He is quick and could set a pace that would be tough for horse that are difficult to rate. You make a good point! While no horse in this race has every gone 10, as is always the case, prior to Kentucky Derby, Danzig Candy can spoil it for another pace setter, but I would not think he can win it with that Santa Anita pace.
If he is that close, he could have a chance. However, 8 wide with this field might be too tough.
Anything is possible. I just cannot put my money on a closer in a big field of 20. With the advent of the point system to get into the Derby. The days of rabbits setting the pace for a closer is not the case anymore. Unless he gets a perfect trip with a pace of 1:10 for 6 furlongs. I cannot see him getting it down. I'll stick with stalkers and perhaps a front runner if pace is slow.
That was an impressive race by Nyquist, got out fast, settled in and kicked home out in the middle away from the slop inside. Mohaymen got caught wide early, made a bid but just did not have enough kick today to sustain the distance. They are both excellent horses. I hope Mohaymen just bounced and will be back for the Derby in good form.
Nice race. It does look the face pace did in the pacesetters. Not easy swing out for a stretch run. Not sure if Shagaf is in the Mohayman/Nyquist category yet, but his pedigree suggest he could very well be.
As a resident of South Florida, We are very aware that an El Niño winter is wetter and warmer than normal. Certainly not a daily wash out, but an off-track on race day is not out of the realm of possibility.
I have heard through a racing enthusiast and former jockey acquaintance of mine that AP worked over 7f prior to shipping, which he said was unusual because prior to a race horses are typically backed off to work at 5f, which he said is known as "five"ulous. Are that any experts out there that can confirm or deny whether this is accurate and if so why would AP have been asked to work more.
I'm wondering as well???
Armada, likin sparks. You both have very good points, I guess the history of rested closers in the Belmont jade my judgment. IHA kicks well, i suppose it is a matter of how far back Dullahan is a 1/4 mile pole.
I think they are both outstanding horse. I just think Bodemeister will do better at shorter than classic distances
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