I understand it too, but I can still lament. Still, I am imagining a BCC which includes Palace Malice, WTC, GOD, Shared Belief, California Chrome, Tonalist, Wicked Strong, Bayern, Moonshine Mullin, and Lea. And someone like Cross Traffic or one of the fillies might even make a late run at it. I have no idea who I would pick in that race right now, and come race time I could conceivably see myself picking any one of them.
Those weights will have zero effect on the outcome this time around. Not high enough to slow down the better ones and not low enough to speed up the lesser ones.
I think the weather might be an advantage to Palace Malice with the possibility of rain. He ran well in the Derby last year, only a little too well due to the blinkers.
Even if he has slightly less than 24 second fractions I'd still think he'd cruise against his likely competition. I'd only worry if he has to put up 23 second or less opening fractions. If he can get a 7 length lead at 9f like he did at the Haskell, he can afford to lose ground in the final furlong. And I'm not convinced he will slow down, I think he was just overworked in April and May.
I still think PM needs this win to raise him to the superstar level. As Pletcher said, he hasn't made the mistakes this year he made last year, but I am not completely convinced they can't rear their ugly head again.
I imagine he'll be closer to 3-1 and PM will be closer to 2-1. PM deserves to be the favorite but he's no even money favorite against this field.
If only Moonshine Mullin was in this field...
I don't buy that. He was within a length from the start until they hit the stretch then Bayern pulled away and beat him by over 8. Looking him in the eye won't make up 7+ lengths.
The Haskell is 9f.
Copyright © 2010 - 2014 Immerse!, LLC
other passionate horse racing fans!