Two year old races can be easy and predictable or difficult and frustrating. Because our evaluations are based on past performance, and two year olds have very little, our analysis can be very flawed. However, based on what is known, contenders before scratches are: #9, 4, 7, 10. Adjusting the race to model the most likely winner comes up with the #9 Lost Bus (9/2) Espinoza/Heap...good connections with a runner who won her first race and is knocking on the door again. Bet #9 to win. Exotics...9/4, 7, 10, 2 and reverse. Good luck!!!
Correction: #7, 2, 4.
#5 scratched. #7, 2, 5 in that order. No profit potential....pass. Good luck!!!
#6 Tonalist (3/1) wire to wire in this one, with the #2, 7,10 behind. Good luck!!!
Contenders before scratches: #3, 7, 10, 9. The favorite #9 La Madrina (6/5) is legitimate and will be somewhere at the line. However, I will try to beat her with my choice, #3 Corporate Culture (7/2) from the hot Chad Brown barn and Joel Rosario. Horse may be overlooked for a better price. Bet #3 to win. Exotics...3/ 7, 10, 9 and reverse. Good luck!!!
Good race for a price as the favorite, Zippinaround is vulverable due to having hard last races and the last the highest number of its career....going to be hard to duplicate. Therefore, the race opens up for a price and boils down to two horses, #4 Luz Atticus (5/1) and the surprise horse, #9 Southern Sunshine (12/1). The #4 is dropping out of the clouds which means they are hard up to win a race and maybe trying to unload the horse at the same time. I will go with the price as he has a better R.O.I Bet #9 to win, 2X to place. Exotics: 9/ 4, 5, 1 and reverse. Good luck!!!
Before scratchs: #4, 1, 2, 5. Prefer speed at a price, #1 Remind mee (8/1). Good luck!!!
Interesting race. Contenders before scratches: #7, 3, 8, 1. The favorite #8 Lady Asano (5/2) is legitimate and the horse to beat. The interesting horse here is the shipper from PID #7 Master the Blues (9/2). This is the speed and will try to take them wire to wire with K. Desormeaux. The closer is the favorite and may win the race. Bet the high price and an exacta box with the other. Good luck!!!
Contenders before scratches: #2, 11, 7, 6, 5. The favorite #11 Mambo Man (7/2) is legitimate but luke warm by the m.l. maker. So I will look for better value in the #2 Bench (8/1). Horse is dropping with one of the best turf riders in the country, K. Desormeaux. Bet to win 2X to place. Exotics as you please. Good luck!!!
Contenders before scratches: #7, 6, 4, 5. The favorite, #4 Bright Thought (3/1) is legitimate but is luke warm by the M.L. maker. So, I will go to the value of the race for a modest price...#7 Barocci (5/1), Espinoza/Sadler, who is also the class of the race. Bet to win and exotics with the #6, 4, 5, 3, 2. Good luck!!!
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