Thanks Ann Maree, appreciate your kind words.
Look forward to see you Andy and the rest of my HRN colleagues.
It's better that A.P. drew the rail in the Preakness as opposed to the Derby. The rail of the far turn isn't staring in the face of a horse at Pimlico like it does at Churchill, That sixteenth of a mile is a significant difference...And at 1 3/16-miles, there's still a long run to the first turn, so plenty of time to secure position.
I must agree with your top six and I will include just one more: Materialty. Yes, I know he has the Apollo "curse", but he doesn't know that. Has the highest speed figure in the field, a number that can win this race. I'm not saying he's going to, but it wouldn't surprise me one iota.
Our HRN team has their own Mr. Z
For me, it doesn't matter that Firing Line won the Sunland Derby by 15-lengths or that Carpe Diem widened impressively in the Blue Grass or how American Pharaoh dominated the Rebel...and for that matter how A.P. performs next week in the Arkansas Derby...or how Mubtaajhi won in a laugher in the UAE Derby, Dortmund will be made the KY Derby favorite leading up the race.
When a couple of opponents appeared to "threaten" him turning for home in the last two starts, he just toyed with them. They all looked like they were running on a treadmill in the stretch today giving futile chase. The Kentucky Derby isn't supposed to be easy to win, no one hands you a Grade 1 race, it has to be earned. Winning the KY Derby won't be an easy an easy task for Dortmund. however, IF he is victorious on the first Saturday In May, he certainly will have earned it. I for one am certainly thrilled to have an early Future Book wager on the colt.
We really won't know whether Dubai Sky has an affinity for the dirt until he trains over the Churchill surface, but in recent years, some very nice turf/synthetic surface horses have been highly competitive (Dullahan(3rd)--Went The Day Well(4th)--Paddy O"'Prado(3rd)....And of course, we all remember 2011 KY Derby winner Animal Kingdom. Go Dubai Sky!!! Win one for Mott!!
Mike, I'm sure this years edition will have its own history that fans will talk about long into the future.
Arcaro also rode Devil Diver in Preakness, but again finished behind Shut Out as both runners faltered. Come Belmont time, Devil Diver did not participate, but Arcaro finally got the hint and rode Shut Out to victory. And yes, Devil Diver came into his own as an older horse. Won the Met Mile three consecutive years in a row. A record that has not been broken. Arcaro wasn't aboard for any of the Met victories. Wolff and Atkinson were the riders.
First off gentleman, I am thrilled glad the show is back. Always a pleasure to listen to you both speak. Really enjoy your racing analysis. If I may, here are my choices for this weekends Derby preps.
Tampa Bay Derby : Ocean Knight Longshot Pick--Danzig Moon
San Felipe: Dortmund Longshot Pick--Sir Samson
Gotham: Tencendur Longshot Pick: Same
Good luck and as always, enjoy the races.
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