I don't really have anything to back up saying he's the best. It's just my gut, I suppose.
But the year is young, and we shall see!
Congratulations to Cloud Computing and his connections. He ran a nice race today.
That said, I'm going to be blunt: I think Classic Empire is the best of his crop, and probably should have won today.
Does anyone think either of them will go to the Belmont?
It's a girl?! Hallelujah!
I hope that rematch happens; Classic Empire deserves another crack at Always Dreaming, preferably without interference.
Well, I was wrong. Congratulations to Always Dreaming and his connections.
I just don't trust Always Dreaming.
1) My final choice will most likely be Gunnevera; he has had three solid preps in Florida, is very consistent, and should be in top form after those preps. I also like the way he moves, but his running style will make a win less than easy; like all horses, he needs luck, a good ride, and an even better trip.
2) However, I'll also keep an eye on Irish War Cry and Gormley; the former has raw talent and I feel that the latter, winner of three different Derby preps (FrontRunner, Sham, Santa Anita Derby), is being seriously overlooked.
3) Classic Empire scares me as well; he's the champion two-year-old for a reason, but his recent problems make it impossible for me to choose him.
4) In a similar vein, Girvin's soundness issues make him an impossible pick.
5) I don't understand what all of the hype surrounding Always Dreaming is about. He has raced all of four times and is trained by Todd Pletcher; I wouldn't touch him with a thirty-one and a half foot pole.
6) Lookin At Lee and Patch are both tosses as well, if only because of their posts.
7) I literally JUST watched the UAE Derby, and while I am impressed with the way Thunder Snow came back on to nip the other horse at the wire, I don't think he's going to wear the roses.
8) I've seen absolutely nothing that would suggest Practical Joke can get the Derby distance.
9) I just don't think that Sonneteer, Fast and Accurate, Untrapped, J Boys Echo, Hence, and Irap are good enough to win the derby, although I admit that Irap has been surprisingly consistent for a horse with only one win to his name.
10) Tapwrit is trained by Pletcher, and his run in the Blue Grass was...uninspiring, to say the least. Pass.
11) State of Honor is another consistent horse, but I doubt he has the raw ability. Pass
12) McCraken didn't embarrass himself in the Blue Grass, but he didn't run as well as anyone was expecting him to run. I don't really trust him, so I'll pass.
13) I have no clue what to make of Battle of Midway. He ran well in the Santa Anita Derby to be second, and he has the pedigree to go the Derby distance, but my gut is inexplicably telling me to ignore him, so that's what I'm going to do.
As always, I hope everyone has a wonderful Saturday, and good luck to all of you! May each horse come home safely.
(If I don't add another post to this thread by post time tomorrow, then that means I didn't change my mind.)
I liked Salty to win the Oaks, but then she drew the 14 post in the field, so I had to look elsewhere. My final choice is Farrell, with Miss Sky Warrior my second choice.
What do you guys think?
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