you can get him at 28-1 on bovada.lv.
I dont think Zenyatta took on the boys until she was 5 almost 6, and that was because no horse could beat her. Songbirds was certainly the top 3yr old filly, but until she dominates the Distaff division, she probably wont be taking on the boys anytime soon. Lets hope we can enjoy some SB, UB and Stellar Wind action this year
Im by no means a Malagacy fan, but what race did you guys watch? This horse ran just as good as Classic Empire did. If you take into account that he and Conquest Mo Money ran into each other about 4 times down the stretch and Malagacy had to pull up and go to the rail, tremendous loss of Momentum down the stretch.
Gunnevera ran straight to the Rail in the Florida Derby, Spotting the entire field about 8-10 lengths, that being said, he ran a great Florida Derby, at least as good as AD. So be thankful the average derby day bettor will never know why he took 3rd. So for you, Don Vito, you got a gift, he will be 12-1 or 15-1 instead of the favorite at 6-1
Winning your last prep has far less to do with winning the Derby than winning your last 2 stakes races. Horses that have won their last 2 STAKES races have a tremendous statistical edge in the Derby. Those include Girvin and Thunder Snow. Im not really supper high on either of these 2 horses but that stat alone will make me reconsider them. This year is crazy, there usually 7-10 horses that could win the derby, looking at this years field I can only toss about 4 horses. and if Thunder Snow is out, and Looking at Lee gets in that 5 that can't win.
all the preps with the exception of the Florida derby and the BG (on paper) have been relatively week, imo. Sorry you bet on Mutbtaahij. he won 4 races lifetime and TS has won 3, so I stand corrected.
night and day difference, Thunder Snow has already won more races than Mubtaahij
Let me star out by saying I am always against Euro/Dubai shippers hitting the trifecta in the Derby and BCC, let alone winning. However, at this point only 2 (maybe 3 with Malagacy), are coming in off of back-to-back stakes races, which is a HUGE advantage. Thunder Snow has actually won 3 straight. Horses that have won 3 straight stakes races have accounted for about 9% of the Derby field, and have won an amazing 45% of the Derbies. Thats a "WOW" stat. Plus with no dominating horses here in the U.S., this might be a good year to take a shot with this one. Oh and his pedigree suggests he will only get better at 10 furlongs. Hope he comes over.
Gunnevera had a terrible trip in his last pre, as did McCracken. McCracken bumped more horses than kal-can in that race. Both are still looking good.
only one horse has hit the trifecta finishing 5th or worse in their last prep race in the last 16 years. FYI, you might get better than the 24-1
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