You're welcome. And wait, you do? The only analysis that I'm truly proud of is the one from last year's Kentucky Derby. I almost sounded like an expert! (As if...)
The post positions are crucial to every horse. If ANY of the favorites (and I'm using that term loosely; I'm referring to any horse who isn't a hopeless longshot) draws the #1 hole, then the entire race's dynamic could easily change.
Weather is also a factor, although perhaps not as much as last year. Still, I hope the track is dry; I HATE rain.
Alas, all things must come to an end.
To each his or her own.
As much as I like his grit, I hope Conquest Mo Money doesn't go in the Derby; the Derby has been known to ruin promising youngsters who just aren't good enough to win the race, which I believe to be the case with Conquest Mo Money.
I'm not really sure why, but my gut says Classic Empire won't get it done. For the first time since 2012, it looks like my final pick won't be the favorite.
I like Gunnevera. A lot, actually, despite his being a deep closer, which is strange.
As always, my FINAL final pick(s) won't be chosen until Derby Day itself. Until then, I'm off to review the preps.
As nice as Classic Empire looked while winning this race, I'm more impressed by Conquest Mo Money. And judging by several of the comments below, I'm not alone in my opinion.
As good-looking as this win was, Lockdown stopped to a virtual walk in the stretch and was still pulling away from Full House at the end, which begs the question: Did Miss Sky Warrior beat anyone worth mentioning?
Don't get me wrong; I like her, but it's still worth thinking about.
If she's really at 100%, then why are we still waiting for her first race back?
Didn't see that one coming.
I haven't seen the race in question, but I still have to disagree with you. 1:53.44 (according to his profile page, anyway) is still slow, regardless of the reasons.
If I had bothered to handicap this race properly and study the entrants, I'm positive I'd have tossed him. I would have been wrong, obviously, but I still would have done it.
Traffic problems are definitely a concern for Gunnevera in the Derby, but pace is unlikely to be an issue.
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