Cause, I've got some other stuff to send you a little later in the week.
Hey Cause. That's quite a TC story. There's a
lot to comment about on article like this, the main one being how time really
is misleading when it comes to horse racing.
In the real world I would have a hard time separating Secretariat and
Citation in both the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness. When we look at times of horses in the last
thirty to forty years, and compare them to times before that, we automatically
think that horses in the latter part of the past century and today are so much
faster than they were 50 and a 100 years ago.
What many don’t realize is that the tracks today are so
much different. The tracks back in the
day were deeper with a lot more cushion and trainers weren’t concerned about
how fast their horses ran. Their main
concern was how convincing they were in their races (more of a class concern
than time). The spacing between their
races was a lot different too with horses often running a week apart and
sometimes by as little as three or four days.
That would be a pipe dream today.
In 1919 Sir Barton won the Derby on a heavy track in 2:09
4/5. How misleading was that? The following year he defeated Exterminator
in a 10F stake at Saratoga while carrying 129 lbs. to Exterminator’s 126 in 2:01
4/5, a time that Man o’ War tied the following year in the Travers when he too
carried 129 lbs. Those times compare to
General Assembly’s Saratoga track record of 2:00 set in 1980.
believe that Citation, if he would have faced Secretariat in the Derby (in
1973), could have and possibly would have defeated him. Certainly his time of 2:05 2/5 pales when
compared to Secretariat’s, but once again you have to look at the race track
and also at the ease in which Citation won.
Secretariat ran on a lightning fast Churchill track while the track was
sloppy on Citation’s Derby day with 6F races in the 1:13 range, 7F in 125
range; with allowance horses running a 8.5F race in 1:53, while Citation ran
the 9F in his Derby in 1:51 2/5. And
Citation defeated the great undefeated Coaltown by running away from him.
how misleading was Citation’s time. In
1950 when he was at Golden Gate, a speedy track comparable to many of toady tracks,
he won the Golden Gate mile in 1:33 3/5 to set a world record and during that
race he was within a half length of the lead at the 6F mark in what would have been
a world record time of 1:07 3/5. And he
did this while carrying 128 lbs. He also
lost by a neck to Noor in a 9F race in 1:46 4/5.
Coaltown set a world record for a mile in Chicago in 1:34 and equalled the 10F world
record at Gulfstream in 1:59 4/5 when winning his race by 7 lengths. How does that compare today? Well Easy Goer set a mile record of 1:32 2/5
in the Gotham (faster than Coaltown’s mile) and later that year finished a neck
behind Sunday Silence in the 10F BCC at Gulfstream in 2:00 1/5 (slower than
believe that Citation’s three year old year was possibly the best three year
old year ever by any horse. That year he
won the TC by an accumulated 17 lengths, won the 10F Jersey Derby between the Preakness
and Belmont, won 19 of 20 races (atoned for his fluke loss to Saggy), defeated the
reigning HOY twice before he even ran in the TC, won at 10 different distances
ranging from 6F to 2 miles, defeated older horses all 8 times he faced them,
won 18 of his races by an average of 4 lengths (the other win was a walkover), and
raced on both coasts as well as Florida.
Cause I actually learned it on my own. Email me at firstname.lastname@example.org and I'll lay it out for you
Hey Cause, Glad to see you're doing well. The equation I use when figuring time is the exact same one that the DRF uses.
Honor Code's final quarter was in 23.09, his final half in 46.35.
What's your take on this Adamdaman? Dunh.
If this was a 10K claimer, Bayern would have been dq'd
Sweet Reason should have been in this race.
The real talent was the horse that won the race. It doesn't take much to figure that out.
Yep, Shared Belief won't make the board. How about your selections not making the board.
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