Watching AK was a special event. To have some of the injuries that he incurred and come back from them was incredible. I will always remember not just the Derby and the World Cup, but seeing him in person running in the BC Mile. He was 10-1 and the fifth betting choice in a field of nine that day. Even the exacta with the logical heavy-favorite Wise Dan felt like free money ($27 for every $1). His turn of foot that day was crazy to watch, even after a horrid trip. I remember much of the Santa Anita crowd giving him an ovation as he returned in defeat. People love their Derby winners, and he still looked the part, even in defeat that day. It gave me chills.
The form guide is up on the web on the UAE racing site, for this race and the others. What do people think upon first glance? African Story is a great horse, but I think he might be a little overbet (I'm still going to use him in the verticals). I think his best distance might be going a little shorter, but we'll find out. I think Prince Bishop, Sanshaawes, and Cat O'Mountain will get spots on my ticket as well. It will be a great day of racing, with some tough races to handicap! :)
He is back? Workout on 2013-12-30 @ Retama Park 4f 50.00 (1/9).
I think Brujo has a great chance as well. I will be using him top and bottom in the exotics, and hope that he wins. It will be a tough, tough race, though.
I would race her in the Gold Gup, and if she doesn't win, point her to the BC Distaff. But let her take on the boys on dirt. She never did well on tapeta in Dubai, but a lot of questions would be answered if she ran against the boys on dirt.
I would send him to Parx for the Pennsylvania Derby. The money is good, and the competition will be easier than the Gold Cup. He does not strike me as one who can win two in a row, but Parx might be a good spot. Frankly, I would give him some time off and run him at four. He is a big horse who might be at his best in 8-16 months.
I'm remember thinking before the race that only two horses had won the Preakness since 1960 from the #1 post. If one is superstitious (and I'm not), one could think that Orb would be in trouble. Despite the post, I felt that if Rosario could get him outside by the second turn that he was going to win. He didn't, he looked bothered on the inside, and tired on top of it. Even if he had been able to get on the outside, I still think that he would not have run down Oxbow. The pace was too slow and Orb's big run in the Derby led to a bounce. And the post didn't help. Itsmylucky day ran better than I had anticipated.
My only concern with Soft Falling Rain is that he is taking on older horses. He is in a very ambitious spot. 16 horse field?!? Wow. It would not suprise me if Rerouted and Mufarrh hit the board at nice prices. I think there could be chaos here.
It will be a day of P3s and dime supers for me. The Gololphin Mile is the toughest one for me: Soft Falling Rain, Surfer, Moonwalk in Paris, Capital Attraction (will probably play dime super w/spead below). Master of Hounds back on AW is also a worry. I'm using him, but not on top. UAE Derby: Shuruq, Secret Number, Snowboarder. Golden Shaeen: Mental. Dubai Duty Free: City Style, Sajjhaa. Dubai Sheema: Gentildonna (will likely single on P3's). I'll be interested to see how Await the Dawn and Prince Bishop do in this one. World Cup: Animal Kingdom (hoping for a good trip for a change), Hunter's Light, and Kassiano. I also cannot toss African Story in the exotics. He might prove to be fine at the distance. He is a nice horse.
I love the videos. I just hope that he gets John V. and a good trip on March 30th. It is going to be a tough group, and he will need a perfect trip. He is plenty good enough to do it, though. I hope for 10-1, although that might be optimistic.
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