Running down a horse the caliber of CC who was loose on the lead is totally amazing. Watching the muscle movement of Arrogate while he accelerated was chilling.
Frosted, IMO is every bit as good as Quality Road and they kept him running. There's a lot more races under 10f than at that distance. He just got through running three excellent races coming into the BCC. Good day to you Buckpasser.
It didn't hurt him anymore than it hurt Quality Road who the last time I looked gets 30k the same as Blame. It might have changed, but the desire for a great miler hasn't and Frosted is certainly that.
No, I wasn't guessing. I just made it up on the spur of the moment like most everyone else does when they don't know. I've seen worse:)
I love it when someone spends 8 hours refuting my comment. Then again it's not like you had anything else to do. LUVYAH
This is the Youtube video workout of Arrogate 10/31/2016. At the one minute mark I thought I was looking at the rear end of Hoist The Flag. He was a beast and in my mind every bit the looker and mover Secretariat was. His almost imperceptible acceleration at the 1/16 pole in the Travers was breathtaking. This is a very fast powerful horse with no wasted motion. Considering his sire staying sound will be his biggest problem not other horses. He'll still be above the 5/2 ML because Frosted, a magnificent 9f will take a lot of money. IMO the best way to wager is just bet the horse because as noted in this thread by another the two favorites don't usually finish together. Coming out of the #10 post I don't believe they'll try to rate him but rather run with CC and Mel. Below is the video of Arrogate. GL
Obviously my idiom wasn't seen as such. GL, you'll need it by the truckload if your actions follow your words.
Whether you agree with me or not good luck. I'm not infallible as my three losing tickets on secretariat in three separate races attest to.
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